Final Win Prob. pScore
751%97
99
1449%96
82
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
111.28987.4
MIA logo Heat
94.38788.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN99
100%
82
0%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot99
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)99
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot99
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot99
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENPetro 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)99
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:20MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)97
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37DENMISS Petro 15' Turnaround Jump Shot97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54DENSUB: Petro FOR Billups97
79
Q4 - 1:54DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Nene97
79
Q4 - 1:54DENSUB: Jones FOR Martin97
79
Q4 - 1:54DENSUB: Smith FOR Anthony97
79
Q4 - 1:54MIASUB: Anthony FOR Cook97
79
Q4 - 1:54MIASUB: Beasley FOR Chalmers97
79
Q4 - 1:54MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade97
79
Q4 - 1:54MIASUB: Quinn FOR Haslem97
79
Q4 - 1:54MIASUB: Diawara FOR Marion97
79
Q4 - 1:54MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T2)97
79
Q4 - 2:02MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11DENMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:31DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47MIA97
79
Q4 - 2:47MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 2)97
79
Q4 - 2:48DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T18)94
79
Q4 - 3:08MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Martin: Tip to Nene94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:15DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:19MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Anthony91
79
Q4 - 3:38MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)91
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q4 - 3:48MIASUB: Haslem FOR Chalmers91
79
Q4 - 3:48MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)91
79
Q4 - 3:55DENCarter Layup (8 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)91
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 4:01DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)89
98.5%
79
1.5%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup89
98.3%
79
1.7%
Q4 - 4:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
97.8%
79
2.2%
Q4 - 4:11DENMISS Anthony 20' Turnaround Jump Shot89
98.1%
79
1.9%
Q4 - 4:28DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)89
98.6%
79
1.4%
Q4 - 4:29MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
98.4%
79
1.6%
Q4 - 4:48DENCook STEAL (1 STL)89
97.9%
79
2.1%
Q4 - 5:13MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)89
97.5%
79
2.5%
Q4 - 5:23DENSUB: Anthony FOR Smith89
79
Q4 - 5:23MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)89
79
Q4 - 5:24DENBillups Driving Layup (17 PTS)89
96.5%
79
3.5%
Q4 - 5:33DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
95.3%
79
4.7%
Q4 - 5:34MIAMISS Marion 6' Jump Shot87
94.8%
79
5.2%
Q4 - 5:42DENNene L.B.FOUL (P5.T2)87
79
Q4 - 5:42MIAHEAT Rebound87
93.5%
79
6.5%
Q4 - 5:43MIAMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
94.8%
79
5.2%
Q4 - 6:06DENSUB: Martin FOR Kleiza87
79
Q4 - 6:06DENKleiza Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)87
91.6%
79
8.4%
Q4 - 6:23MIAWade Reverse Layup (33 PTS)87
93.8%
79
6.2%
Q4 - 6:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)87
95.3%
77
4.7%
Q4 - 6:31MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
96.2%
77
3.8%
Q4 - 6:43DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)87
95.3%
77
4.7%
Q4 - 7:00MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS)84
91.9%
77
8.1%
Q4 - 7:28DENBillups 3' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)84
94.1%
74
5.9%
Q4 - 7:30DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)82
74
Q4 - 7:30MIASUB: Marion FOR Beasley82
74
Q4 - 7:48MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)82
92.6%
74
7.4%
Q4 - 7:54MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
90.2%
74
9.8%
Q4 - 7:55DENAnthony BLOCK (5 BLK)82
91.0%
74
9.0%
Q4 - 8:07DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
91.1%
74
8.9%
Q4 - 8:08MIAMISS Beasley Layup82
90.5%
74
9.5%
Q4 - 8:19MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
89.0%
74
11.0%
Q4 - 8:20DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
