FinalWin Prob.pScore
1745%91
91
1955%92
97
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo PHI
105.88686.9
MIA logo MIA
112.88685.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0PHI91
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)91
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)91
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0PHIMISS Iguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)91
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)91
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)91
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0PHIMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)91
9.3%
94
90.7%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)91
11.1%
93
88.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0PHIMiller Driving Layup (30 PTS)91
19.2%
92
80.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0PHIMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)89
10.8%
92
89.2%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot89
8.7%
92
91.3%
Q4 - 0:51.0PHIWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)89
8.5%
92
91.5%
Q4 - 0:51.0PHIWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)88
7.5%
92
92.5%
Q4 - 1:00MIAWade Driving Layup (23 PTS)87
5.6%
92
94.4%
Q4 - 1:15MIAJump Ball Moon vs. Speights: Tip to Chalmers87
11.8%
90
88.2%
Q4 - 1:19PHIMISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
14.5%
90
85.5%
Q4 - 1:33MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)87
22.6%
90
77.4%
Q4 - 1:53PHIWilliams Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)87
32.4%
88
67.6%
Q4 - 2:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)87
47.1%
88
52.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)87
49.5%
87
50.5%
Q4 - 2:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)87
55.1%
86
44.9%
Q4 - 2:19PHIMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot87
60.4%
86
39.6%
Q4 - 2:40MIAMoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)87
71.6%
86
28.4%
Q4 - 2:40MIAMoon Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
73.1%
85
26.9%
Q4 - 2:52PHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)87
75.5%
84
24.5%
Q4 - 2:52PHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)86
74.1%
84
25.9%
Q4 - 3:11PHIMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)85
69.5%
84
30.5%
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 185
67.9%
84
32.1%
Q4 - 3:21PHISpeights 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ratliff 1 AST)85
75.7%
82
24.3%
Q4 - 3:21PHIRatliff REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
69.8%
82
30.2%
Q4 - 3:25PHIMoon BLOCK (2 BLK)83
59.9%
82
40.1%
Q4 - 3:27PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
69.9%
82
30.1%
Q4 - 3:30PHIMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot83
60.0%
82
40.0%
Q4 - 3:39MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)83
64.7%
82
35.3%
Q4 - 3:52PHIWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Iguodala 8 AST)83
55.0%
82
45.0%
Q4 - 4:08PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
36.7%
82
63.3%
Q4 - 4:09MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
33.7%
82
66.3%
Q4 - 4:38PHISpeights Layup (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)80
27.4%
82
72.6%
Q4 - 4:52MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)78
20.7%
82
79.3%
Q4 - 5:04MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
29.9%
80
70.1%
Q4 - 5:05PHIMISS Speights 20' Jump Shot78
32.2%
80
67.8%
Q4 - 5:16PHI76ers Rebound78
37.7%
80
62.3%
Q4 - 5:17PHIMISS Speights 7' Hook Shot78
32.2%
80
67.8%
Q4 - 5:33PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
37.7%
80
62.3%
Q4 - 5:34MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot78
35.2%
80
64.8%
Q4 - 5:58PHISpeights 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)78
29.7%
80
70.3%
Q4 - 6:00PHISpeights REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
23.4%
80
76.6%
Q4 - 6:01PHIMISS Iguodala 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
21.8%
80
78.2%
Q4 - 6:17PHISpeights REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
25.7%
80
74.3%
Q4 - 6:19MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 176
24.9%
80
75.1%
Q4 - 6:30PHIDalembert 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iguodala 7 AST)76
31.6%
78
68.4%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMoon Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)74
25.6%
78
74.4%
Q4 - 6:57PHISpeights 4' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Iguodala 6 AST)74
31.5%
76
68.5%
Q4 - 7:10PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
27.2%
76
72.8%
Q4 - 7:11PHIMISS Iguodala 18' Jump Shot72
23.2%
76
76.8%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMoon Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)72
27.1%
76
72.9%
Q4 - 7:45MIAHEAT Rebound72
