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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 17, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bucks33%8992
11Pistons67%9586
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
41.7
34.6
17
41%
9
7
0
1
0
1
1
8
5-8
63%
6-16
5-11
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.7
40.7
36.7
29
81%
5
5
0
1
0
1
1
4
9-11
82%
4-8
5-10
50%
47%
4-5
80%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
30.6
25.1
7
51%
7
0
2
1
0
1
1
6
1-2
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.0
28.1
19.2
8
69%
5
1
2
1
4
0
2
3
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.5
25.1
29.8
10
34%
5
3
0
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
3-9
5-11
33%
49%
1-5
20%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.6
27.7
6.5
14
58%
8
1
0
0
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
7-11
1-2
64%
45%
0-1
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.9
24.5
27.7
5
25%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-5
14%
46%
1-3
33%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.8
12.3
19.4
2
53%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.5
6.3
9.6
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
37%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
3.0
12.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.1
6.9
0
1-2
47%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.5
3.8
0
0-0
38%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.0
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.2
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.7
42.3
37.0
10
35%
5
8
3
1
1
3
2
3
2-3
67%
4-13
6-13
31%
47%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.4
40.9
28.5
24
74%
14
2
0
1
2
1
3
11
2-3
67%
11-15
3-7
73%
51%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.4
34.3
30.9
10
42%
8
0
0
1
2
0
1
7
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
0-5
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.8
30.9
31.8
3
22%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
5-11
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.0
29.6
37.7
10
63%
7
8
0
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
2-6
5-10
33%
48%
2-2
100%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.0
32.0
31.5
22
50%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
7-7
100%
6-16
6-12
38%
49%
1-3
33%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.8
13.8
16.3
2
100%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
7.3
11.7
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.0
6.6
13.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.1
2.4
3.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.9
5.4
0
0-1
53%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
1.2
0
0-0
50%
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.