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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 11, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pacers42%99110
23Bucks58%102122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
39.6
33.6
21
61%
1
6
2
1
0
4
1
0
3-3
100%
6-12
3-6
50%
47%
2-4
50%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.9
36.5
30.3
14
52%
3
13
1
1
0
2
2
1
8-8
100%
3-10
5-11
30%
46%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.8
34.0
35.5
26
55%
5
1
1
1
2
1
1
4
13-13
100%
2-9
5-11
22%
46%
3-9
33%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.8
33.7
34.1
23
82%
10
3
0
1
0
1
2
8
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
5-9
56%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.2
10.5
14.3
8
80%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
35.5
18.9
9
43%
6
0
2
1
2
1
2
4
0-1
0%
3-7
1-3
43%
44%
1-3
33%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.7
23.6
12.6
6
33%
7
0
0
0
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
3-9
2-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.0
15.0
15.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-3
0%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.7
7.8
8.6
3
80%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
3.7
6.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.1
15.3
1
2-5
48%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.0
3.1
0
0-1
48%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.4
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.0
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.6
41.9
34.3
32
71%
7
4
0
1
0
3
1
6
8-10
80%
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
4-6
67%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
35.7
35.3
15
64%
7
17
2
1
0
3
0
7
9-13
69%
3-6
6-12
50%
49%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
29.0
23.2
8
35%
11
1
1
1
1
1
5
6
4-8
50%
2-8
3-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.5
26.2
33.5
17
52%
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
3-3
100%
7-13
6-12
54%
51%
0-2
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.0
19.7
19.4
6
75%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.9
35.2
22.8
20
68%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
2-4
50%
6-10
2-4
60%
48%
2-3
67%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.8
21.9
18.2
9
104%
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
3-3
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
2-2
100%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.5
12.3
7.8
7
117%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
38%
1-1
100%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
8.4
15.0
2
33%
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.1
6.8
6.7
4
50%
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.6
2.9
8.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.5
5.8
0
0-0
40%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.0
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.2
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.