FinalWin Prob.pScore
1842%99
110
2358%102
122
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
113.49789.2
MIL logo MIL
123.299108.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0IND110
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILJefferson 29' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Villanueva 3 AST)110
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)110
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDMISS Rush 27' 3PT Jump Shot110
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILVillanueva Dunk (17 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)110
0.2%
119
99.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)110
0.5%
117
99.5%
Q4 - 0:49.0INDMISS Murphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot110
0.6%
117
99.4%
Q4 - 0:54.0INDJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)110
1.3%
117
98.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0INDMISS Rush 27' 3PT Jump Shot110
0.8%
117
99.2%
Q4 - 1:03MILSessions Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)110
1.7%
117
98.3%
Q4 - 1:11MILBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)110
1.1%
117
98.9%
Q4 - 1:12INDMISS Ford Layup110
1.4%
117
98.6%
Q4 - 1:13INDFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)110
2.2%
117
97.8%
Q4 - 1:15INDMISS Jack 26' 3PT Jump Shot110
1.5%
117
98.5%
Q4 - 1:18MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)110
2.4%
117
97.6%
Q4 - 1:18MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 1 of 2110
2.6%
116
97.4%
Q4 - 1:19MILBogans Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)110
4.2%
116
95.8%
Q4 - 1:19INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)110
4.0%
115
96.0%
Q4 - 1:19INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)109
3.7%
115
96.3%
Q4 - 1:24MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)108
2.6%
115
97.4%
Q4 - 1:24MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)108
2.9%
114
97.1%
Q4 - 1:43INDBell STEAL (1 STL)108
5.6%
113
94.4%
Q4 - 1:45INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)108
9.5%
113
90.5%
Q4 - 1:46INDMISS Jack 24' 3PT Jump Shot108
6.7%
113
93.3%
Q4 - 2:02INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)108
10.3%
113
89.7%
Q4 - 2:03MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2108
9.5%
113
90.5%
Q4 - 2:03MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2108
7.1%
113
92.9%
Q4 - 2:27INDJack 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Ford 13 AST)108
5.4%
113
94.6%
Q4 - 2:44MILSessions Driving Layup (14 PTS)105
2.5%
113
97.5%
Q4 - 2:56INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Ford 12 AST)105
4.6%
111
95.4%
Q4 - 3:08MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)102
2.1%
111
97.9%
Q4 - 3:08MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)102
2.2%
110
97.8%
Q4 - 3:18INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Murphy 3 AST)102
2.9%
109
97.1%
Q4 - 3:27INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)99
1.3%
109
98.7%
Q4 - 3:28MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
1.1%
109
98.9%
Q4 - 3:46MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
1.7%
109
98.3%
Q4 - 3:47INDMISS Ford Layup99
1.9%
109
98.1%
Q4 - 4:03MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)99
2.4%
109
97.6%
Q4 - 4:14MILGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
4.8%
106
95.2%
Q4 - 4:15INDMISS Murphy 27' 3PT Jump Shot99
5.4%
106
94.6%
Q4 - 4:28MILJefferson 13' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)99
7.0%
106
93.0%
Q4 - 4:38MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)99
9.7%
104
90.3%
Q4 - 4:40INDMISS Jack Layup99
10.9%
104
89.1%
Q4 - 4:54MILGill 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)99
14.0%
104
86.0%
Q4 - 5:15INDJack Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)99
28.2%
101
71.8%
Q4 - 5:20INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
16.8%
101
83.2%
Q4 - 5:21MILMISS Villanueva Layup96
15.3%
101
84.7%
Q4 - 5:44INDJack Layup (15 PTS)96
12.3%
101
87.7%
Q4 - 5:55MILGill Reverse Layup (4 PTS)94
9.2%
101
90.8%
Q4 - 6:07INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)94
14.6%
99
85.4%
Q4 - 6:07INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)93
14.1%
99
85.9%
Q4 - 6:22INDRush REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
11.3%
99
88.7%
Q4 - 6:23MILMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot92
10.3%
99
89.7%
Q4 - 6:43MILBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
