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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pacers38%9594
13Bobcats62%99103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
40.4
35.2
18
54%
8
5
1
1
2
2
2
6
3-4
75%
6-12
3-7
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.8
36.6
30.3
18
51%
16
4
0
1
0
1
3
13
5-6
83%
5-11
2-5
45%
48%
1-4
25%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.9
35.5
29.7
6
27%
4
4
1
1
0
5
1
3
2-5
40%
2-9
5-10
22%
46%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.2
15.7
16.8
6
38%
4
0
0
0
2
0
3
1
0-2
0%
3-7
4-7
43%
52%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.8
10.3
35.4
12
61%
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-6
5-11
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.1
28.1
21.8
14
44%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
7-13
4-7
54%
48%
0-3
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
22.0
16.9
5
25%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
1-6
17%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.0
21.6
17.1
1
13%
6
6
0
0
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-3
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.7
18.1
18.8
10
83%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
3-7
83%
52%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.7
11.9
7.6
4
100%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
3.2
0
0-1
48%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.0
2.4
0
0-1
48%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.0
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.1
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.4
41.5
34.4
11
46%
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-7
3-7
14%
47%
3-5
60%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
38.5
32.7
25
51%
10
7
2
2
1
1
3
7
15-17
88%
5-14
4-9
36%
52%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.8
36.9
32.1
14
54%
6
3
0
1
3
1
2
4
0-0
-
7-13
4-8
54%
53%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.6
36.3
38.2
16
68%
3
3
1
1
1
2
1
2
4-4
100%
3-6
5-11
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.4
21.4
31.8
12
47%
12
2
0
1
4
1
2
10
2-2
100%
5-12
6-10
42%
55%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.3
24.9
19.9
6
45%
1
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
4-6
67%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
23.1
21.5
15
58%
4
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
1-2
50%
4-8
1-3
50%
48%
2-4
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.1
11.2
17.2
1
57%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
5.6
11.5
3
50%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.0
0.6
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
2.1
0
0-1
50%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.8
1.5
0
0-1
53%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.9
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.