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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 21, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings20%9495
11Mavericks80%105116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.8
38.3
29.9
17
50%
9
3
2
1
0
4
3
6
0-0
-
7-14
4-9
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
38.0
35.2
18
65%
3
7
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
8-11
4-8
73%
48%
0-2
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
30.2
37.1
17
79%
3
0
1
1
2
2
1
2
4-4
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
3-4
75%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.1
29.6
38.6
11
54%
3
2
2
1
0
3
0
3
4-5
80%
2-6
5-11
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.6
18.9
34.6
6
33%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-9
5-10
33%
50%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.2
30.4
8.5
10
34%
7
3
0
0
0
2
0
7
6-8
75%
2-8
1-2
25%
44%
0-3
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.9
22.7
27.5
4
50%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.0
21.0
12.5
5
42%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.6
10.9
2.9
7
58%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.6
4.7
0
0-1
47%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
1.9
0
0-0
43%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
1.2
0
0-0
44%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.4
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.4
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
32.5
33.4
10
63%
3
1
4
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.8
27.3
36.7
20
54%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
6-8
75%
4-10
7-14
40%
51%
2-5
40%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.7
25.6
39.5
12
45%
5
2
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-1
0%
6-13
10-19
46%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.9
25.0
37.0
11
92%
4
11
1
2
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
46%
1-1
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.6
19.6
26.4
9
92%
8
1
1
0
2
2
3
5
1-2
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
63%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.7
30.9
20.8
9
39%
7
8
2
1
0
2
1
6
4-8
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
1-3
33%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
24.8
3.1
19
78%
12
1
2
0
1
3
2
10
4-5
80%
6-9
0-1
67%
58%
1-1
100%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.8
21.8
21.2
20
86%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
6-6
100%
7-9
4-7
78%
53%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.3
13.1
14.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.5
10.9
3.7
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
4.2
7.2
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
56%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
4.2
4.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.1
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.