32.5%
74
67.5%
Q4 - 7:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 172
38.5%
74
61.5%
Q4 - 8:09PHIWilliams Driving Layup (17 PTS)72
46.5%
72
53.5%
Q4 - 8:26MIAWade Layup (17 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)70
39.8%
72
60.2%
Q4 - 8:35MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
46.4%
70
53.6%
Q4 - 8:37PHIMISS Iguodala 4' Jump Shot70
48.3%
70
51.7%
Q4 - 8:54MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T12)70
52.7%
70
47.3%
Q4 - 9:01MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
46.7%
70
53.3%
Q4 - 9:02PHIMISS Miller Driving Layup70
48.4%
70
51.6%
Q4 - 9:16PHI76ers Rebound70
52.4%
70
47.6%
Q4 - 9:17MIAMISS Quinn 19' Jump Shot70
50.7%
70
49.3%
Q4 - 9:25PHIEvans Foul Turnover (P1.T6)70
46.7%
70
53.3%
Q4 - 9:43PHISpeights REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
52.4%
70
47.6%
Q4 - 9:44PHIMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
48.4%
70
51.6%
Q4 - 10:05PHIMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
52.0%
70
48.0%
Q4 - 10:06MIAMISS Moon 3PT Jump Shot70
50.3%
70
49.7%
Q4 - 10:22PHIWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)70
46.5%
70
53.5%
Q4 - 10:40PHI76ers Rebound67
35.4%
70
64.6%
Q4 - 10:41PHIMoon BLOCK (1 BLK)67
32.0%
70
68.0%
Q4 - 10:47PHIMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)67
35.4%
70
64.6%
Q4 - 10:48MIAMISS Moon 19' Jump Shot67
33.9%
70
66.1%
Q4 - 11:07PHIMiller Driving Layup (26 PTS)67
31.4%
70
68.6%
Q4 - 11:24MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)65
26.7%
70
73.3%
Q4 - 11:46PHISpeights Putback Dunk (4 PTS)65
36.1%
67
63.9%
Q4 - 11:47PHISpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
31.1%
67
68.9%
Q4 - 11:48PHIMISS Ivey 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
28.1%
67
71.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA63
31.1%
67
68.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
27.8%
67
72.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0PHIMISS Ivey 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
28.9%
67
71.1%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAQuinn Driving Layup (2 PTS)63
31.5%
67
68.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
36.6%
65
63.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0PHIMISS Williams Layup63
37.9%
65
62.1%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T11)63
40.9%
65
59.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0PHISpeights 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iguodala 5 AST)63
36.6%
65
63.4%
Q3 - 1:08MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)61
31.8%
65
68.2%
Q3 - 1:27PHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)61
36.6%
63
63.4%
Q3 - 1:27PHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)60
35.8%
63
64.2%
Q3 - 1:32PHIEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
31.8%
63
68.2%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot59
30.6%
63
69.4%
Q3 - 1:52PHIMiller Layup (22 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST)59
28.0%
63
72.0%
Q3 - 2:18MIAHaslem Tip Shot (8 PTS)57
24.8%
63
75.2%
Q3 - 2:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
28.5%
61
71.5%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Beasley Layup57
31.2%
61
68.8%
Q3 - 2:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
28.4%
61
71.6%
Q3 - 2:34PHIMISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 257
29.0%
61
71.0%
Q3 - 2:34PHIEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)57
30.8%
61
69.2%
Q3 - 2:34PHIEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
28.4%
61
71.6%
Q3 - 2:35PHIMISS Williams Driving Layup56
25.9%
61
74.1%
Q3 - 2:48MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
28.4%
61
71.6%
Q3 - 3:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
32.9%
59
67.1%
Q3 - 3:03PHIMISS Iguodala 21' Jump Shot56
34.2%
59
65.8%
Q3 - 3:23PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
37.2%
59
62.8%
Q3 - 3:24MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup56
35.8%
59
64.2%
Q3 - 3:37MIAHEAT Rebound56
32.8%
59
67.2%
Q3 - 3:38PHIWade BLOCK (3 BLK)56
34.1%
59
65.9%
Q3 - 3:43MIAQuinn Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)56
37.2%
59
62.8%
Q3 - 3:57PHIWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
32.8%
59
67.2%
Q3 - 3:57PHIWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
32.1%
59
67.9%
Q3 - 4:07PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
29.8%
59
70.2%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
28.5%
59
71.5%
Q3 - 4:28PHIYoung Foul Turnover (P1.T5)54
25.7%
59
74.3%
Q3 - 4:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)54
29.7%
59
70.3%
Q3 - 4:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)54
30.5%
58
69.5%
Q3 - 4:48PHIYoung Tip Shot (10 PTS)54
32.9%
57
67.1%
Q3 - 4:50PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
