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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 7, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets53%9970
22Nets47%98114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.4
30.3
19.8
9
41%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.1
27.8
20.4
4
29%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.7
27.2
30.6
15
52%
3
2
1
1
0
3
1
2
4-8
50%
4-9
7-13
44%
49%
1-2
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
22.8
31.8
9
54%
7
1
0
1
1
3
2
5
3-3
100%
3-7
5-9
43%
58%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.1
19.1
22.5
7
39%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.6
25.6
27.3
8
51%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
1-3
33%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.4
23.7
28.3
7
44%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
51%
1-3
33%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.6
18.5
20.3
6
80%
3
0
2
0
1
0
1
2
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.1
17.4
23.9
3
26%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-4
25%
1-3
3-5
33%
55%
0-1
0%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.6
13.2
10.8
2
33%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.6
7.8
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.0
6.6
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.8
36.5
28.9
13
54%
12
4
3
1
1
2
3
9
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
47%
3-7
43%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.0
32.9
34.4
12
55%
3
8
3
1
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
48%
0-2
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.9
30.8
33.3
28
80%
2
5
2
1
1
4
0
2
14-17
82%
4-5
6-12
80%
50%
2-5
40%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.9
28.3
22.5
11
56%
7
1
1
0
0
0
6
1
3-4
75%
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.9
22.5
29.5
15
55%
9
2
0
1
2
1
1
8
3-4
75%
6-12
6-11
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.5
27.6
24.5
14
48%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
5-6
83%
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
1-5
20%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.8
21.4
23.4
8
82%
5
4
2
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
2-2
100%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.2
18.6
15.6
2
50%
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.1
8.3
7.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
7.0
4.2
5
64%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 25.0
6.1
2.6
6
44%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-4
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.7
10.4
0
1-1
46%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.3
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.