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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 11, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Kings12%9282
6Rockets88%10794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.0
44.1
35.2
18
62%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
7-8
88%
4-9
4-10
44%
46%
1-2
50%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.8
40.8
29.4
12
50%
7
6
1
1
2
3
1
6
0-0
-
6-12
4-9
50%
45%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
34.5
31.4
10
71%
2
3
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
5-6
3-7
83%
47%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.2
25.5
37.2
2
14%
5
2
3
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.6
24.5
30.7
14
60%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-4
50%
6-10
4-9
60%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
29.4
22.3
7
40%
5
3
1
1
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.9
25.6
19.0
15
74%
1
2
2
1
0
3
1
0
3-5
60%
3-4
2-4
75%
42%
2-4
50%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
12.0
14.9
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.6
3.8
2.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.4
5.2
0
0-1
41%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.0
5.0
0
0-1
44%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
4.8
0
0-1
41%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.8
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.2
39.5
25.5
19
74%
3
4
1
1
0
5
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
49%
3-7
43%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.4
36.1
26.6
24
56%
18
1
1
0
1
3
7
11
8-8
100%
8-18
6-11
44%
56%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.6
34.5
28.2
5
25%
0
13
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
1-6
17%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.4
33.4
29.6
5
42%
3
0
5
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.8
30.9
26.6
19
64%
11
2
1
1
0
3
2
9
7-9
78%
6-11
5-9
55%
56%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.1
19.0
10.0
6
100%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
57%
2-3
67%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.1
18.8
19.4
10
78%
3
3
0
0
1
4
1
2
0-1
0%
2-2
2-5
100%
49%
2-4
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.4
15.8
20.7
6
75%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
4-6
75%
60%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.6
12.1
15.8
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.7
29.9
1
5-10
49%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.7
6.9
0
0-1
52%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.6
2.8
0
0-0
54%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.2
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.