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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 9, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets65%97112
23Bucks35%92124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.8
29.3
24.9
20
94%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
6-6
100%
7-8
4-8
88%
52%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.4
27.8
31.6
3
32%
3
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.7
25.5
33.4
3
15%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-3
33%
1-8
5-11
13%
45%
0-1
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.5
22.4
33.2
9
46%
1
2
2
1
0
4
0
1
4-4
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
42%
1-4
25%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.4
18.7
32.6
7
38%
10
1
0
0
0
3
3
7
3-3
100%
2-8
7-13
25%
53%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.1
25.6
14.0
23
71%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
2-4
2-3
50%
45%
5-10
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.4
24.2
18.1
16
81%
7
0
0
0
0
1
4
3
10-11
91%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.6
22.9
10.3
8
55%
2
1
1
0
1
3
1
1
3-3
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.2
22.9
28.2
20
78%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
4-5
80%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.1
13.5
6.4
3
150%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
1-1
100%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.7
7.4
5.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.6
4.2
0
0-1
51%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.2
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.5
34.0
34.4
25
66%
8
4
2
1
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
4-8
6-12
50%
49%
5-10
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
33.9
38.3
26
75%
4
7
4
1
1
4
0
4
10-12
83%
8-12
6-12
67%
47%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.6
32.4
37.6
25
71%
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-6
33%
7-12
5-10
58%
48%
3-3
100%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
31.6
16.5
0
0%
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.0
14.4
24.6
0
0%
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.7
21.9
15.4
13
67%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
3-5
1-1
60%
45%
1-3
33%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.9
20.9
24.9
21
76%
1
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
8-10
2-4
80%
46%
1-3
33%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
16.7
13.2
6
60%
6
4
0
0
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.6
13.9
3.3
2
33%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.5
7.3
8.4
2
100%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
36%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.5
7.1
4.2
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.1
6.1
6.4
4
40%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.2
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.0
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.