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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Lakers52%107129
17Warriors48%106121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.6
43.2
33.7
24
72%
13
5
1
0
0
4
4
9
4-4
100%
10-15
7-12
67%
55%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.5
36.3
31.1
30
55%
3
9
3
1
2
2
1
2
10-12
83%
7-19
8-16
37%
51%
2-3
67%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.5
31.5
27.2
12
86%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
4-7
57%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.3
28.0
34.0
22
59%
7
0
1
1
2
4
2
5
6-8
75%
8-13
5-10
62%
54%
0-2
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.9
19.0
23.3
5
39%
4
6
1
1
0
1
3
1
1-1
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
28.4
20.3
17
71%
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
54%
3-5
60%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.1
24.8
11.8
16
93%
7
1
0
0
0
1
5
2
6-6
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.2
16.5
18.8
3
26%
1
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.9
12.4
17.1
0
0%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.6
12.5
0
2-4
47%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.6
8.4
0
1-2
40%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.2
6.3
0
1-2
47%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.1
1.6
0
0-0
51%
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.3
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.9
45.5
41.7
24
48%
6
9
1
1
2
6
1
5
2-2
100%
8-16
5-12
50%
45%
2-8
25%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.3
45.3
35.2
15
41%
5
5
2
1
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
7-16
7-13
44%
50%
0-2
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.9
36.9
36.8
23
82%
3
1
1
1
0
4
2
1
8-9
89%
3-4
4-8
75%
45%
3-6
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.1
33.0
29.2
13
87%
7
4
1
1
3
0
2
5
1-1
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.6
28.0
11.9
14
54%
12
0
1
0
2
2
6
6
0-0
-
7-13
2-5
54%
48%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.3
32.7
29.0
24
68%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
9-15
6-11
60%
49%
1-1
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.9
15.3
12.6
6
150%
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
2-2
100%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.8
2.7
15.1
2
35%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
0.7
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
3.6
0
0-1
46%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 24.0
2.4
0
0-1
46%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.2
1.7
0
0-0
39%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.