FinalWin Prob.pScore
1922%88
99
578%98
122
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.19693.6
ORL logo ORL
127.19698.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL99
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Quinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot99
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0ORLRedick Driving Layup (10 PTS)99
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)99
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot99
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Richardson 22' Jump Shot99
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 1:04MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)99
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)98
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16ORLRedick 11' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)97
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MIAMoon 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)97
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIALewis BLOCK (2 BLK)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46ORLAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46ORLAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)95
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Quinn 9' Running Jump Shot95
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T17)95
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)95
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)92
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)92
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (50 PTS)92
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32MIAQuinn 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 288
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07MIABeasley Dunk (14 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28ORLLee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (48 PTS)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (47 PTS)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02ORLHoward Slam Dunk (31 PTS)84
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 6:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)84
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:05ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 6:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)84
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot84
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:19MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 6:20MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:33ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)84
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 6:33ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)84
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 6:48MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (46 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)84
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 7:02MIAHeat Rebound82
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 7:02ORLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot82
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 7:23MIAQuinn 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)82
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 7:36ORLLewis Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)80
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 7:44ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 7:46ORLMISS Lee Driving Layup80
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 8:01MIAMoon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)80
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 8:16ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:16ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:31MIACook 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)77
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 8:58ORLJohnson Driving Slam Dunk (12 PTS)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:08ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot75
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 9:20MIAHeat Rebound75
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 9:20ORLMISS Lewis Driving Layup75
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 9:39ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 9:41ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 9:53ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot75
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 10:11MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 10:12ORLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot75
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 10:43MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)75
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 10:57ORLLewis 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)72
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 11:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)72
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMISS Moon 19' Fadeaway Jumper72
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 11:35ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)72
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 11:42MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)72
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)72
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (44 PTS)72
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q3 - 0:15.0ORLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)70
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (42 PTS)70
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (41 PTS)69
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q3 - 0:42.0ORLMISS Battie 19' Jump Shot68
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)68
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIABattie BLOCK (1 BLK)68
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q3 - 1:11ORLRedick Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)68
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 1:28MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)68
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q3 - 1:55ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (27 PTS)66
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 2:10ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 2:11MIAMISS Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 2:22MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 2:23ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 2:29ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 2:31MIAMISS Moon 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 2:41ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)66
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 2:41ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 266
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 2:44ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS Moon 21' Jump Shot66
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 2:56ORLRedick Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)66
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 2:56ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)66