89.7%
74
10.3%
Q4 - 8:43MIASUB: Anthony FOR Quinn82
74
Q4 - 8:43MIASUB: Wade FOR Haslem82
74
Q4 - 8:4382
74
Q4 - 8:43MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)82
74
Q4 - 8:43DENNuggets Rebound82
91.2%
74
8.8%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
90.6%
74
9.4%
Q4 - 8:58DENSmith 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)82
89.0%
74
11.0%
Q4 - 9:17MIABeasley 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)79
81.1%
74
18.9%
Q4 - 9:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
84.7%
72
15.3%
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Beasley 7' Jump Shot79
86.7%
72
13.3%
Q4 - 9:38DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)79
84.8%
72
15.2%
Q4 - 10:02MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)76
76.0%
72
24.0%
Q4 - 10:16MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
80.0%
70
20.0%
Q4 - 10:17DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
81.0%
70
19.0%
Q4 - 10:31MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)76
83.3%
70
16.7%
Q4 - 10:44DENBillups P.FOUL (P3.T1)76
68
Q4 - 10:52MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
86.3%
68
13.7%
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot76
88.1%
68
11.9%
Q4 - 11:15DENCarter 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)76
85.1%
68
14.9%
Q4 - 11:31DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
82.0%
68
18.0%
Q4 - 11:33DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
79.9%
68
20.1%
Q4 - 11:47MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)74
82.1%
68
17.9%
Q4 - 12:0074
65
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN74
87.7%
65
12.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound74
89.7%
65
10.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 30' 3PT Jump Shot74
88.3%
65
11.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENSUB: Smith FOR Anthony74
65
Q3 - 0:05.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
88.5%
65
11.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot74
87.9%
65
12.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)74
86.6%
65
13.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)73
86.2%
65
13.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIASUB: Beasley FOR Anthony72
65
Q3 - 0:33.0MIASUB: Cook FOR Wade72
65
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)72
65
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAAnthony P.FOUL (P3.T4)72
65
Q3 - 0:48.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
83.8%
65
16.2%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
83.0%
65
17.0%
Q3 - 1:16DENKleiza Driving Layup (4 PTS)72
80.1%
65
19.9%
Q3 - 1:25DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
76.5%
65
23.5%
Q3 - 1:26MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot70
75.5%
65
24.5%
Q3 - 1:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
73.1%
65
26.9%
Q3 - 1:36DENMISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot70
74.2%
65
25.8%
Q3 - 1:56MIAMarion Dunk (14 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)70
76.5%
65
23.5%
Q3 - 2:16DENKleiza Reverse Layup (2 PTS)70
78.9%
63
21.1%
Q3 - 2:34MIAQuinn 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)68
75.6%
63
24.4%
Q3 - 2:53DENMartin Putback Dunk (18 PTS)68
81.9%
60
18.1%
Q3 - 2:55DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
78.9%
60
21.1%
Q3 - 2:57DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup66
76.7%
60
23.3%
Q3 - 3:08DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
78.3%
60
21.7%
Q3 - 3:09DENAnthony BLOCK (4 BLK)66
75.9%
60
24.1%
Q3 - 3:11DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
78.3%
60
21.7%
Q3 - 3:13DENMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot66
75.9%
60
24.1%
Q3 - 3:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)66
78.3%
60
21.7%
Q3 - 3:34MIAHEAT Rebound66
59
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 266
78.9%
59
21.1%
Q3 - 3:34DENBillups S.FOUL (P2.T4)66
59
Q3 - 3:56DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)66
78.1%
59
21.9%
Q3 - 3:56MIASUB: Quinn FOR Chalmers65
59
Q3 - 3:56DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)65
77.6%
59
22.4%
Q3 - 3:56MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P4.T3)64
59
Q3 - 4:04MIAAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)64
74.5%
59
25.5%
Q3 - 4:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
70.5%
59
29.5%
Q3 - 4:16DENMISS Carter 11' Jump Bank Shot64