29.7%
57
70.3%
Q3 - 4:52PHIMISS Miller Driving Layup52
26.9%
57
73.1%
Q3 - 4:56PHIRatliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
29.7%
57
70.3%
Q3 - 4:58MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot52
28.5%
57
71.5%
Q3 - 5:15PHIMiller 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)52
26.2%
57
73.8%
Q3 - 5:28PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
23.4%
57
76.6%
Q3 - 5:29MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
22.4%
57
77.6%
Q3 - 5:43PHIIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
20.2%
57
79.8%
Q3 - 5:43PHIMISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 249
19.6%
57
80.4%
Q3 - 6:00MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)49
20.5%
57
79.5%
Q3 - 6:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)49
21.1%
56
78.9%
Q3 - 6:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)49
21.7%
55
78.3%
Q3 - 6:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
26.8%
54
73.2%
Q3 - 6:17PHIMISS Green 5' Jump Shot49
27.9%
54
72.1%
Q3 - 6:19PHIGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
30.4%
54
69.6%
Q3 - 6:20PHIMISS Green 4' Jump Shot49
27.9%
54
72.1%
Q3 - 6:32PHI76ers Rebound49
30.3%
54
69.7%
Q3 - 6:33PHIMISS Green 4' Jump Shot49
27.9%
54
72.1%
Q3 - 6:44MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
30.3%
54
69.7%
Q3 - 6:44MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
31.1%
53
68.9%
Q3 - 6:59PHIMiller 12' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)49
33.6%
52
66.4%
Q3 - 7:14PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
30.6%
52
69.4%
Q3 - 7:15MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
29.6%
52
70.4%
Q3 - 7:37PHIMiller Driving Layup (16 PTS)47
27.3%
52
72.7%
Q3 - 7:54MIAChalmers 4' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)45
24.4%
52
75.6%
Q3 - 8:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
27.4%
50
72.6%
Q3 - 8:18PHIMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
28.4%
50
71.6%
Q3 - 8:41MIAO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)45
30.8%
50
69.2%
Q3 - 8:53MIAHEAT Rebound45
33.8%
48
66.2%
Q3 - 8:54PHIMISS Young 6' Jump Shot45
35.0%
48
65.0%
Q3 - 9:09MIADiawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)45
37.6%
48
62.4%
Q3 - 9:23MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
44.7%
45
55.3%
Q3 - 9:24PHIMISS Dalembert 4' Jump Shot45
45.8%
45
54.2%
Q3 - 9:25PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
48.5%
45
51.5%
Q3 - 9:26PHIMISS Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 245
45.2%
45
54.8%
Q3 - 9:26PHIIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)45
47.6%
45
52.4%
Q3 - 9:30MIADiawara Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)44
44.8%
45
55.2%
Q3 - 9:48PHIIguodala Driving Layup (12 PTS)44
41.1%
45
58.9%
Q3 - 9:52PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
37.6%
45
62.4%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot42
36.6%
45
63.4%
Q3 - 10:17PHIMiller 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)42
34.4%
45
65.6%
Q3 - 10:42MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diawara 2 AST)40
31.3%
45
68.7%
Q3 - 11:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
37.7%
42
62.3%
Q3 - 11:01PHIMISS Iguodala 19' Jump Shot40
39.0%
42
61.0%
Q3 - 11:12PHIMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
41.5%
42
58.5%
Q3 - 11:14PHIMISS Young 21' Jump Shot40
39.0%
42
61.0%
Q3 - 11:32MIADiawara 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)40
41.4%
42
58.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
44.6%
40
55.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
44.6%
40
55.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHIMISS Green 18' Jump Shot40
45.7%
40
54.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0PHIEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
47.8%
40
52.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Moon 20' Jump Shot40
47.0%
40
53.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0PHIIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
45.2%
40
54.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0PHIIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
44.5%
40
55.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)38
41.2%
40
58.8%
Q2 - 1:03PHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)38
38.9%
40
61.1%
Q2 - 1:03PHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)37
38.4%
40
61.6%
Q2 - 1:21MIAMoon Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)36
35.0%
40
65.0%
Q2 - 1:36PHIIguodala 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)36
38.9%
38
61.1%
Q2 - 1:55MIAO'Neal Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)34
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 2:10MIAHEAT Rebound34
38.5%
36
61.5%
Q2 - 2:11PHIMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
