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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 8, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bobcats37%8792
16Heat63%9296
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.8
43.0
34.6
10
63%
5
5
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
51%
2-3
67%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.6
42.3
39.6
9
26%
2
11
2
1
1
3
0
2
0-1
0%
3-11
4-10
27%
44%
1-6
17%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.2
38.9
17.1
27
68%
2
6
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
4-8
1-3
50%
42%
6-11
55%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.4
30.7
34.0
10
63%
8
0
0
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
5-8
5-10
63%
54%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.0
30.6
21.0
14
53%
3
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-5
40%
6-11
2-5
55%
45%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.0
25.7
21.8
8
67%
6
1
0
1
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
14.7
14.9
3
52%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.8
5.5
1.5
4
52%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
50%
0-0
-
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.4
4.4
7.0
5
125%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
41%
1-1
100%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.4
4.3
3.2
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
49%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.8
6.2
0
1-2
47%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
5.9
0
0-1
46%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
35.1
35.7
16
68%
2
13
2
2
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.7
35.0
34.9
14
79%
8
1
1
1
0
1
1
7
2-2
100%
6-8
4-9
75%
50%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.8
33.5
35.0
8
40%
10
0
0
1
1
0
3
7
0-0
-
4-9
5-9
44%
55%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.1
31.6
38.9
22
53%
4
4
4
2
1
2
1
3
1-4
25%
9-17
9-17
53%
51%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
14.3
14.8
4
69%
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-2
0%
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
33.8
10.5
4
67%
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.8
18.0
29.5
16
80%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
40%
4-7
57%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.1
13.0
25.1
4
50%
2
1
0
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
5-11
50%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.4
12.9
12.9
6
50%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
43%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.3
12.9
16.5
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.4
6.1
0
0-0
46%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.2
5.2
0
1-1
48%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.2
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.