71.8%
59
28.2%
Q3 - 4:43MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)64
59
Q3 - 4:43MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Martin: Tip to Billups64
74.6%
59
25.4%
Q3 - 4:43DENSUB: Carter FOR Jones64
59
Q3 - 4:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
70.5%
59
29.5%
Q3 - 4:51DENMISS Kleiza 7' Jump Shot64
71.8%
59
28.2%
Q3 - 5:13MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)64
73.4%
59
26.6%
Q3 - 5:22MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
79.1%
56
20.9%
Q3 - 5:23DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot64
80.0%
56
20.0%
Q3 - 5:43MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)64
82.1%
56
17.9%
Q3 - 5:54DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)64
79.1%
56
20.9%
Q3 - 6:04DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)64
56
Q3 - 6:04MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)64
81.2%
56
18.8%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
85.5%
53
14.5%
Q3 - 6:13DENMISS Billups 19' Turnaround Jump Shot64
86.1%
53
13.9%
Q3 - 6:27DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
87.5%
53
12.5%
Q3 - 6:28MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot64
86.9%
53
13.1%
Q3 - 6:35MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
85.5%
53
14.5%
Q3 - 6:36DENMISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot64
86.2%
53
13.8%
Q3 - 6:59MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (27 PTS)64
87.6%
53
12.4%
Q3 - 7:12DENAnthony Driving Layup (15 PTS)64
88.1%
51
11.9%
Q3 - 7:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)62
86.5%
51
13.5%
Q3 - 7:28DENMartin S.FOUL (P1.T3)62
50
Q3 - 7:28MIAWade Driving Layup (24 PTS)62
50
Q3 - 7:32MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
89.6%
48
10.4%
Q3 - 7:35DENMISS Anthony 13' Jump Shot62
90.1%
48
9.9%
Q3 - 7:46MIAMarion P.FOUL (P3.T2)62
48
Q3 - 8:03MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)62
90.6%
48
9.4%
Q3 - 8:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
89.1%
48
10.9%
Q3 - 8:11DENMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot62
89.6%
48
10.4%
Q3 - 8:26MIAAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)62
90.6%
48
9.4%
Q3 - 8:41DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Nene62
48
Q3 - 8:41DENAnthony L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)62
48
Q3 - 8:41MIAHEAT Rebound62
89.1%
48
10.9%
Q3 - 8:42DENMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot62
89.6%
48
10.4%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMarion 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
90.1%
48
9.9%
Q3 - 9:24DENBillups Driving Layup (10 PTS)62
91.3%
46
8.7%
Q3 - 9:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)60
90.1%
46
9.9%
Q3 - 9:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)60
90.4%
45
9.6%
Q3 - 9:36DENNene S.FOUL (P4.T1)60
44
Q3 - 9:58DENBillups 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)60
91.4%
44
8.6%
Q3 - 10:13MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.T1)58
44
Q3 - 10:13DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
89.5%
44
10.5%
Q3 - 10:14DENMISS Martin 8' Hook Shot58
88.5%
44
11.5%
Q3 - 10:28MIAWade 10' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS)58
89.5%
44
10.5%
Q3 - 10:51DENBillups Driving Layup (6 PTS)58
90.8%
42
9.2%
Q3 - 11:15MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)56
89.0%
42
11.0%
Q3 - 11:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
90.2%
40
9.8%
Q3 - 11:35DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
90.6%
40
9.4%
Q3 - 12:0056
40
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN56
91.4%
40
8.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
91.4%
40
8.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper56
90.4%
40
9.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0DENSUB: Jones FOR Smith56
40
Q2 - 0:06.0DENBillups P.FOUL (P1.T3)56
40
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
89.9%
40
10.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
90.1%
40
9.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAWade Driving Layup (18 PTS)56
90.8%
40
9.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
92.1%
38
7.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot56
92.3%
38
7.7%
Q2 - 1:01MIAMarion 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
92.4%
38
7.6%
Q2 - 1:09MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)56
36
Q2 - 1:14DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
