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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 17, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bobcats27%88102
4Magic73%96107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.6
42.2
40.6
22
50%
10
5
1
2
0
0
4
6
1-2
50%
9-19
5-11
47%
42%
1-2
50%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.4
41.5
32.6
13
53%
6
4
1
1
0
2
2
4
4-5
80%
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
1-2
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
39.0
31.5
8
40%
4
4
0
2
1
4
0
4
1-2
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.4
35.2
32.9
14
44%
9
1
4
1
1
1
4
5
2-4
50%
6-14
5-10
43%
52%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.8
32.4
39.2
14
44%
7
1
0
1
0
2
1
6
0-2
0%
7-13
5-9
54%
50%
0-2
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
25.3
20.1
12
55%
4
1
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
2-6
33%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.1
17.7
19.6
6
51%
7
1
1
0
2
0
5
2
0-2
0%
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.3
14.8
32.1
11
79%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-6
67%
41%
1-1
100%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
8.7
18.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.0
8.1
11.4
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
2.7
0
0-1
46%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.8
2.3
0
0-1
47%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.9
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.2
46.7
36.2
45
73%
19
0
1
1
8
5
8
11
13-18
72%
16-23
7-13
70%
59%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
39.1
34.2
17
52%
6
4
1
1
1
2
1
5
4-5
80%
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
3-8
38%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.9
37.7
33.5
13
38%
5
7
1
1
1
3
1
4
7-9
78%
3-11
4-7
27%
47%
0-2
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.4
30.3
22.5
5
63%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
22.3
29.8
3
25%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
53%
1-5
20%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.4
32.8
27.6
7
51%
4
1
2
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
50%
1-1
100%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.7
19.8
14.0
10
85%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.8
16.4
11.5
5
39%
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-1
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
13.6
12.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.0
6.3
8.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
3.1
0
0-1
45%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25.0
2.6
0
0-1
46%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.8
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.9
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.