39.4%
36
60.6%
Q2 - 2:23PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
41.6%
36
58.4%
Q2 - 2:24PHIMISS Dalembert Alley Oop Dunk34
39.5%
36
60.5%
Q2 - 2:46MIABeasley Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)34
41.6%
36
58.4%
Q2 - 3:07PHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)34
44.5%
34
55.5%
Q2 - 3:07PHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
44.0%
34
56.0%
Q2 - 3:13PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
41.9%
34
58.1%
Q2 - 3:14MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot32
40.8%
34
59.2%
Q2 - 3:31PHIIguodala 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
38.4%
34
61.6%
Q2 - 3:42PHIMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
36.0%
34
64.0%
Q2 - 3:43PHIMISS Young 4' Jump Shot30
33.7%
34
66.3%
Q2 - 4:00MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T7)30
36.0%
34
64.0%
Q2 - 4:09MIAHEAT Rebound30
33.0%
34
67.0%
Q2 - 4:11PHIMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot30
33.9%
34
66.1%
Q2 - 4:25MIAMoon Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)30
35.9%
34
64.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
38.6%
32
61.4%
Q2 - 4:30PHIMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot30
39.5%
32
60.5%
Q2 - 4:52MIAChalmers Layup (2 PTS)30
41.8%
32
58.2%
Q2 - 4:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)30
44.5%
30
55.5%
Q2 - 4:59PHIWade BLOCK (2 BLK)30
45.5%
30
54.5%
Q2 - 5:13PHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
47.7%
30
52.3%
Q2 - 5:14PHIMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot30
45.7%
30
54.3%
Q2 - 5:21MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)30
47.7%
30
52.3%
Q2 - 5:37PHIWilliams 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)30
44.8%
30
55.2%
Q2 - 5:58MIAWade Layup (10 PTS)28
41.8%
30
58.2%
Q2 - 6:01PHIWade STEAL (2 STL)28
44.4%
28
55.6%
Q2 - 6:05PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
47.8%
28
52.2%
Q2 - 6:06MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
46.8%
28
53.2%
Q2 - 6:27PHISpeights Foul Turnover (P1.T3)28
44.4%
28
55.6%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMoon Dunk (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)28
47.8%
28
52.2%
Q2 - 7:01MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
50.3%
26
49.7%
Q2 - 7:02PHIMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
51.2%
26
48.8%
Q2 - 7:24MIABeasley 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
53.2%
26
46.8%
Q2 - 7:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
55.9%
24
44.1%
Q2 - 7:37PHIO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)28
56.8%
24
43.2%
Q2 - 7:41PHIRatliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
58.8%
24
41.2%
Q2 - 7:42PHIMISS Speights 19' Jump Shot28
56.8%
24
43.2%
Q2 - 7:54MIABeasley Layup (2 PTS)28
58.8%
24
41.2%
Q2 - 7:56MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
61.4%
22
38.6%
Q2 - 7:57MIAMISS Moon 17' Jump Shot28
63.3%
22
36.7%
Q2 - 8:16PHIIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
60.9%
22
39.1%
Q2 - 8:16PHIMISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 227
60.3%
22
39.7%
Q2 - 8:30MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)27
60.8%
22
39.2%
Q2 - 8:47PHIWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)27
58.3%
22
41.7%
Q2 - 8:53PHISpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
52.8%
22
47.2%
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
52.0%
22
48.0%
Q2 - 9:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
49.7%
22
50.3%
Q2 - 9:04PHIMISS Ivey 7' Running Jump Shot24
50.5%
22
49.5%
Q2 - 9:26MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)24
52.4%
22
47.6%
Q2 - 9:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
49.7%
22
50.3%
Q2 - 9:27MIAMISS Beasley Dunk24
51.6%
22
48.4%
Q2 - 9:47PHIIguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)24
49.7%
22
50.3%
Q2 - 10:09MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)21
44.4%
22
55.6%
Q2 - 10:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
46.9%
20
53.1%
Q2 - 10:27PHIMISS Iguodala Driving Layup21
47.7%
20
52.3%
Q2 - 10:36PHIMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
49.6%
20
50.4%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup21
48.8%
20
51.2%
Q2 - 10:57PHIWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Speights 1 AST)21
46.9%
20
53.1%
Q2 - 11:13MIACook Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)18
41.9%
20
58.1%
Q2 - 11:38PHIMiller Driving Layup (8 PTS)18
39.3%
20
60.7%
Q2 - 11:45PHISpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
37.0%
20
63.0%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot16
36.3%
20
63.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA16
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound16
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 68' 3PT Jump Shot16