8.4%
99
91.6%
Q4 - 6:44INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
9.2%
99
90.8%
Q4 - 6:55MILVillanueva Layup (12 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)92
11.2%
99
88.8%
Q4 - 7:15INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)92
15.9%
97
84.1%
Q4 - 7:15INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)91
15.4%
97
84.6%
Q4 - 7:20INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
12.7%
97
87.3%
Q4 - 7:21MILMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
11.7%
97
88.3%
Q4 - 7:32MILBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
9.7%
97
90.3%
Q4 - 7:35INDMISS Jack Layup90
10.5%
97
89.5%
Q4 - 7:41INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
12.7%
97
87.3%
Q4 - 7:43INDMISS Nesterovic 6' Hook Shot90
10.5%
97
89.5%
Q4 - 7:56MILGill Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)90
12.7%
97
87.3%
Q4 - 8:09MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
11.3%
97
88.7%
Q4 - 8:10INDMISS Jack 16' Jump Shot90
12.1%
97
87.9%
Q4 - 8:29MILJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)90
14.0%
97
86.0%
Q4 - 8:48MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
11.2%
97
88.8%
Q4 - 8:49MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
11.2%
97
88.8%
Q4 - 8:49MILMISS Jefferson Dunk90
13.1%
97
86.9%
Q4 - 8:50MILMISS Mbah a Moute Layup90
13.1%
97
86.9%
Q4 - 9:05MILBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
12.7%
97
87.3%
Q4 - 9:06INDMISS Granger 21' Jump Shot90
13.5%
97
86.5%
Q4 - 9:22MILBogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)90
15.5%
97
84.5%
Q4 - 9:41INDJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)90
23.0%
94
77.0%
Q4 - 9:41INDJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)89
22.5%
94
77.5%
Q4 - 9:46MILMbah a Moute Reverse Layup (8 PTS)88
18.8%
94
81.2%
Q4 - 9:48MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)88
23.0%
92
77.0%
Q4 - 9:50MILMISS Mbah a Moute 5' Jump Shot88
25.9%
92
74.1%
Q4 - 10:02MILBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
23.9%
92
76.1%
Q4 - 10:03INDMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
25.1%
92
74.9%
Q4 - 10:19INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
28.1%
92
71.9%
Q4 - 10:20MILMISS Mbah a Moute 15' Jump Shot88
26.8%
92
73.2%
Q4 - 10:29MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
23.8%
92
76.2%
Q4 - 10:30INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
25.1%
92
74.9%
Q4 - 10:40MILGill 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)88
28.1%
92
71.9%
Q4 - 11:03INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)88
33.6%
90
66.4%
Q4 - 11:03INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)87
33.0%
90
67.0%
Q4 - 11:19INDPacers Rebound86
28.7%
90
71.3%
Q4 - 11:21MILMISS Bogans Reverse Layup86
27.4%
90
72.6%
Q4 - 11:35INDGranger Layup (14 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)86
24.7%
90
75.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL84
20.7%
90
79.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDGill STEAL (1 STL)84
17.6%
90
82.4%
Q3 - 0:25.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
21.4%
90
78.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0MILMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot84
20.5%
90
79.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0INDMurphy Layup (23 PTS)84
18.5%
90
81.5%
Q3 - 1:03MILJefferson Free Throw 3 of 3 (25 PTS)82
15.9%
90
84.1%
Q3 - 1:03MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 3 (24 PTS)82
16.4%
89
83.6%
Q3 - 1:03MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 3 (23 PTS)82
16.9%
88
83.1%
Q3 - 1:26INDRush Foul Turnover (P1.T12)82
22.1%
87
77.9%
Q3 - 1:45MILJefferson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Sessions 17 AST)82
25.4%
87
74.6%
Q3 - 1:53MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
33.9%
84
66.1%
Q3 - 1:54INDMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot82
35.2%
84
64.8%
Q3 - 2:02INDBaston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
38.2%
84
61.8%
Q3 - 2:04INDMISS Nesterovic Layup82
35.2%
84
64.8%
Q3 - 2:19MILBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)82
38.2%
84
61.8%
Q3 - 2:19MILBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
39.1%
83
60.9%
Q3 - 2:37INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)82
42.8%
82
57.2%
Q3 - 2:37INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
42.2%
82
57.8%
Q3 - 2:43INDBaston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
38.2%
82
