Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Spurs	25%	85	105	110.5	95	98.0
	1	Celtics	75%	94	99	107.6	92	89.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	39.5	23	64%	13	5	0	1	2	2	3	10	5-5	100%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 29	36.5	23	68%	8	2	2	0	2	3	2	6	0-0	-	7-11	64%	3-6	50%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 27	32.3	7	29%	3	7	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-9	22%	1-3	33%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 28	30.6	11	50%	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	3	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Michael Finley F · 6'7" 225 · 36	27.4	7	50%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 32	31.3	19	79%	3	3	3	1	4	1	1	2	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	18.7	6	60%	5	0	0	0	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 23	16.2	7	88%	3	1	0	1	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 38	6.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 34	1.0	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Malik Hairston G · 6'6" 220 · 22	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jacque Vaughn #11 · G · 6'1" 190 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	58%	40	21	6	3	13	0	8	32	19-21	90%	31-59	53%	8-21	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	39.5	23	64%	13	5	0	1	2	2	3	10	5-5	100%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 29	36.5	23	68%	8	2	2	0	2	3	2	6	0-0	-	7-11	64%	3-6	50%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 27	32.3	7	29%	3	7	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-9	22%	1-3	33%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 28	30.6	11	50%	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	3	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Michael Finley F · 6'7" 225 · 36	27.4	7	50%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 32	31.3	19	79%	3	3	3	1	4	1	1	2	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	18.7	6	60%	5	0	0	0	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 23	16.2	7	88%	3	1	0	1	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 38	6.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 34	1.0	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Malik Hairston G · 6'6" 220 · 22	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jacque Vaughn #11 · G · 6'1" 190 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	58%	40	21	6	3	13	0	8	32	19-21	90%	31-59	53%	8-21	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 31	39.8	19	53%	8	2	1	1	2	5	0	8	1-2	50%	9-15	60%	0-2	0%
Rajon Rondo G · 6'1" 186 · 23	38.9	6	27%	5	16	1	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-11	27%	0-0	-
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 34	38.1	18	50%	0	3	2	0	2	3	0	0	1-1	100%	7-13	54%	1-5	20%
Kevin Garnett F · 6'11" 240 · 33	35.2	26	57%	12	4	2	1	0	3	0	12	1-2	50%	11-22	50%	1-1	100%
Kendrick Perkins C · 6'10" 270 · 24	34.2	10	100%	7	2	1	1	3	3	3	4	0-0	-	5-5	100%	0-0	-

Tony Allen · 6'4" 213 · 27	18.1	11	69%	1	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Leon Powe F · 6'8" 240 · 25	13.4	2	33%	3	1	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Glen Davis F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23	12.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Eddie House G · 6'1" 190 · 31	9.5	5	125%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Gabe Pruitt G · 6'4" 170 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Patrick O'Bryant C · 7'0" 250 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Henry Walker F · 6'6" 235 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
J.R. Giddens #4 · G · 6'5" 215 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brian Scalabrine #44 · F · 6'9" 235 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sam Cassell #28 · G · 6'3" 185 · 39	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	54%	39	28	7	3	11	0	8	31	8-11	73%	41-76	54%	3-11	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.15 57.7%

BOS

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

14

24

58%

BOS

21

31

68%

Midrange

SAS

17

35

49%

BOS

20

45

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

8

12.0

21

38%

57%

BOS

3

4.5

11

27%

41%

Free Throws

SAS

19

21

90%

BOS

8

11

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	23	64%	11.5 / 18
M. Bonner	23	68%	11.5 / 17
M. Ginobili	19	79%	9.5 / 12
R. Mason Jr.	11	50%	5.5 / 11
T. Parker	7	29%	3.5 / 12
M. Finley	7	50%	3.5 / 7
G. Hill	7	88%	3.5 / 4
K. Thomas	6	60%	3.0 / 5
F. Oberto	2	100%	1.0 / 1
B. Bowen	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Garnett	26	57%	13.0 / 23
P. Pierce	19	53%	9.5 / 18
R. Allen	18	50%	9.0 / 18
T. Allen	11	69%	5.5 / 8
K. Perkins	10	100%	5.0 / 5
R. Rondo	6	27%	3.0 / 11
E. House	5	125%	2.5 / 2
L. Powe	2	33%	1.0 / 3
G. Davis	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 108.3 7 110.1	SAS 110.5 +2.9 BOS 107.6
Pace	26 88.7 18 90.9	SAS 98.0 +8.7 BOS 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time	5 16.5 14 15.8	SAS 14.7 −1.4 BOS 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 51.3% 2 52.8%	SAS 53.8% +1.5% BOS 52.3%
TO %	1 12.4% 28 16.4%	SAS 12.7% BOS 10.7% −2.0%
ORB %	30 22.1% 8 27.9%	SAS 20.5% +0.5% BOS 20.0%
FTrt	30 25.1 8 32.8	SAS 26.3 +13.7 BOS 12.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 57.1% 3 60.6%	SAS 53.8% BOS 63.6% +9.8%
STL %	30 6.5% 6 8.3%	SAS 6.3% BOS 7.6% +1.3%
BLK %	29 6.1% 16 7.8%	SAS 3.9% BOS 5.1% +1.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 53.4% 2 55.6%	SAS 57.7% +3.9% BOS 53.8%
Rim FG%	11 58.8% 7 60.2%	SAS 58.3% BOS 67.7% +9.4%
Mid FG%	3 42.7% 5 42.4%	SAS 48.6% +4.2% BOS 44.4%
3P %	3 38.6% 1 39.7%	SAS 38.1% +10.8% BOS 27.3%
FT %	19 76.2% 17 76.7%	SAS 90.5% +17.8% BOS 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 30.3% 7 37.8%	SAS 30.0% BOS 35.6% +5.6%
Mid Att. %	21 44.9% 11 40.8%	SAS 43.8% −8.0% BOS 51.7%
3P Att. %	7 24.8% 19 21.4%	SAS 26.3% +13.6% BOS 12.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	BOS
Possessions	95	92
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	105	99
Rebounds	40	39
Assists	21	28
Steals	6	7
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	31 (1)
Field Goals	39-80	44-87
At-the-Rim FG	14-24	21-31
Midrange FG	17-35	20-45
2-Point FG	31-59	41-76
3-Point FG	8-21	3-11
Free Throws	19-21	8-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg