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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Hawks56%99105
28Kings44%97100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.8
44.2
29.2
29
63%
5
4
3
1
0
3
1
4
5-9
56%
6-12
3-6
50%
47%
4-7
57%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.6
40.6
32.0
20
46%
3
6
1
1
0
5
1
2
4-6
67%
5-14
5-10
36%
49%
2-5
40%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
39.9
23.4
18
61%
18
4
1
1
2
1
5
13
4-6
67%
7-12
3-6
58%
53%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.7
31.3
34.0
6
34%
9
0
0
1
0
0
2
7
1-2
50%
1-6
4-8
17%
49%
1-2
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.2
28.5
28.5
12
39%
4
0
2
1
3
1
2
2
2-3
67%
5-14
5-10
36%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
23.9
19.8
9
51%
2
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
3-4
75%
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
2-5
40%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.0
15.6
24.2
6
61%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
12.0
12.5
5
51%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
58%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.1
3.8
19.1
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
0.2
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.0
6.5
0
1-1
50%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.1
3.1
0
0-1
51%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.7
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.6
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
43.8
31.7
18
59%
5
4
1
1
1
2
0
5
3-3
100%
6-11
4-7
55%
49%
1-3
33%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.8
43.0
32.6
10
44%
14
1
2
1
1
4
2
12
0-1
0%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.0
42.6
37.5
32
65%
11
4
1
1
0
2
2
9
14-17
82%
6-11
5-10
55%
48%
2-6
33%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.6
34.0
28.0
6
43%
7
1
0
1
1
4
2
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
52%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
33.4
24.5
15
50%
4
2
2
1
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
50%
1-4
25%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.9
21.5
20.7
10
51%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
2-5
40%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
9.3
13.6
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.0
6.8
3.9
5
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.3
5.6
14.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.9
25.1
1
3-6
49%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.4
4.3
0
0-1
44%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.8
3.8
0
0-1
44%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.6
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 39.3
2.6
0
0-1
43%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.