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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 8, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Nets19%9184
4Magic81%102101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.5
41.7
25.6
13
42%
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
3
0-1
0%
5-12
2-5
42%
43%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.9
41.1
31.8
28
48%
5
12
1
1
0
3
1
4
7-10
70%
6-20
5-10
30%
47%
3-5
60%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.9
37.3
24.7
8
57%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
44%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.9
34.9
26.3
19
60%
12
3
0
0
1
1
6
6
1-2
50%
9-15
5-10
60%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.8
20.0
31.7
3
30%
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-6
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.8
32.1
22.5
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-1
0%
0-5
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.1
13.5
7.9
6
51%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
42%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.2
9.9
17.0
5
73%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
9.6
5.8
2
25%
6
0
0
0
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
48%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.0
33.3
1
4-9
45%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.7
8.4
0
0-1
43%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 25.0
4.5
0
1-1
40%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.3
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.2
35.5
36.5
30
72%
16
1
3
1
2
2
4
12
12-18
67%
9-13
8-14
69%
60%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
34.4
34.7
14
49%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-5
80%
2-7
3-6
29%
52%
2-5
40%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
33.5
25.7
17
75%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-3
33%
2-5
3-5
40%
55%
4-5
80%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.9
32.7
34.4
15
64%
5
8
1
1
0
4
0
5
3-4
75%
6-9
4-8
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.4
26.8
23.2
6
38%
8
4
1
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.4
25.8
27.6
2
20%
0
0
2
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
52%
0-3
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.6
23.2
18.5
5
34%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
13.6
13.2
6
51%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-2
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
53%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.0
12.5
3.9
4
50%
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
55%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.8
2.1
5.8
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
6.3
0
1-1
46%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.9
4.1
0
0-1
48%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.0
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.8
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.