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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies16%8790
9Trail Blazers84%10094
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
41.6
30.4
20
51%
5
1
2
1
1
1
2
3
3-6
50%
7-11
5-10
64%
48%
1-6
17%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.3
41.4
35.5
19
49%
4
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
1-1
100%
6-14
4-10
43%
46%
2-5
40%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.4
38.7
31.1
15
63%
4
10
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
6-11
3-7
55%
45%
1-1
100%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
33.2
22.8
9
39%
10
1
1
1
0
2
4
6
3-6
50%
3-9
3-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.6
20.0
30.2
5
30%
6
1
1
1
0
2
1
5
1-3
33%
2-7
5-10
29%
49%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
16.6
4.7
6
50%
5
0
0
0
4
3
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.7
14.8
21.6
8
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.4
11.0
20.1
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
10.9
15.2
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.9
5.2
10.9
6
80%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.2
4.1
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.8
2.5
9.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
39.6
35.1
15
40%
6
2
1
1
1
1
2
4
3-4
75%
6-17
7-14
35%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.6
37.1
38.4
24
70%
5
9
1
1
0
4
2
3
5-5
100%
8-14
8-15
57%
52%
1-1
100%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.4
32.5
20.3
6
38%
15
0
2
0
3
1
3
12
0-0
-
3-8
2-3
38%
60%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.0
31.5
21.4
7
58%
1
8
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
46%
1-4
25%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.2
17.1
13.9
11
94%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.9
23.6
23.6
8
57%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
2-5
40%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.4
23.4
32.6
9
46%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
5-9
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.8
18.9
2.2
5
39%
6
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
1-1
100%
2-6
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.7
16.5
26.0
9
58%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
1-4
25%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.1
21.0
1
3-6
59%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.5
20.4
1
2-5
49%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.2
1.1
0
0-0
50%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.