36.2%
20
63.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0PHIWilliams 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
35.1%
20
64.9%
Q1 - 0:14.0PHI76ers Rebound14
32.3%
20
67.7%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
31.8%
20
68.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0PHIMiller Driving Layup (6 PTS)14
30.7%
20
69.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0PHI76ers Rebound12
28.2%
20
71.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0PHIBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)12
27.1%
20
72.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0PHIRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
28.2%
20
71.8%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot12
27.7%
20
72.3%
Q1 - 1:23PHIMiller 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
27.3%
20
72.7%
Q1 - 1:47MIAWade 22' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)10
24.9%
20
75.1%
Q1 - 1:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)10
27.3%
18
72.7%
Q1 - 1:59PHIMISS Miller Reverse Layup10
27.7%
18
72.3%
Q1 - 2:07PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
29.2%
18
70.8%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS O'Neal Layup10
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 2:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
27.7%
18
72.3%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Haslem 5' Hook Shot10
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 2:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
27.7%
18
72.3%
Q1 - 2:22PHIMISS Young 3PT Jump Shot10
28.1%
18
71.9%
Q1 - 2:42MIADiawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)10
29.2%
18
70.8%
Q1 - 3:04MIAHEAT Rebound10
33.5%
15
66.5%
Q1 - 3:05PHIMISS Iguodala 20' Jump Shot10
34.1%
15
65.9%
Q1 - 3:18MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)10
35.6%
15
64.4%
Q1 - 3:38PHIMiller Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
37.7%
13
62.3%
Q1 - 3:48MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)8
35.5%
13
64.5%
Q1 - 3:49MIAHEAT Rebound8
33.5%
13
66.5%
Q1 - 3:50MIAMISS O'Neal Layup8
34.9%
13
65.1%
Q1 - 4:12MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
33.5%
13
66.5%
Q1 - 4:13PHIMISS Miller Driving Layup8
34.2%
13
65.8%
Q1 - 4:24PHIMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
35.6%
13
64.4%
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot8
35.0%
13
65.0%
Q1 - 4:32PHIWade STEAL (1 STL)8
33.5%
13
66.5%
Q1 - 4:49MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
35.6%
13
64.4%
Q1 - 4:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
33.5%
13
66.5%
Q1 - 4:56PHIMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot8
34.2%
13
65.8%
Q1 - 5:18MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)8
35.8%
13
64.2%
Q1 - 5:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
37.6%
11
62.4%
Q1 - 5:32PHIMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
38.3%
11
61.7%
Q1 - 5:55MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
39.9%
11
60.1%
Q1 - 6:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
41.7%
9
58.3%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS O'Neal 20' Jump Shot8
43.2%
9
56.8%
Q1 - 6:30PHIYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)8
41.7%
9
58.3%
Q1 - 6:30PHIYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)7
41.2%
9
58.8%
Q1 - 6:46MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (5 PTS)6
39.8%
9
60.2%
Q1 - 7:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
41.6%
7
58.4%
Q1 - 7:03PHIMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot6
42.3%
7
57.7%
Q1 - 7:21MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS)6
43.9%
7
56.1%
Q1 - 7:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
45.7%
5
54.3%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
47.4%
5
52.6%
Q1 - 7:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
45.7%
5
54.3%
Q1 - 7:32PHIMISS Iguodala Reverse Layup6
46.5%
5
53.5%
Q1 - 7:45MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
48.1%
5
51.9%
Q1 - 8:08PHIYoung 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)6
52.1%
2
47.9%
Q1 - 8:21PHI76ers Rebound4
50.0%
2
50.0%
Q1 - 8:22PHIMISS Green 16' Jump Shot4
48.5%
2
51.5%
Q1 - 8:47PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
50.0%
2
50.0%
Q1 - 8:48MIAMISS Diawara Free Throw 2 of 24
49.7%
2
50.3%
Q1 - 8:48MIAMISS Diawara Free Throw 1 of 24
48.5%
2
51.5%
Q1 - 8:48MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
47.9%
2
52.1%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Diawara Layup4
49.4%
2
50.6%
Q1 - 8:50MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
47.9%
2
52.1%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Diawara 5' Finger Roll Layup4
49.4%
2
50.6%
Q1 - 9:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