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 2:56ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)66
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 3:11MIABeasley Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)66
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q3 - 3:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q3 - 3:22ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q3 - 3:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (40 PTS)66
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q3 - 3:57ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Alston 9 AST)63
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 4:14ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)63
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q3 - 4:15MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 4:34ORLAlston Driving Layup (10 PTS)63
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 4:39ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 4:40MIAMISS Blount 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 4:57ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)63
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 4:57ORLMAGIC Rebound63
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 4:57ORLMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 5:24MIABlount 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)63
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 5:47ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)61
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 6:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)61
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot61
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 6:12MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
4.6%
74
95.4%
Q3 - 6:13ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 6:21ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)61
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 6:22MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot61
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 6:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
4.6%
74
95.4%
Q3 - 6:34ORLMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot61
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 6:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)61
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 7:02ORLTurkoglu 17' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)61
4.9%
74
95.1%
Q3 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)61
5.6%
72
94.4%
Q3 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)60
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 7:24ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T12)59
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q3 - 7:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)59
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 7:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)58
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 7:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)57
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 7:56ORLHoward Tip Shot (24 PTS)57
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 7:58ORLMISS Alston 6' Jump Shot57
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 8:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
4.3%
70
95.7%
Q3 - 8:07MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot57
4.5%
70
95.5%
Q3 - 8:26ORLHoward Layup (22 PTS)57
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 8:43MIADiawara Layup (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)57
5.7%
68
94.3%
Q3 - 8:49ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)55
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q3 - 9:02MIADiawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)55
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 9:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q3 - 9:17ORLMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 9:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q3 - 9:28MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 9:42ORLAlston Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)52
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q3 - 9:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 10:26ORLTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)52
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q3 - 10:35ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
4.6%
65
95.4%
Q3 - 10:37MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot52
4.8%
65
95.2%
Q3 - 10:47ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T9)52
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 10:53MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)52
4.6%
65
95.4%
Q3 - 11:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
3.7%
65
96.3%
Q3 - 11:07ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 249
3.6%
65
96.4%
Q3 - 11:07ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)49
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q3 - 11:21MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)49
3.6%
64
96.4%
Q3 - 11:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q3 - 11:28ORLMISS Lee Layup46
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q3 - 11:31MIALee STEAL (2 STL)46
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q3 - 11:50ORLAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)46
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound46
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 66' 3PT Jump Shot46
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)46
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (27 PTS)46
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
2.1%
64
97.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLAlston Driving Layup (8 PTS)44
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)44
2.6%
62
97.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Bank Shot44
2.7%
62
97.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0ORLAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)44
2.9%
62
97.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAWade Driving Layup (25 PTS)44
2.6%
62
97.4%
Q2 - 1:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q2 - 1:05ORLMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 242
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q2 - 1:05ORLMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 242
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q2 - 1:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)42
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 241
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q2 - 1:14ORLAlston Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)41
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q2 - 1:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)41
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q2 - 1:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)40
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q2 - 1:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q2 - 1:36ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Bank Shot39
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q2 - 1:47MIAWade Layup (20 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)39
