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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 19, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Spurs44%8983
11Pistons56%9179
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
36.8
29.0
15
68%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
5-8
63%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.8
36.0
34.1
18
42%
18
0
0
1
3
2
6
12
4-6
67%
7-19
7-14
37%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.8
34.7
36.1
19
41%
5
11
1
1
0
3
0
5
5-7
71%
7-20
8-15
35%
51%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.4
32.3
36.4
8
36%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.0
26.8
27.2
8
80%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.7
26.8
23.0
6
80%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.8
19.5
15.4
4
100%
1
2
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
43%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.4
15.5
15.1
4
40%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.9
7.6
4.7
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
4.2
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.0
4.1
0
0-1
41%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.5
2.8
0
0-0
47%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.6
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.7
44.6
38.8
31
51%
3
7
1
2
1
2
1
2
5-6
83%
13-25
6-14
52%
46%
0-3
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.5
36.9
35.3
13
66%
13
1
1
1
2
0
3
10
1-2
50%
6-9
4-9
67%
50%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.0
36.6
32.2
8
34%
9
0
1
1
0
1
2
7
2-4
50%
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.4
33.9
32.4
11
32%
8
2
0
1
2
2
2
6
1-1
100%
2-11
3-6
18%
48%
2-6
33%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.8
28.7
30.6
2
33%
3
8
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
5-10
33%
46%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.0
34.3
31.2
4
20%
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-8
6-12
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.0
25.0
9.4
10
69%
9
0
0
0
1
2
3
6
2-5
40%
4-5
1-2
80%
55%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.8
14.8
0
2-3
57%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
9.0
0
1-2
47%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.9
3.9
0
0-1
52%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.1
3.3
0
0-1
45%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.7
1.1
0
0-0
53%
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.