61.8%
Q3 - 2:44MILMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot80
36.9%
82
63.1%
Q3 - 2:59INDRush 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ford 10 AST)80
33.9%
82
66.1%
Q3 - 3:20MILBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sessions 16 AST)78
30.3%
82
69.7%
Q3 - 3:36INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
38.1%
79
61.9%
Q3 - 3:36INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)77
37.6%
79
62.4%
Q3 - 3:47MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)76
34.2%
79
65.8%
Q3 - 3:47MILMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 276
34.9%
78
65.1%
Q3 - 3:47MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
34.0%
78
66.0%
Q3 - 3:47INDRush REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
38.4%
78
61.6%
Q3 - 3:47INDMISS Rush Layup76
35.3%
78
64.7%
Q3 - 3:48INDMISS Rush Layup76
35.3%
78
64.7%
Q3 - 3:55INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
38.4%
78
61.6%
Q3 - 3:56MILMISS Sessions Layup76
37.0%
78
63.0%
Q3 - 4:06MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
33.9%
78
66.1%
Q3 - 4:07INDMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
35.3%
78
64.7%
Q3 - 4:21INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
38.6%
78
61.4%
Q3 - 4:22MILMISS Villanueva 18' Jump Shot76
37.1%
78
62.9%
Q3 - 4:39INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
33.9%
78
66.1%
Q3 - 4:39INDNesterovic Tip Shot (6 PTS)76
33.9%
78
66.1%
Q3 - 4:40INDMISS Rush Layup74
27.8%
78
72.2%
Q3 - 4:54MILVillanueva 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)74
30.7%
78
69.3%
Q3 - 5:07MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
33.9%
76
66.1%
Q3 - 5:08INDMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot74
35.2%
76
64.8%
Q3 - 5:33MILSessions Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)74
38.3%
76
61.7%
Q3 - 5:38MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
33.9%
76
66.1%
Q3 - 5:39INDMISS Jack 14' Jump Shot74
35.2%
76
64.8%
Q3 - 5:53MILJefferson 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)74
38.3%
76
61.7%
Q3 - 6:12INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Ford 9 AST)74
41.7%
74
58.3%
Q3 - 6:29MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)71
34.4%
74
65.6%
Q3 - 6:29MILMbah a Moute Tip Shot (6 PTS)71
34.4%
74
65.6%
Q3 - 6:31MILMISS Jefferson Layup71
40.8%
72
59.2%
Q3 - 6:35MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
37.9%
72
62.1%
Q3 - 6:37INDVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)71
39.1%
72
60.9%
Q3 - 6:54MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)71
42.0%
72
58.0%
Q3 - 6:54MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)71
42.8%
71
57.2%
Q3 - 6:58MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
45.7%
70
54.3%
Q3 - 7:00INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
47.0%
70
53.0%
Q3 - 7:10MILJefferson Layup (17 PTS) (Sessions 15 AST)71
49.2%
70
50.8%
Q3 - 7:22INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)71
52.9%
68
47.1%
Q3 - 7:36MILVillanueva 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)68
45.4%
68
54.6%
Q3 - 7:47INDHibbert 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)68
49.1%
66
50.9%
Q3 - 8:08MILJefferson 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Sessions 14 AST)66
45.2%
66
54.8%
Q3 - 8:21INDMurphy 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jack 6 AST)66
48.6%
64
51.4%
Q3 - 8:37INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
45.2%
64
54.8%
Q3 - 8:38MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 264
44.6%
64
55.4%
Q3 - 8:38MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)64
42.1%
64
57.9%
Q3 - 8:41INDSessions STEAL (2 STL)64
44.9%
63
55.1%
Q3 - 9:03MILElson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)64
48.6%
63
51.4%
Q3 - 9:14MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
44.9%
63
55.1%
Q3 - 9:15INDMISS Hibbert 6' Hook Shot64
46.0%
63
54.0%
Q3 - 9:33MILJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)64
48.6%
63
51.4%
Q3 - 9:36INDElson STEAL (1 STL)64
44.8%
63
55.2%
Q3 - 9:47INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
48.6%
63
51.4%
Q3 - 9:48INDMISS Murphy 14' Jump Shot64
46.0%
63
54.0%
Q3 - 10:08MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)64
48.2%
63
51.8%
Q3 - 10:08MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
48.8%
62
51.2%
Q3 - 10:23INDHibbert 7' Hook Bank Shot (6 PTS)64
51.7%
61
48.3%
Q3 - 10:35INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