93.5%
36
6.5%
Q2 - 1:14DENNuggets Rebound55
36
Q2 - 1:14DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 255
93.3%
36
6.7%
Q2 - 1:14MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.PN)55
36
Q2 - 1:20DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Andersen55
36
Q2 - 1:22DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
93.2%
36
6.8%
Q2 - 1:23MIAMISS Marion Alley Oop Dunk55
93.1%
36
6.9%
Q2 - 1:28MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
92.6%
36
7.4%
Q2 - 1:29DENAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)55
92.8%
36
7.2%
Q2 - 1:42DENAndersen Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 1 (7 PTS)55
93.3%
36
6.7%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMarion FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P2.PN)54
36
Q2 - 1:42DENAndersen Dunk (6 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)54
36
Q2 - 1:45DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
90.3%
36
9.7%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot52
90.1%
36
9.9%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
89.5%
36
10.5%
Q2 - 1:55DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
89.7%
36
10.3%
Q2 - 2:01DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
89.9%
36
10.1%
Q2 - 2:02MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
89.5%
36
10.5%
Q2 - 2:24DENMartin Putback Dunk (16 PTS)52
88.7%
36
11.3%
Q2 - 2:25DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
87.4%
36
12.6%
Q2 - 2:26DENMISS Billups Layup50
86.3%
36
13.7%
Q2 - 2:45DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)50
36
Q2 - 2:45MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T9)50
87.4%
36
12.6%
Q2 - 2:45MIAChalmers OFF.Foul (P2)50
36
Q2 - 3:02DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
85.3%
36
14.7%
Q2 - 3:02MIASUB: Anthony FOR Cook49
36
Q2 - 3:02DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
85.0%
36
15.0%
Q2 - 3:02MIACook S.FOUL (P3.T4)48
36
Q2 - 3:11MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T3)48
36
Q2 - 3:17DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
84.0%
36
16.0%
Q2 - 3:19MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Floating Jump Shot48
83.4%
36
16.6%
Q2 - 3:37DENAnthony Dunk (10 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)48
81.9%
36
18.1%
Q2 - 3:55MIAMarion Dunk (8 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)46
80.3%
36
19.7%
Q2 - 3:59DENAnthony Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T7)46
81.9%
34
18.1%
Q2 - 4:00DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
84.0%
34
16.0%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot46
82.7%
34
17.3%
Q2 - 4:17DENSmith Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)46
81.4%
34
18.6%
Q2 - 4:29MIACook P.FOUL (P2.T2)44
34
Q2 - 4:29MIASUB: Haslem FOR Anthony44
34
Q2 - 4:30DENSUB: Martin FOR Kleiza44
34
Q2 - 4:32DENSUB: Billups FOR Carter44
34
Q2 - 4:32DENNuggets Rebound44
79.7%
34
20.3%
Q2 - 4:33DENAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)44
78.2%
34
21.8%
Q2 - 4:51MIAWade Dunk (16 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)44
79.7%
34
20.3%
Q2 - 4:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
81.5%
32
18.5%
Q2 - 4:59DENMISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot44
82.1%
32
17.9%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMarion Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)44
82.8%
32
17.2%
Q2 - 5:4044
30
Q2 - 5:40DENAnthony Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)44
84.5%
30
15.5%
Q2 - 5:48DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
85.9%
30
14.1%
Q2 - 5:49MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
85.5%
30
14.5%
Q2 - 6:07MIAHEAT Rebound44
83.6%
30
16.4%
Q2 - 6:09DENMISS Anthony 21' Turnaround Jump Shot44
84.2%
30
15.8%
Q2 - 6:20MIASUB: Marion FOR Beasley44
30
Q2 - 6:31MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)44
85.4%
30
14.6%
Q2 - 6:31DENSUB: Anthony FOR Nene44
29
Q2 - 6:31MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)44
85.7%
29
14.3%
Q2 - 6:31DENNene P.FOUL (P3.T2)44
28
Q2 - 6:41MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Jones44
28
Q2 - 6:41DENCarter Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)44
86.6%
28
13.4%
Q2 - 6:42DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
88.1%
28
11.9%
Q2 - 6:43DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
87.1%
28
12.9%
Q2 - 6:54DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
