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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Mavericks39%9887
10Jazz61%101115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.6
33.1
36.4
14
34%
6
2
2
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
6-19
8-16
32%
49%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.8
32.4
32.7
18
46%
4
2
3
1
1
3
1
3
4-4
100%
7-15
5-12
47%
47%
0-3
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.9
28.9
33.2
7
51%
1
8
1
2
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
1-4
25%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.6
16.4
23.7
4
100%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
14.2
26.5
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.4
28.2
30.5
13
47%
3
1
3
1
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-10
5-9
40%
51%
1-3
33%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
19.5
4.6
6
68%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-1
0%
3-4
0-1
75%
51%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.6
19.1
13.8
9
46%
1
5
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-8
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.8
17.5
26.5
4
69%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.4
11.2
2.7
2
35%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.0
10.1
4.0
6
77%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
1-1
100%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
9.6
5.3
4
100%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.4
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.9
40.5
36.1
17
56%
8
3
2
2
1
1
2
6
3-5
60%
7-9
5-10
78%
56%
0-4
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
35.0
36.2
34
74%
5
12
1
1
0
5
1
4
7-7
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
52%
5-8
63%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.9
34.8
25.7
20
77%
9
1
3
1
1
1
0
9
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
4-7
57%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.7
34.6
32.6
16
55%
13
5
0
1
1
2
4
9
1-1
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
50%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.0
30.1
31.5
14
54%
10
3
1
1
2
1
4
6
6-7
86%
4-10
6-10
40%
56%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.6
23.8
13.2
5
63%
1
3
2
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.7
13.3
13.1
4
69%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.2
11.3
8.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.2
5.3
14.4
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.9
4.6
6.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.0
4.6
2.2
5
125%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.1
2.1
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.2
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.