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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 17, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Clippers24%98100
12Suns76%107140
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.1
35.9
36.5
24
64%
0
2
1
1
1
3
0
0
5-6
83%
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
3-5
60%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.4
34.5
22.8
10
51%
2
3
1
1
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
2-5
40%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.2
26.1
33.5
8
40%
1
1
2
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
3-7
6-14
43%
46%
0-2
0%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.9
23.8
31.8
9
41%
1
6
0
2
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
11.5
34.0
4
40%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
7-15
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 29.9
28.1
23.0
10
67%
0
3
2
1
0
5
0
0
0-1
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
2-3
67%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.7
27.9
22.8
10
42%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
54%
2-8
25%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.6
21.7
6.5
5
73%
7
0
1
0
3
2
1
6
1-1
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
55%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.5
13.3
8.1
10
85%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
2-2
100%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.1
12.0
1.4
10
73%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
0-0
25%
45%
2-2
100%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.8
5.3
2.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-1
0%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.8
7.5
0
1-2
47%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 34.9
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.1
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.2
27.9
25.2
24
90%
7
5
5
1
0
2
1
6
3-3
100%
6-8
4-7
75%
54%
3-4
75%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.0
24.9
20.6
8
69%
1
10
1
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-2
3-5
100%
53%
0-2
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 36.4
23.1
29.3
20
77%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
10-13
4-7
77%
54%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 37.0
21.2
28.4
15
102%
8
1
0
1
0
3
0
8
3-3
100%
6-6
6-10
100%
59%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.3
20.3
36.6
23
76%
5
3
0
1
0
1
3
2
5-7
71%
9-12
8-14
75%
57%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.6
23.7
5.8
6
34%
8
2
5
0
0
1
3
5
0-2
0%
3-8
1-1
38%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 28.9
23.5
20.0
6
33%
9
6
2
1
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
52%
0-5
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
23.1
13.2
12
77%
4
2
0
1
0
4
1
3
3-4
75%
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
1-1
100%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.0
20.1
9.2
8
36%
2
1
1
0
0
3
2
0
4-5
80%
2-7
1-3
29%
51%
0-2
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.2
20.1
15.7
13
73%
8
0
0
0
1
3
3
5
1-2
50%
6-8
2-3
75%
55%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 20.9
12.0
6.2
5
64%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.1
29.0
1
4-8
50%
Courtney Sims
C · 6'11" 245 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.