88.1%
28
11.9%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 144
87.9%
28
12.1%
Q2 - 6:56DENNene Violation:Defensive Goaltending44
28
Q2 - 6:56DENNene S.FOUL (P2.T1)44
28
Q2 - 6:56MIAWade 10' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)44
28
Q2 - 7:06DENNene Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)44
88.8%
26
11.2%
Q2 - 7:18DENNuggets Rebound42
87.6%
26
12.4%
Q2 - 7:19MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot42
87.2%
26
12.8%
Q2 - 7:37DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
86.3%
26
13.7%
Q2 - 7:37DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
86.0%
26
14.0%
Q2 - 7:37DENSUB: Nene FOR Martin40
26
Q2 - 7:37MIACook S.FOUL (P1.T1)40
26
Q2 - 7:43DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
85.0%
26
15.0%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot40
84.5%
26
15.5%
Q2 - 7:54MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
83.4%
26
16.6%
Q2 - 7:55DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
83.9%
26
16.1%
Q2 - 8:14DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
84.2%
26
15.8%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot40
83.7%
26
16.3%
Q2 - 8:37DENAndersen Dunk (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)40
82.7%
26
17.3%
Q2 - 8:43MIACook 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
81.1%
26
18.9%
Q2 - 9:04DENMartin 6' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS)38
82.1%
24
17.9%
Q2 - 9:29MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)36
80.5%
24
19.5%
Q2 - 9:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
82.1%
22
17.9%
Q2 - 9:39DENMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
82.6%
22
17.4%
Q2 - 10:07MIACook Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)36
83.1%
22
16.9%
Q2 - 10:11DENWade STEAL (2 STL)36
84.5%
20
15.5%
Q2 - 10:24DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
85.9%
20
14.1%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot36
85.5%
20
14.5%
Q2 - 10:37MIASUB: Wade FOR Quinn36
20
Q2 - 10:37MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)36
20
Q2 - 10:43DENMartin Driving Layup (12 PTS)36
84.5%
20
15.5%
Q2 - 10:57DENSUB: Smith FOR Billups34
20
Q2 - 10:57MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)34
83.2%
20
16.9%
Q2 - 11:18DENCarter 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)34
80.9%
20
19.1%
Q2 - 11:34MIACook Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)32
79.3%
20
20.7%
Q2 - 11:48MIAHEAT Rebound32
77.6%
20
22.4%
Q2 - 11:49DENAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)32
78.1%
20
21.9%
Q2 - 12:0032
20
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN32
79.4%
20
20.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
78.1%
20
21.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
78.3%
19
21.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENCarter S.FOUL (P1.T4)32
18
Q1 - 0:06.0DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)32
80.2%
18
19.8%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIASUB: Quinn FOR Chalmers30
18
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T4)30
18
Q1 - 0:17.0MIASUB: Beasley FOR Haslem30
18
Q1 - 0:17.0DENNuggets Rebound30
78.2%
18
21.8%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Chalmers 15' Jump Shot30
77.8%
18
22.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
76.9%
18
23.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot30
77.8%
18
22.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)30
76.9%
18
23.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAMarion Tip Shot (4 PTS)28
74.7%
18
25.3%
Q1 - 1:03MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
76.3%
16
23.7%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Marion 15' Jump Shot28
77.1%
16
22.9%
Q1 - 1:06MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
76.3%
16
23.7%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
77.1%
16
22.9%
Q1 - 1:16MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)28
16
Q1 - 1:23DENAndersen Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)28
76.3%
16
23.7%
Q1 - 1:33MIASUB: Cook FOR Wade26
16
Q1 - 1:33DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Anthony26
16
Q1 - 1:42DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
74.0%
16
26.0%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot26
73.6%
16
26.4%
Q1 - 2:02DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)26
72.1%
16
27.9%
Q1 - 2:13MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)24
