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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Nets27%9298
11Mavericks73%100113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.0
41.0
34.8
18
40%
4
7
2
1
0
4
1
3
8-10
80%
5-12
6-12
42%
48%
0-6
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.1
37.8
33.1
15
34%
4
3
1
1
1
3
2
2
1-2
50%
7-16
5-11
44%
46%
0-5
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.9
26.0
28.3
16
62%
7
0
0
1
1
0
4
3
2-2
100%
7-12
6-11
58%
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.8
20.8
24.3
7
122%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.0
19.9
24.7
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.8
29.3
23.9
14
67%
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
45%
1-3
33%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.5
23.3
19.5
15
109%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.2
22.0
11.6
4
67%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.3
19.9
21.7
9
57%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.7
15.4
0
1-2
45%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
7.3
0
1-1
49%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.1
5.7
0
1-1
45%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 25.0
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.9
40.0
35.7
23
91%
3
10
1
2
1
2
0
3
4-6
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
5-6
83%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
40.0
26.0
20
84%
3
4
2
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
50%
4-4
100%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.8
39.5
31.8
24
56%
10
4
1
1
0
0
2
8
7-10
70%
7-15
6-12
47%
50%
1-2
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.7
38.5
36.4
23
59%
9
3
0
1
1
1
1
8
5-6
83%
9-17
9-18
53%
52%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.6
36.0
30.8
10
100%
5
3
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-5
3-5
100%
62%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.8
21.4
18.8
7
39%
4
3
1
0
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
52%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.6
16.9
17.9
6
43%
1
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
49%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
4.3
9.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.5
3.4
13.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-1
0%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
5.2
0
1-1
56%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.1
4.0
0
1-1
47%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
3.9
0
0-1
55%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.3
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.4
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.