1.4%
62
98.6%
Q2 - 2:05ORLLee Layup (11 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)37
1.3%
62
98.7%
Q2 - 2:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
1.5%
60
98.5%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper37
1.6%
60
98.4%
Q2 - 2:48ORLLee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)37
1.7%
60
98.3%
Q2 - 3:07MIALee STEAL (1 STL)37
2.2%
57
97.8%
Q2 - 3:22ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)37
2.6%
57
97.4%
Q2 - 3:22ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)37
2.7%
56
97.3%
Q2 - 3:28MIAWade Reverse Layup (18 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)37
2.8%
55
97.2%
Q2 - 3:36MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q2 - 3:38MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot35
2.3%
55
97.7%
Q2 - 3:52MIAHeat Rebound35
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q2 - 3:52ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q2 - 3:59ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)35
2.2%
55
97.8%
Q2 - 4:02MIALewis BLOCK (1 BLK)35
2.4%
55
97.6%
Q2 - 4:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q2 - 4:15ORLMISS Gortat Layup35
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q2 - 4:24ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
2.3%
55
97.7%
Q2 - 4:25MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot35
2.4%
55
97.6%
Q2 - 4:36MIAHeat Rebound35
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q2 - 4:36ORLMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q2 - 4:43ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
2.3%
55
97.7%
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot35
2.4%
55
97.6%
Q2 - 4:59ORLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)35
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q2 - 5:17ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
3.5%
52
96.5%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot35
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q2 - 5:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
3.9%
52
96.1%
Q2 - 5:29ORLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot35
3.8%
52
96.2%
Q2 - 5:39ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
3.5%
52
96.5%
Q2 - 5:40MIAMISS Beasley Alley Oop Dunk35
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q2 - 5:43ORLTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)35
3.9%
52
96.1%
Q2 - 6:02MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q2 - 6:02MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q2 - 6:18ORLJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS)33
3.3%
52
96.7%
Q2 - 6:29ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
3.6%
50
96.4%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot33
3.8%
50
96.2%
Q2 - 6:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
4.1%
50
95.9%
Q2 - 6:42ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
4.0%
50
96.0%
Q2 - 6:58MIABeasley Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)33
3.6%
50
96.4%
Q2 - 7:05ORLTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)31
3.3%
50
96.7%
Q2 - 7:31ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
3.0%
50
97.0%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMISS Chalmers 23' Jump Shot31
3.1%
50
96.9%
Q2 - 7:49ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
3.3%
50
96.7%
Q2 - 7:49ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
3.5%
49
96.5%
Q2 - 7:50ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
3.7%
48
96.3%
Q2 - 7:51ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
4.0%
48
96.0%
Q2 - 8:06ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot31
4.1%
48
95.9%
Q2 - 8:21MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
4.3%
48
95.7%
Q2 - 8:23ORLMISS Gortat Driving Reverse Layup31
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 8:35ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot31
4.0%
48
96.0%
Q2 - 8:49MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
4.3%
48
95.7%
Q2 - 8:50ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 9:06MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
4.0%
48
96.0%
Q2 - 9:24ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)29
3.6%
48
96.4%
Q2 - 9:44MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)29
4.4%
45
95.6%
Q2 - 9:53ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)29
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 10:05ORLMAGIC Rebound29
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q2 - 10:05MIAMISS Magloire 11' Hook Bank Shot29
4.8%
45
95.2%
Q2 - 10:29ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
5.1%
45
94.9%
Q2 - 10:29ORLBattie Tip Shot (2 PTS)29
5.1%
45
94.9%
Q2 - 10:30ORLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
6.0%
43
94.0%
Q2 - 10:55MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)29
5.6%
43
94.4%
Q2 - 11:12ORLJohnson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
4.8%
43
95.2%
Q2 - 11:26MIABeasley 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)26
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 11:45ORLHoward Alley Oop Layup (17 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)24
4.8%
41
95.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL24
5.3%
39
94.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
5.3%
39
94.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot24
5.5%
39
94.5%
Q1 - 0:08.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)24
6.0%
39
94.0%
Q1 - 0:08.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 224
6.2%
38
93.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
6.1%
38
93.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Beasley 10' Jump Shot24
6.2%
38
93.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)24
6.5%
38
93.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 224
6.8%
37
93.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
6.7%
37
93.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
7.0%
37
93.0%
Q1 - 1:08MIAWade Driving Layup (16 PTS)24
7.0%
37
93.0%
Q1 - 1:23ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
6.2%
37
93.8%
Q1 - 1:23ORLLewis Tip Shot (8 PTS)22
6.2%
37
93.8%
Q1 - 1:25ORLMISS Alston Driving Layup22
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q1 - 1:50MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)22
6.9%
35
93.1%
Q1 - 2:09ORLHoward 4' Hook Bank Shot (13 PTS)20
6.4%
35
93.6%
Q1 - 2:24MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)20
7.1%
33
92.9%
Q1 - 2:51ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)18
6.4%
33
93.6%
Q1 - 3:02MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)18
7.6%
30
92.4%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
7.0%
30
93.0%
Q1 - 3:22ORLMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
6.9%
30
93.1%
Q1 - 3:32ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
6.5%
30
93.5%
Q1 - 3:33MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot16
6.6%
30
93.4%
Q1 - 3:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
7.0%
30
93.0%
Q1 - 3:39MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
6.6%
30
93.4%
Q1 - 3:58MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
7.0%
30
93.0%
Q1 - 3:59ORLMISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot16
6.9%
30
93.1%
Q1 - 4:20MIAMoon Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
6.5%
30