69.8%
16
30.2%
Q1 - 2:17DENWade STEAL (1 STL)24
68.2%
16
31.8%
Q1 - 2:41DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene24
16
Q1 - 2:41DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)24
16
Q1 - 2:42MIAMarion 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
69.9%
16
30.1%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
72.1%
14
27.9%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Marion 10' Jump Shot24
73.2%
14
26.8%
Q1 - 2:59DENCarter Layup (2 PTS)24
72.1%
14
27.9%
Q1 - 3:03MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)22
70.0%
14
30.0%
Q1 - 3:10DENMartin 17' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
68.1%
14
31.9%
Q1 - 3:20MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Nene: Tip to Martin20
14
Q1 - 3:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)20
66.0%
14
34.0%
Q1 - 3:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)20
66.4%
13
33.6%
Q1 - 3:39DENNene S.FOUL (P1.T3)20
12
Q1 - 3:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
68.1%
12
31.9%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Fadeaway Jumper20
69.4%
12
30.6%
Q1 - 3:53DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)20
68.1%
12
31.9%
Q1 - 3:53MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T3)19
12
Q1 - 3:53DENAnthony Layup (5 PTS)19
12
Q1 - 4:04DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
62.5%
12
37.5%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
61.9%
12
38.1%
Q1 - 4:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
60.5%
12
39.5%
Q1 - 4:12MIAMISS Anthony Dunk17
61.9%
12
38.1%
Q1 - 4:32DENMartin Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)17
60.4%
12
39.6%
Q1 - 4:43DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
58.5%
12
41.5%
Q1 - 4:44DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
57.1%
12
42.9%
Q1 - 4:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)15
58.5%
12
41.5%
Q1 - 4:58DENSUB: Carter FOR Jones15
11
Q1 - 4:58MIAHEAT Rebound15
11
Q1 - 4:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 215
58.8%
11
41.2%
Q1 - 4:58DENJones S.FOUL (P2.T2)15
11
Q1 - 5:14DENBillups 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
57.8%
11
42.2%
Q1 - 5:34MIAMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
56.1%
11
43.9%
Q1 - 5:39DENChalmers STEAL (1 STL)13
53.9%
11
46.1%
Q1 - 5:48DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
56.0%
11
44.0%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Chalmers 11' Running Jump Shot13
55.4%
11
44.6%
Q1 - 5:58MIAHEAT Rebound13
53.9%
11
46.1%
Q1 - 5:59DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
54.5%
11
45.5%
Q1 - 6:12DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
55.7%
11
44.3%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 213
55.5%
11
44.5%
Q1 - 6:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
54.3%
11
45.7%
Q1 - 6:13DENJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)13
10
Q1 - 6:22MIASUB: Anthony FOR Magloire13
10
Q1 - 6:22MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
10
Q1 - 6:27DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)13
55.6%
10
44.4%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)11
53.8%
10
46.2%
Q1 - 6:51DENNene Dunk (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)11
52.0%
10
48.0%
Q1 - 7:07MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
50.3%
10
49.7%
Q1 - 7:32DENMartin Layup (2 PTS)9
51.8%
8
48.2%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMarion P.FOUL (P1.T2)7
8
Q1 - 7:57MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS)7
50.3%
8
49.7%
Q1 - 7:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
51.7%
6
48.3%
Q1 - 7:59MIAMISS Wade Layup7
52.9%
6
47.1%
Q1 - 8:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
51.8%
6
48.2%
Q1 - 8:11DENMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)7
52.2%
6
47.8%
Q1 - 8:27MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
53.1%
6
46.9%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
54.5%
4
45.5%
Q1 - 8:38DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 27
54.6%
4
45.4%
Q1 - 8:38DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
55.6%
4
44.4%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
4
Q1 - 8:53MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)6
54.3%
4
45.7%
Q1 - 8:55DENHaslem STEAL (1 STL)6
52.9%
4
47.1%
Q1 - 9:03DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
54.1%
4
45.9%
Q1 - 9:04MIAMISS Marion 7' Turnaround Jump Shot6
