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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 22, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Nuggets61%100117
22Bucks39%96120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.7
40.3
32.8
33
63%
9
2
1
1
0
4
3
6
13-16
81%
10-18
7-15
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.4
40.0
32.2
21
72%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
4-6
67%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
33.1
33.4
17
64%
7
1
0
1
0
5
2
5
5-5
100%
6-11
6-10
55%
58%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.6
17.5
3.2
10
85%
3
2
3
0
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
0-1
80%
54%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.2
15.2
16.8
3
75%
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-1
100%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
31.1
21.6
9
40%
4
5
1
1
0
3
0
4
4-5
80%
1-4
2-5
25%
50%
1-5
20%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.1
24.0
22.1
13
67%
6
1
1
0
1
2
4
2
3-4
75%
5-7
3-5
71%
54%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.6
20.8
21.5
6
61%
7
1
0
0
4
1
4
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.7
17.9
26.2
5
43%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.1
25.1
1
4-7
51%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.1
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.6
2.3
0
0-1
47%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
43.3
29.9
27
57%
4
8
3
1
0
3
2
2
13-15
87%
7-17
5-10
41%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.5
37.8
31.9
36
75%
5
4
1
1
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
7-12
6-12
58%
49%
7-11
64%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.7
28.2
32.5
17
58%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-6
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.0
27.6
25.0
6
77%
7
0
2
1
1
0
4
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
14.3
27.1
3
52%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.0
28.9
24.0
13
61%
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
6-6
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.0
21.3
25.4
6
39%
1
5
2
1
0
2
1
0
2-4
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.2
15.3
6.9
8
45%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.8
9.8
17.3
2
35%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
7.9
9.6
2
35%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-2
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.7
4.7
9.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.5
0.9
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.2
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.5
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.