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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 10, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings22%96100
12Mavericks78%106118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
36.9
28.1
11
43%
2
5
3
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
5-10
3-7
50%
48%
0-2
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.2
36.5
38.8
16
52%
1
5
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-3
67%
4-11
5-9
36%
49%
2-3
67%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.0
32.1
38.1
18
49%
4
1
3
1
0
0
0
4
7-8
88%
1-10
5-10
10%
47%
3-5
60%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.8
30.5
29.4
9
46%
2
1
0
1
2
4
0
2
3-4
75%
3-7
4-9
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.6
29.7
32.2
4
33%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
5-10
33%
50%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
25.1
6.6
15
87%
5
2
0
0
0
3
2
3
5-6
83%
5-6
1-2
83%
44%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.9
21.2
17.9
12
76%
6
0
2
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
2-2
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
17.5
25.7
11
69%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
1-1
100%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.0
5.3
3.8
2
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
5.3
3.4
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.4
6.6
0
1-1
42%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.5
2.5
0
0-0
47%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.8
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.9
35.5
32.3
15
75%
7
12
4
2
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
46%
3-5
60%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.8
35.3
29.3
23
69%
6
5
1
1
1
3
1
5
4-6
67%
8-13
5-11
62%
51%
1-1
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.6
35.0
36.4
21
60%
8
2
0
1
1
2
0
8
5-6
83%
8-15
9-18
53%
53%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.6
30.5
22.7
9
60%
16
2
0
0
3
1
6
10
1-1
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
63%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
24.4
22.6
23
69%
2
1
3
1
0
1
1
1
6-6
100%
7-11
2-4
64%
50%
1-3
33%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.6
25.6
22.2
10
71%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
50%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.8
19.0
20.3
6
44%
4
1
2
0
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.5
18.0
4.9
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
0-1
0%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
6.0
9.6
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
58%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
3.8
10.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
3.5
6.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
57%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.0
3.5
6.3
3
44%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.3
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.