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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 20, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings44%96115
29Grizzlies56%98106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
45.9
29.8
15
55%
6
5
2
1
2
1
0
6
7-8
88%
1-5
4-7
20%
50%
2-5
40%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.6
39.5
31.2
17
59%
9
3
0
1
2
2
3
6
5-10
50%
6-10
5-9
60%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.1
39.1
39.6
33
67%
5
4
2
1
0
4
0
5
15-15
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
34.2
38.2
18
86%
2
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
8-8
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
49%
2-2
100%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.8
23.4
37.9
11
80%
5
0
0
1
1
4
2
3
1-2
50%
5-6
5-11
83%
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.9
34.8
20.8
10
40%
7
3
3
1
0
3
0
7
1-1
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
1-5
20%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.0
18.0
6.6
11
61%
4
2
0
0
4
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.6
5.2
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.6
2.7
0
0-1
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.3
43.1
37.2
24
59%
4
4
3
1
1
5
1
3
10-10
100%
4-11
5-11
36%
50%
2-5
40%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.4
38.5
33.7
16
46%
10
7
3
1
0
2
1
9
9-10
90%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
1-6
17%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
31.6
34.8
23
39%
10
0
1
1
0
0
7
3
8-12
67%
6-20
6-12
30%
52%
1-4
25%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
23.4
26.9
6
50%
8
0
1
1
1
2
5
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.6
13.2
25.5
6
43%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
5-9
43%
53%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.4
25.8
15.9
6
60%
4
4
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
21.8
13.7
10
56%
7
0
1
0
0
2
4
3
0-2
0%
5-8
2-4
63%
49%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.7
20.9
18.3
12
51%
8
1
1
0
2
1
3
5
2-2
100%
5-11
2-5
45%
51%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.8
12.3
6.7
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.2
9.5
8.7
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
9.9
0
2-3
50%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.0
1.3
0
0-0
52%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.6
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.8
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.