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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 9, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Hornets59%9280
30Grizzlies41%8985
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
37.6
35.1
8
24%
6
2
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-12
3-6
8%
46%
2-5
40%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.7
36.4
38.4
23
45%
7
1
2
1
0
2
3
4
8-8
100%
6-15
3-7
40%
46%
1-7
14%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.9
34.4
24.0
11
44%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
6-6
100%
1-7
2-5
14%
48%
1-3
33%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.5
21.9
16.5
4
29%
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.2
16.5
12.3
0
0%
2
1
1
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.1
31.5
31.8
11
59%
3
2
1
1
1
2
0
3
3-3
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
2-5
40%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
24.0
18.2
8
28%
9
3
2
1
0
2
2
7
3-3
100%
1-8
2-5
13%
45%
1-5
20%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.2
16.2
11.2
6
60%
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
51%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.7
13.3
10.8
6
75%
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
53%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.8
8.2
5.2
3
80%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
30.2
1
6-13
49%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.8
13.9
1
3-5
52%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.4
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.3
41.9
36.4
22
54%
16
5
0
1
0
6
3
13
7-8
88%
6-13
5-10
46%
48%
1-4
25%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.3
39.0
35.0
18
53%
4
8
1
1
1
4
1
3
5-7
71%
5-11
3-7
45%
46%
1-3
33%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.6
36.9
29.0
15
45%
14
0
0
1
3
4
3
11
3-6
50%
6-14
5-10
43%
51%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.8
29.6
17.3
8
40%
5
1
1
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
1-4
25%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.0
23.1
25.6
10
53%
10
1
1
1
2
0
6
4
6-8
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
53%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.4
31.3
21.4
4
25%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
0-3
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.6
22.1
17.5
4
40%
6
1
0
0
3
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.2
9.0
11.5
2
25%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
7.2
8.0
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
27.1
1
4-9
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
10.7
0
1-3
45%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.7
0.9
0
0-0
52%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.