53.8%
4
46.2%
Q1 - 9:31DENJones Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)6
52.7%
4
47.3%
Q1 - 9:50MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
51.4%
4
48.6%
Q1 - 10:15DENBillups 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
51.9%
2
48.1%
Q1 - 10:21MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
51.1%
2
48.9%
Q1 - 10:32DENNene 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
50.3%
2
49.7%
Q1 - 10:36DENNuggets Rebound0
49.6%
2
50.4%
Q1 - 10:37DENMISS Anthony 9' Hook Shot0
49.1%
2
50.9%
Q1 - 10:59MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)0
49.7%
2
50.3%
Q1 - 11:09DENMartin Violation:Kicked Ball0
0
Q1 - 11:18MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.2%
0
49.8%
Q1 - 11:19DENMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot0
50.3%
0
49.7%
Q1 - 11:36DENNuggets Rebound0
50.3%
0
49.7%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot0
50.3%
0
49.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Magloire vs. Nene: Tip to Chalmers0
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 55.0%
MIA
1.02 51.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
25
31
81%
MIA
12
18
67%
Midrange
DEN
11
29
38%
MIA
14
35
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
MIA
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
Free Throws
DEN
12
14
86%
MIA
12
16
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2368%11.5 / 17
C. Anthony1948%9.5 / 20
K. Martin1864%9.0 / 14
J. Smith1063%5.0 / 8
A. Carter867%4.0 / 6
C. Andersen7175%3.5 / 2
Nene6100%3.0 / 3
L. Kleiza418%2.0 / 11
D. Jones233%1.0 / 3
J. Petro250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3361%16.5 / 27
S. Marion1454%7.0 / 13
M. Chalmers1042%5.0 / 12
C. Quinn8100%4.0 / 4
M. Beasley735%3.5 / 10
U. Haslem6100%3.0 / 3
D. Cook422%2.0 / 9
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 0
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
79
+11
-10
90
MIA
68
+12
-19
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 55.0%
MIA
1.02 51.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
107.6
DEN 111.2 +17.0
MIA 94.3
Pace
94.5
90.2
DEN 87.4
MIA 88.7 +1.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.3
DEN 16.5
MIA 16.2 −0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
50.0%
DEN 53.7% +5.8%
MIA 47.9%
TO %
15.8%
13.1%
DEN 10.3% −8.9%
MIA 19.2%
ORB %
27.5%
24.6%
DEN 23.5%
MIA 28.9% +5.4%
FTrt
38.2
28.2
DEN 17.3
MIA 21.9 +4.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
55.1%
DEN 53.7% +13.1%
MIA 40.6%
STL %
9.1%
8.7%
DEN 13.5% +7.8%
MIA 5.7%
BLK %
9.7%
9.2%
DEN 3.8%
MIA 10.0% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
52.6%
DEN 55.0% +3.7%
MIA 51.3%
Rim FG%
60.5%
59.5%
DEN 80.6% +13.9%
MIA 66.7%
Mid FG%
38.7%
41.8%
DEN 37.9%
MIA 40.0% +2.1%
3P %
37.1%
35.7%
DEN 23.8%
MIA 30.0% +6.2%
FT %
76.0%
75.4%
DEN 85.7% +10.7%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
30.3%
DEN 38.3% +13.6%
MIA 24.7%
Mid Att. %
37.6%
45.2%
DEN 35.8% −12.1%
MIA 47.9%
3P Att. %
22.7%
24.5%
DEN 25.9%
MIA 27.4% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points9982
Rebounds3537
Assists2213
Steals125
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)26 (4)
Field Goals41-8132-73
At-the-Rim FG25-3112-18
Midrange FG11-2914-35
2-Point FG36-6026-53
3-Point FG5-216-20
Free Throws12-1412-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 32
39.7
23
68%
2
5
2
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
7-9
78%
3-8
38%
F · 6'9" 225 · 31
37.1
18
64%
10
2
4
1
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
9-13
69%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
32.3
19
48%
9
1
1
0
4
1
2
7
9-11
82%
5-13
38%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 26
24.0
6
100%
4
3
1
0
1
5
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 28
16.3
2
33%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
29.1
8
67%
0
5
3
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 234 · 24
26.9
4
18%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-6
0%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23
19.4
10
63%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31
13.3
7
175%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 247 · 23
1.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 25
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23
#45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
55%
35
22
12
2
10
0
8
27
12-14
86%
36-60
60%
5-21
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.