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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 8, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Kings39%100113
27Thunder61%103116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.0
41.9
36.5
23
60%
6
1
2
1
0
1
0
6
7-7
100%
5-13
5-10
38%
48%
2-3
67%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.2
40.9
39.0
23
58%
3
11
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
6-13
5-9
46%
50%
3-6
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
38.0
20.4
29
92%
6
3
2
1
1
0
1
5
3-4
75%
7-10
2-5
70%
49%
4-4
100%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.6
36.1
30.4
6
40%
6
2
0
1
0
3
2
4
0-1
0%
3-7
5-10
43%
51%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.8
33.0
27.6
15
75%
6
3
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
6-9
4-9
67%
47%
1-1
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
25.7
26.4
10
63%
1
2
0
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
2-3
67%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.3
16.1
13.2
5
64%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
56%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
4.9
7.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.4
3.4
8.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.0
4.8
0
0-1
48%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
4.1
0
0-1
43%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.5
2.7
0
0-0
49%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.8
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.4
45.5
40.9
39
72%
7
4
0
1
2
2
1
6
4-5
80%
13-21
8-16
62%
51%
3-4
75%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.2
37.1
29.5
11
32%
7
8
2
1
1
2
3
4
5-7
71%
3-11
5-11
27%
48%
0-3
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
32.8
40.0
15
51%
7
3
0
1
1
2
2
5
3-4
75%
6-11
6-12
55%
50%
0-2
0%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.0
27.6
29.0
9
60%
4
2
4
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.3
26.1
29.2
15
93%
6
1
0
1
1
0
3
3
5-7
71%
5-5
4-7
100%
56%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.7
31.2
28.3
9
64%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.5
21.4
21.1
14
64%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
6-10
4-7
60%
50%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.5
18.2
14.9
4
41%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
50%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.5
6.7
0
0-1
46%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
4.7
0
1-2
55%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.1
4.4
0
0-1
45%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.2
3.7
0
0-1
54%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.3
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.