48.2%
61
51.8%
Q3 - 10:36MILMISS Villanueva 14' Jump Shot62
47.1%
61
52.9%
Q3 - 10:49INDGranger 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jack 5 AST)62
44.6%
61
55.4%
Q3 - 11:12MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)59
37.9%
61
62.1%
Q3 - 11:17MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
44.4%
58
55.6%
Q3 - 11:18INDMISS Murphy 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
45.5%
58
54.5%
Q3 - 11:37MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
48.1%
58
51.9%
Q3 - 11:37MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 259
48.7%
57
51.3%
Q3 - 11:37MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
47.8%
57
52.2%
Q3 - 11:37MILMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
50.4%
57
49.6%
Q3 - 11:45MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
47.8%
57
52.2%
Q3 - 11:47MILMISS Mbah a Moute Reverse Layup59
50.4%
57
49.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL59
47.8%
57
52.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound59
47.8%
57
52.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Sessions 10' Jump Shot59
50.4%
57
49.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
48.3%
57
51.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0INDMISS Ford 15' Jump Shot59
49.0%
57
51.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
50.8%
57
49.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0INDMISS Rush Free Throw 1 of 159
48.6%
57
51.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0MILAlexander Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)57
44.1%
57
55.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
41.5%
57
58.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0MILMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
43.3%
57
56.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0INDAlexander STEAL (1 STL)57
41.5%
57
58.5%
Q2 - 1:16INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
43.9%
57
56.1%
Q2 - 1:17MILMISS Alexander Layup57
43.2%
57
56.8%
Q2 - 1:23MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
41.6%
57
58.4%
Q2 - 1:25INDAlexander BLOCK (1 BLK)57
42.3%
57
57.7%
Q2 - 1:49MILAlexander Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Sessions 13 AST)57
43.9%
57
56.1%
Q2 - 2:01INDJack Foul Turnover (P1.T8)57
47.1%
55
52.9%
Q2 - 2:05INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
50.5%
55
49.5%
Q2 - 2:06MILMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot57
49.4%
55
50.6%
Q2 - 2:20INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
47.2%
55
52.8%
Q2 - 2:20INDNesterovic Layup (4 PTS)57
47.2%
55
52.8%
Q2 - 2:21INDMISS Ford Layup55
41.9%
55
58.1%
Q2 - 2:43MILSessions Layup (7 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)55
44.1%
55
55.9%
Q2 - 2:46INDMbah a Moute STEAL (1 STL)55
47.2%
53
52.8%
Q2 - 3:01MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)55
50.4%
53
49.6%
Q2 - 3:01MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 255
51.0%
52
49.0%
Q2 - 3:07MILBUCKS Rebound55
49.9%
52
50.1%
Q2 - 3:08MILMISS Alexander 15' Jump Shot55
52.4%
52
47.6%
Q2 - 3:22INDFord Layup (8 PTS)55
49.9%
52
50.1%
Q2 - 3:29INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
47.3%
52
52.7%
Q2 - 3:30MILMISS Bell Layup53
46.2%
52
53.8%
Q2 - 3:38MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
43.7%
52
56.3%
Q2 - 3:39INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
44.8%
52
55.2%
Q2 - 3:50MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Sessions 12 AST)53
47.3%
52
52.7%
Q2 - 4:10INDRush 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)53
52.7%
49
47.3%
Q2 - 4:30INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
46.8%
49
53.2%
Q2 - 4:31MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 2 of 250
46.4%
49
53.6%
Q2 - 4:31MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
44.3%
49
55.7%
Q2 - 4:45INDNesterovic Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)50
46.6%
48
53.4%
Q2 - 5:05MILBell 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)48
43.7%
48
56.3%
Q2 - 5:27INDJack 11' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
46.7%
46
53.3%
Q2 - 5:44MILAlexander 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sessions 11 AST)46
43.6%
46
56.4%
Q2 - 6:03INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)46
46.1%
44
53.9%
Q2 - 6:03INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
45.7%
44
54.3%
Q2 - 6:12INDPacers Rebound44
43.8%
44
56.2%
Q2 - 6:12INDBell BLOCK (1 BLK)44
41.4%
44
58.6%
