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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 7, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pistons55%92126
24Bucks45%90121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.4
46.9
36.0
27
79%
8
2
0
1
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
7-10
70%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.9
42.4
34.7
7
32%
13
9
1
1
0
2
3
10
0-0
-
2-8
4-9
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.7
42.2
34.1
27
56%
5
9
2
1
0
2
1
4
15-16
94%
6-16
5-12
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.8
26.7
34.7
6
26%
5
4
0
1
0
3
1
4
4-4
100%
1-10
5-12
10%
47%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.8
17.1
13.2
5
87%
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.0
36.3
26.8
38
69%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
6-6
100%
13-22
5-10
59%
48%
2-3
67%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.4
34.9
30.6
16
73%
9
1
1
1
1
1
5
4
0-0
-
8-11
4-7
73%
49%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
11.6
9.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.0
7.0
13.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.9
3.0
0
0-1
51%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.1
2.4
0
0-1
45%
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.6
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
46.8
36.8
44
81%
5
12
0
1
0
4
0
5
18-21
86%
13-18
5-11
72%
47%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.6
43.1
39.0
16
52%
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
1-3
33%
6-12
5-10
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.5
43.1
30.6
33
66%
7
4
2
1
1
1
1
6
9-11
82%
9-15
5-11
60%
49%
2-5
40%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.9
30.7
22.5
0
0%
8
0
1
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
20.4
13.9
4
33%
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.9
28.8
24.6
10
51%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
2-5
40%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.7
26.0
4.5
8
40%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
0-0
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
15.9
11.3
1
27%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.5
5.2
2.9
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
1-2
50%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.1
4.9
7.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.0
32.6
1
3-7
46%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.6
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.5
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.