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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 7, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat43%9184
1676ers57%9394
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
41.7
32.1
18
52%
5
7
2
2
0
2
2
3
2-5
40%
5-9
2-5
56%
47%
2-6
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.1
41.1
38.2
21
47%
4
7
0
2
0
2
1
3
5-8
63%
8-15
9-18
53%
50%
0-4
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.8
39.9
32.3
11
54%
6
2
0
1
1
3
1
5
5-5
100%
3-8
5-9
38%
54%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.7
39.9
31.8
8
36%
9
2
1
1
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
4-11
4-8
36%
49%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
14.8
14.9
5
87%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.1
27.5
23.7
14
58%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
7-10
5-10
70%
47%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.3
16.1
17.1
3
25%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-6
17%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.4
11.7
13.6
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
5.9
14.2
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.4
1.6
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.2
6.8
0
1-2
47%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.2
2.7
0
0-0
48%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.8
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.0
37.9
39.9
12
51%
2
5
0
2
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-8
6-11
38%
51%
1-2
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.9
33.5
37.1
15
68%
3
5
0
1
0
4
1
2
9-9
100%
3-7
6-11
43%
50%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.6
31.7
36.2
14
57%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-3
33%
5-8
6-11
63%
53%
1-3
33%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.5
24.5
23.0
10
42%
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
48%
0-3
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
22.1
28.3
2
100%
10
1
1
0
3
0
0
10
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
52%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.5
22.0
9.0
15
70%
6
2
0
0
2
0
3
3
5-6
83%
5-8
2-3
63%
52%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.1
21.8
12.3
11
70%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
2-3
67%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.3
20.6
23.6
10
43%
4
3
3
1
0
3
0
4
6-6
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.7
20.3
15.3
5
44%
9
0
0
1
0
1
2
7
5-6
83%
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
5.5
2.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
1.9
0
0-0
41%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.7
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.9
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.