Q2 - 6:14MILMbah a Moute Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)44
43.8%
44
56.2%
Q2 - 6:16MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
40.4%
44
59.6%
Q2 - 6:17MILMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot44
42.7%
44
57.3%
Q2 - 6:25MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
40.4%
44
59.6%
Q2 - 6:26INDMISS Granger Layup44
41.4%
44
58.6%
Q2 - 6:30INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
43.7%
44
56.3%
Q2 - 6:31MILMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot44
42.7%
44
57.3%
Q2 - 6:57INDJack 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)44
40.5%
44
59.5%
Q2 - 7:08MILBell Layup (14 PTS)41
35.3%
44
64.7%
Q2 - 7:12MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
37.9%
42
62.1%
Q2 - 7:14INDMbah a Moute BLOCK (1 BLK)41
38.7%
42
61.3%
Q2 - 7:18MILBell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)41
40.6%
42
59.4%
Q2 - 7:32INDFord 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
37.8%
42
62.2%
Q2 - 7:51MILBell 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Sessions 10 AST)39
35.3%
42
64.7%
Q2 - 7:57MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
37.8%
40
62.2%
Q2 - 7:58INDMISS Jack 14' Jump Shot39
38.7%
40
61.3%
Q2 - 8:16MILElson Layup (6 PTS) (Sessions 9 AST)39
40.5%
40
59.5%
Q2 - 8:33INDMurphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)39
43.2%
38
56.8%
Q2 - 8:45INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
37.9%
38
62.1%
Q2 - 8:47MILMISS Mbah a Moute 16' Jump Shot36
37.1%
38
62.9%
Q2 - 9:00INDMurphy Layup (10 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)36
35.4%
38
64.6%
Q2 - 9:13MILElson Layup (4 PTS) (Sessions 8 AST)34
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 9:27INDGranger Layup (7 PTS)34
35.2%
36
64.8%
Q2 - 9:32MILBogans Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)32
32.8%
36
67.2%
Q2 - 9:45INDRush Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
30.5%
36
69.5%
Q2 - 9:47INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
28.3%
36
71.7%
Q2 - 9:49INDMISS Rush 16' Jump Shot30
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 10:03MILVillanueva 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Sessions 7 AST)30
28.6%
36
71.4%
Q2 - 10:09MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 10:10INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
31.4%
34
68.6%
Q2 - 10:24INDPacers Rebound30
33.0%
34
67.0%
Q2 - 10:24MILMISS Villanueva 19' Jump Shot30
32.3%
34
67.7%
Q2 - 10:37INDJack 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)30
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 10:41INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
28.5%
34
71.5%
Q2 - 10:42INDMISS Nesterovic 21' Jump Shot28
27.0%
34
73.0%
Q2 - 11:04MILVillanueva Layup (4 PTS) (Sessions 6 AST)28
28.8%
34
71.2%
Q2 - 11:17MILBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
30.9%
32
69.1%
Q2 - 11:18INDMISS Diener 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
31.6%
32
68.4%
Q2 - 11:42MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
33.2%
32
66.8%
Q2 - 11:42MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 1 of 228
33.5%
31
66.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND28
33.1%
31
66.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)28
35.5%
31
64.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0INDGraham Foul Turnover (P2.T6)28
40.3%
28
59.7%
Q1 - 0:25.0INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
42.1%
28
57.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILMISS Gadzuric Layup28
41.5%
28
58.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0INDGraham Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)28
40.3%
28
59.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0INDBaston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
42.1%
28
57.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0MILMISS Bell Free Throw 2 of 228
41.9%
28
58.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
40.1%
28
59.9%
Q1 - 1:03INDBaston Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)28
42.7%
27
57.3%
Q1 - 1:19INDPacers Rebound28
44.3%
27
55.7%
Q1 - 1:20MILMISS Villanueva 7' Jump Shot28
43.8%
27
56.2%
Q1 - 1:34INDBaston Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)28
42.7%
27
57.3%
Q1 - 1:34INDMISS Baston Free Throw 1 of 227
42.1%
27
57.9%
Q1 - 1:57MILGadzuric 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)27
41.9%
27
58.1%
Q1 - 2:06MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
