for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 17, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Spurs56%100107
22Knicks44%99112
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.4
45.4
31.8
20
55%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
3-3
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
45%
3-9
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.8
42.7
33.3
14
32%
3
7
2
1
0
3
2
1
4-4
100%
5-19
8-15
26%
52%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.8
39.4
32.9
26
60%
15
5
0
1
2
7
2
13
10-13
77%
8-15
8-15
53%
52%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
33.9
27.9
10
56%
8
1
0
1
1
3
2
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
2-4
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.0
32.8
24.3
9
33%
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
4-8
2-3
50%
47%
0-5
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.7
30.8
14.8
8
80%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
2-3
67%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.8
18.0
14.2
3
34%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.4
15.8
17.4
12
86%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
6-7
2-4
86%
49%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.9
5.5
3.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
58%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.5
0.8
4.1
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-1
100%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.0
8.1
0
1-2
42%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
6.5
0
1-2
49%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.3
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.5
46.2
23.6
17
82%
4
8
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-3
67%
6-6
1-3
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
35.2
31.4
17
57%
2
0
1
1
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
5-9
4-8
56%
48%
2-5
40%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.0
34.0
35.5
11
38%
10
1
1
1
0
4
3
7
5-8
63%
3-8
5-11
38%
47%
0-3
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.8
30.1
37.2
13
47%
12
4
3
1
0
1
2
10
1-2
50%
6-13
7-13
46%
56%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.2
22.1
25.0
4
50%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 24.7
38.3
36.0
32
66%
10
3
1
1
0
1
3
7
2-3
67%
9-15
5-10
60%
50%
4-8
50%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.0
27.3
12.3
8
40%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
1-4
25%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.8
21.6
12.6
8
38%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
42%
1-5
20%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.5
10.1
15.2
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.2
5.4
0
1-2
38%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.0
5.0
0
0-1
45%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.3
1.4
0
0-0
48%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.5
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 26.2
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.