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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 17, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Grizzlies19%9099
7Jazz81%101117
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.3
36.2
37.1
18
54%
3
2
1
1
0
5
2
1
7-8
88%
4-10
5-11
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
35.5
16.0
18
58%
6
2
1
1
1
3
3
3
6-8
75%
6-11
3-5
55%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.4
29.7
35.7
13
69%
4
4
2
1
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.6
28.7
35.0
8
82%
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
3-4
6-12
75%
50%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
21.1
26.8
12
68%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
4-4
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.7
23.9
18.0
15
82%
10
3
0
0
1
1
3
7
3-5
60%
6-7
2-4
86%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.4
17.8
26.6
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
16.8
7.6
10
56%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-8
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.2
14.3
10.5
0
0%
6
2
0
0
0
3
4
2
0-0
-
0-7
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.9
10.0
10.7
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.8
3.0
22.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
3.0
6.8
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
39.3
38.7
20
50%
1
15
2
1
0
4
0
1
5-5
100%
6-15
7-12
40%
54%
1-3
33%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
36.5
29.0
24
72%
3
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
4-4
100%
7-12
4-7
58%
53%
2-3
67%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.9
31.6
35.5
19
82%
6
0
1
2
0
1
1
5
6-6
100%
5-6
5-9
83%
57%
1-3
33%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.0
31.2
30.4
18
66%
8
2
1
1
4
1
3
5
6-6
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
56%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.2
24.4
5.0
8
50%
7
1
0
0
0
1
6
1
0-0
-
4-8
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.9
21.4
29.2
3
17%
9
0
1
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
50%
1-5
20%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
17.5
23.0
14
90%
1
1
3
1
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
53%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.0
11.1
3.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.7
10.9
16.6
3
26%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
0-4
3-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.3
7.8
7.6
4
106%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.2
5.3
3.4
2
114%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.7
3.0
9.7
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.2
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.7
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.