44.7%
25
55.3%
Q1 - 2:06MILMISS Gadzuric Layup27
46.0%
25
54.0%
Q1 - 2:18INDBaston Foul Turnover (P1.T3)27
44.7%
25
55.3%
Q1 - 2:27MILBell 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)27
46.6%
25
53.4%
Q1 - 2:37INDBaston 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)27
49.4%
23
50.6%
Q1 - 2:52MILGill Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)25
46.6%
23
53.4%
Q1 - 3:17INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)25
44.5%
23
55.5%
Q1 - 3:41MILSessions Foul Turnover (P1.T2)25
46.8%
23
53.2%
Q1 - 3:51INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
44.5%
23
55.5%
Q1 - 3:51INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)24
44.3%
23
55.7%
Q1 - 4:00INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
42.2%
23
57.8%
Q1 - 4:01MILMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
41.3%
23
58.7%
Q1 - 4:16INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)23
39.7%
23
60.3%
Q1 - 4:16INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)22
39.5%
23
60.5%
Q1 - 4:33MILBell 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sessions 5 AST)21
37.7%
23
62.3%
Q1 - 4:38MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
39.7%
21
60.3%
Q1 - 4:40INDGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)21
40.4%
21
59.6%
Q1 - 4:46INDBaston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
42.0%
21
58.0%
Q1 - 4:47MILMISS Sessions 21' Jump Shot21
41.3%
21
58.7%
Q1 - 4:55MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
39.7%
21
60.3%
Q1 - 4:56INDMISS Granger Layup21
40.4%
21
59.6%
Q1 - 5:05INDGranger Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)21
42.0%
21
58.0%
Q1 - 5:12INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
39.9%
21
60.1%
Q1 - 5:14INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
38.2%
21
61.8%
Q1 - 5:27MILBell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gadzuric 2 AST)20
39.9%
21
60.1%
Q1 - 5:37MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw Technical20
41.7%
19
58.3%
Q1 - 5:57INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)20
41.7%
19
58.3%
Q1 - 6:14MILJefferson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Sessions 4 AST)17
37.6%
19
62.4%
Q1 - 6:24INDMurphy 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)17
39.5%
17
60.5%
Q1 - 6:37MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
35.6%
17
64.4%
Q1 - 6:37MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)14
35.9%
16
64.1%
Q1 - 6:41MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
37.5%
15
62.5%
Q1 - 6:42INDMISS Granger 7' Hook Shot14
38.1%
15
61.9%
Q1 - 6:55MILAllen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)14
39.6%
15
60.4%
Q1 - 7:09INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
41.3%
13
58.7%
Q1 - 7:09INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
41.1%
13
58.9%
Q1 - 7:16MILJefferson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)12
39.5%
13
60.5%
Q1 - 7:30INDFord Layup (2 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)12
43.4%
10
56.6%
Q1 - 7:38INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
41.6%
10
58.4%
Q1 - 7:39MILMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot10
40.9%
10
59.1%
Q1 - 7:50INDMurphy 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)10
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 8:01MILJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)8
37.3%
10
62.7%
Q1 - 8:08MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
41.3%
7
58.7%
Q1 - 8:10MILMISS Mbah a Moute Layup8
42.7%
7
57.3%
Q1 - 8:28INDHibbert Layup (4 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)8
41.3%
7
58.7%
Q1 - 8:33INDPacers Rebound6
39.3%
7
60.7%
Q1 - 8:33INDMISS Ford Layup6
37.9%
7
62.1%
Q1 - 8:37MILJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
39.3%
7
60.7%
Q1 - 8:59INDHibbert Dunk (2 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)6
37.3%
7
62.7%
Q1 - 9:29MILElson Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)4
35.7%
7
64.3%
Q1 - 9:38MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
37.7%
5
62.3%
Q1 - 9:39INDMISS Jack 12' Jump Shot4
38.2%
5
61.8%
Q1 - 9:58MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
39.4%
5
60.6%
Q1 - 9:58MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 10:10MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
41.2%
3
58.8%
Q1 - 10:11INDMISS Granger 11' Jump Shot4
41.8%
3
58.2%
Q1 - 10:17INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
43.1%