93.5%
Q1 - 4:34ORLLee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)14
6.0%
30
94.0%
Q1 - 4:57MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)14
7.1%
27
92.9%
Q1 - 5:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
6.9%
27
93.1%
Q1 - 5:04MIAHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)12
6.4%
27
93.6%
Q1 - 5:15ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)12
6.9%
27
93.1%
Q1 - 5:24ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
7.9%
24
92.1%
Q1 - 5:25MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot12
8.2%
24
91.8%
Q1 - 5:39ORLAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)12
8.7%
24
91.3%
Q1 - 5:47ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
10.1%
21
89.9%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
10.3%
21
89.7%
Q1 - 5:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
11.0%
21
89.0%
Q1 - 5:54MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Fadeaway Jumper12
10.3%
21
89.7%
Q1 - 6:09ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
10.8%
21
89.2%
Q1 - 6:09ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
10.9%
20
89.1%
Q1 - 6:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
11.6%
19
88.4%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot12
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 6:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
12.6%
19
87.4%
Q1 - 6:27ORLMISS Lee Driving Layup12
12.3%
19
87.7%
Q1 - 6:30ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)12
11.6%
19
88.4%
Q1 - 6:32MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)12
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 6:45ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)12
12.6%
19
87.4%
Q1 - 6:59ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
13.5%
17
86.5%
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
13.8%
17
86.2%
Q1 - 7:09ORLTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)12
14.4%
17
85.6%
Q1 - 7:10ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot12
13.6%
17
86.4%
Q1 - 7:29ORLAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)12
14.4%
17
85.6%
Q1 - 7:34ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
16.5%
14
83.5%
Q1 - 7:36ORLMISS Howard 5' Running Hook Shot12
17.4%
14
82.6%
Q1 - 7:54MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)12
16.5%
14
83.5%
Q1 - 8:13ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)10
15.2%
14
84.8%
Q1 - 8:39MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
16.3%
12
83.7%
Q1 - 8:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15.2%
12
84.8%
Q1 - 8:48ORLMISS Howard Layup8
14.9%
12
85.1%
Q1 - 8:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
14.1%
12
85.9%
Q1 - 8:52ORLMISS Alston Driving Layup8
14.9%
12
85.1%
Q1 - 9:02MIAWade Layup (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)8
14.4%
12
85.6%
Q1 - 9:18ORLLee 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)6
13.3%
12
86.7%
Q1 - 9:29ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
15.3%
9
84.7%
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS O'Neal 20' Jump Shot6
15.6%
9
84.4%
Q1 - 9:45ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)6
16.3%
9
83.7%
Q1 - 9:55MIAChalmers 7' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
17.5%
7
82.5%
Q1 - 10:19ORLHoward Dunk (2 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)4
16.4%
7
83.6%
Q1 - 10:34MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)4
17.4%
5
82.6%
Q1 - 10:51ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
16.4%
5
83.6%
Q1 - 11:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
17.2%
3
82.8%
Q1 - 11:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
17.0%
3
83.0%
Q1 - 11:19ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)0
16.3%
3
83.7%
Q1 - 11:35ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 11:36MIAMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. O'Neal: Tip to Chalmers0
19.2%
0
80.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
ORL
1.33 66.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
18
72%
ORL
16
26
62%
Midrange
MIA
18
50
36%
ORL
8
16
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
ORL
17
25.5
33
52%
77%
Free Throws
MIA
19
20
95%
ORL
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade5068%25.0 / 37
M. Beasley1447%7.0 / 15
J. Moon758%3.5 / 6
C. Quinn770%3.5 / 5
J. O'Neal627%3.0 / 11
Y. Diawara550%2.5 / 5
D. Cook440%2.0 / 5
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
M. Chalmers214%1.0 / 7
M. Blount233%1.0 / 3
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard3280%16.0 / 20
H. Turkoglu2091%10.0 / 11
R. Lewis1882%9.0 / 11
C. Lee1464%7.0 / 11
R. Alston1255%6.0 / 11
A. Johnson1267%6.0 / 9
J. Redick1056%5.0 / 9
T. Battie467%2.0 / 3
M. Gortat0-0.0 / 2
J. Richardson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
91
+8
-5
99
ORL
80
+11
-16
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
ORL
1.33 66.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
109.0
MIA 103.1
ORL 127.1 +24.0
Pace
90.2
92.5
MIA 93.6
ORL 98.5 +4.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.5
MIA 15.4
ORL 14.6 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
52.0%
MIA 44.9%
ORL 66.0% +21.1%
TO %
13.1%
14.6%
MIA 4.9% +11.3%
ORL 16.2%
ORB %
24.6%
24.1%
MIA 14.3%
ORL 32.3% +18.0%
FTrt
28.2
35.1
MIA 22.5
ORL 40.0 +17.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
54.4%
MIA 37.8%
ORL 53.7% +15.9%
STL %
8.7%
7.5%
MIA 8.3% +5.2%
ORL 3.1%
BLK %
9.2%
8.0%
MIA 11.9% +4.5%
ORL 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
54.4%
MIA 49.5%
ORL 66.3% +16.8%
Rim FG%
59.5%
60.9%
MIA 72.2% +10.7%
ORL 61.5%
Mid FG%
41.8%
39.3%
MIA 36.0%
ORL 50.0% +14.0%
3P %
35.7%
38.1%
MIA 28.6%
ORL 51.5% +22.9%
FT %
75.4%
71.5%
MIA 95.0% +18.3%
ORL 76.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
31.3%
MIA 20.2%
ORL 34.7% +14.4%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
35.2%
MIA 56.2%
ORL 21.3% +34.8%
3P Att. %
24.5%
33.5%
MIA 23.6%
ORL 44.0% +20.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points99122
Rebounds2852
Assists1422
Steals83
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)5 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (4)42 (1)
Field Goals37-8941-75
At-the-Rim FG13-1816-26
Midrange FG18-508-16
2-Point FG31-6824-42
3-Point FG6-2117-33
Free Throws19-2023-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
37.3
50
68%
5
5
1
1
1
3
0
5
14-15
93%
15-23
65%
2-7
29%
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
24.9
6
27%
2
2
2
3
1
3
1
1
2-2
100%
2-10
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
24.7
2
33%
8
3
1
0
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
23.3
2
14%
1
2
3
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 26
16.8
5
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 205 · 29
25.8
7
58%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
24.4
14
47%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
5-14
36%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
21.9
4
40%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
18.9
7
70%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
12.8
0
0%
3
2
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
5.7
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
50%
28
14
8
5
5
0
7
21
19-20
95%
31-68
46%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.