48.1%
2
51.9%
Q1 - 9:08PHIMISS Green Driving Layup4
48.6%
2
51.4%
Q1 - 9:15PHIGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
49.9%
2
50.1%
Q1 - 9:16MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
49.3%
2
50.7%
Q1 - 9:35PHIYoung 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)4
48.1%
2
51.9%
Q1 - 9:51PHIGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
45.9%
2
54.1%
Q1 - 9:52MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
45.3%
2
54.7%
Q1 - 10:17PHIYoung 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 10:24PHI76ers Rebound0
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 10:25PHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)0
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 10:44MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS)0
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 10:57MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.0%
0
56.0%
Q1 - 10:59PHIMISS Iguodala Layup0
44.6%
0
55.4%
Q1 - 11:16PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.5%
0
54.5%
Q1 - 11:17MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
45.0%
0
55.0%
Q1 - 11:35PHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)0
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Dalembert: Tip to Young0
45.5%
0
54.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
0.89 44.6%
MIA
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
17
38
45%
MIA
24
34
71%
Midrange
PHI
12
33
36%
MIA
10
22
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
4
6.0
18
22%
33%
MIA
4
6.0
18
22%
33%
Free Throws
PHI
21
25
84%
MIA
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Miller3060%15.0 / 25
L. Williams2252%11.0 / 21
A. Iguodala1435%7.0 / 20
M. Speights1260%6.0 / 10
T. Young1056%5.0 / 9
S. Dalembert233%1.0 / 3
R. Evans150%0.5 / 1
W. Green0-0.0 / 9
R. Ivey0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2569%12.5 / 18
J. O'Neal1771%8.5 / 12
U. Haslem1372%6.5 / 9
J. Moon1260%6.0 / 10
M. Chalmers950%4.5 / 9
Y. Diawara840%4.0 / 10
M. Beasley840%4.0 / 10
C. Quinn550%2.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
79
+22
-7
101
MIA
74
+11
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
0.89 44.6%
MIA
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
107.6
PHI 105.8
MIA 112.8 +7.0
Pace
90.3
90.2
PHI 86.9 +1.8
MIA 85.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.3
PHI 16.6 +0.3
MIA 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.5%
50.0%
PHI 39.3%
MIA 54.1% +14.8%
TO %
14.9%
13.1%
PHI 6.5% +6.9%
MIA 13.4%
ORB %
31.4%
24.6%
PHI 33.3% +10.4%
MIA 22.9%
FTrt
33.9
28.2
PHI 28.1
MIA 31.1 +3.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
55.1%
PHI 39.4%
MIA 50.0% +10.6%
STL %
8.9%
8.7%
PHI 4.7% +1.2%
MIA 3.5%
BLK %
8.5%
9.2%
PHI 3.6%
MIA 9.9% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.6%
52.6%
PHI 44.6%
MIA 55.7% +11.1%
Rim FG%
58.5%
59.5%
PHI 44.7%
MIA 70.6% +25.9%
Mid FG%
39.3%
41.8%
PHI 36.4%
MIA 45.5% +9.1%
3P %
31.8%
35.7%
PHI 22.2%
MIA 22.2%
FT %
74.5%
75.4%
PHI 84.0% +10.1%
MIA 73.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.7%
30.3%
PHI 42.7%
MIA 45.9% +3.2%
Mid Att. %
42.9%
45.2%
PHI 37.1%
MIA 29.7% +7.3%
3P Att. %
16.4%
24.5%
PHI 20.2%
MIA 24.3% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.
Game TotalsPHIMIA
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes23.824.3
Points9197
Rebounds4238
Assists1319
Steals43
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (7)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)30 (6)
Field Goals33-8938-74
At-the-Rim FG17-3824-34
Midrange FG12-3310-22
2-Point FG29-7134-56
3-Point FG4-184-18
Free Throws21-2517-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 215 · 25
41.5
14
35%
4
8
2
0
2
2
1
3
5-8
63%
3-11
27%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 200 · 33
40.7
30
60%
9
2
0
0
0
3
3
6
8-8
100%
11-21
52%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 21
29.4
10
56%
4
0
1
1
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 29
22.2
2
33%
7
0
0
0
0
5
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 28
17.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-6
0%
0-3
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 22
29.8
22
52%
2
1
0
0
2
1
1
1
5-5
100%
4-12
33%
3-7
43%
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22
19.9
12
60%
6
1
1
0
1
3
3
3
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 235 · 36
16.4
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 27
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29
9.0
1
50%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 36
G · 6'6" 215 · 28
#14 · F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'9" 254 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
45%
42
13
4
2
7
0
15
27
21-25
84%
29-71
41%
4-18
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.