3
56.9%
Q1 - 10:18MILMISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot4
42.5%
3
57.5%
Q1 - 10:38INDJack 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)4
41.2%
3
58.8%
Q1 - 10:42MILJefferson Dunk (2 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)2
39.6%
3
60.4%
Q1 - 10:46INDSessions STEAL (1 STL)2
41.2%
1
58.8%
Q1 - 10:56MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
43.1%
1
56.9%
Q1 - 10:56MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 1 of 22
43.4%
0
56.6%
Q1 - 11:04MILElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.4%
0
57.6%
Q1 - 11:05INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
42.9%
0
57.1%
Q1 - 11:14INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
44.1%
0
55.9%
Q1 - 11:16MILMISS Elson 7' Jump Shot2
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 11:33INDJack 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)2
42.5%
0
57.5%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Elson vs. Hibbert: Tip to Ford0
40.9%
0
59.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.09 54.5%
MIL
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
14
30
47%
MIL
16
29
55%
Midrange
IND
12
28
43%
MIL
17
35
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
MIL
9
13.5
14
64%
96%
Free Throws
IND
25
27
93%
MIL
29
41
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger2654%13.0 / 24
T. Murphy2382%11.5 / 14
J. Jack2162%10.5 / 17
T. Ford1450%7.0 / 14
B. Rush945%4.5 / 10
R. Hibbert880%4.0 / 5
R. Nesterovic633%3.0 / 9
M. Baston375%1.5 / 2
T. Diener0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jefferson3273%16.0 / 22
C. Bell2067%10.0 / 15
C. Villanueva1753%8.5 / 16
R. Sessions1563%7.5 / 12
K. Bogans990%4.5 / 5
L. Mbah a Moute833%4.0 / 12
E. Gill7117%3.5 / 3
F. Elson675%3.0 / 4
J. Alexander450%2.0 / 4
D. Gadzuric233%1.0 / 3
M. Allen2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
84
+15
-13
99
MIL
86
+12
-13
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.09 54.5%
MIL
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
106.3
IND 113.4
MIL 123.2 +9.8
Pace
96.5
93.0
IND 89.2
MIL 108.5 +19.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
15.2
IND 16.1
MIL 13.3 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
48.3%
IND 49.4%
MIL 59.6% +10.2%
TO %
14.4%
14.6%
IND 12.5%
MIL 11.9% +0.6%
ORB %
25.5%
27.9%
IND 27.1%
MIL 28.6% +1.5%
FTrt
26.7
30.6
IND 31.4
MIL 52.6 +21.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
59.9%
IND 67.6%
MIL 76.2% +8.6%
STL %
7.2%
7.9%
IND 6.2%
MIL 7.1% +0.9%
BLK %
8.1%
6.5%
IND 10.9% +2.3%
MIL 8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
51.8%
IND 54.5%
MIL 61.6% +7.1%
Rim FG%
56.5%
55.5%
IND 46.7%
MIL 55.2% +8.5%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.3%
IND 42.9%
MIL 48.6% +5.7%
3P %
37.8%
36.3%
IND 39.3%
MIL 64.3% +25.0%
FT %
80.7%
78.0%
IND 92.6% +21.9%
MIL 70.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
33.3%
IND 34.9%
MIL 37.2% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
45.9%
IND 32.6% +12.3%
MIL 44.9%
3P Att. %
24.4%
20.8%
IND 32.6% +14.6%
MIL 17.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIL
Possessions9799
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points110122
Rebounds3845
Assists2532
Steals67
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)35 (0)
Field Goals37-8642-78
At-the-Rim FG14-3016-29
Midrange FG12-2817-35
2-Point FG26-5833-64
3-Point FG11-289-14
Free Throws25-2729-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
39.6
21
62%
1
6
2
0
4
3
1
0
3-3
100%
6-12
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'0" 165 · 26
36.5
14
50%
3
13
1
0
2
3
2
1
8-8
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 222 · 26
34.0
26
54%
5
1
1
2
1
5
1
4
13-13
100%
2-9
22%
3-9
33%
F · 6'11" 245 · 29
33.7
23
82%
10
3
0
0
1
3
2
8
0-0
-
4-5
80%
5-9
56%
C · 7'2" 270 · 22
10.5
8
80%
2
0
0
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24
35.5
9
45%
6
0
2
2
1
4
2
4
0-1
0%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 255 · 33
23.6
6
33%
7
0
0
1
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 27
15.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
F · 6'10" 230 · 33
7.8
3
75%
4
0
0
1
2
4
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27
3.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 28
· 6'10" 240 · 22
#17 · G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
55%
38
25
6
7
13
0
13
25
25-27
93%
26-58
45%
11-28
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.