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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 22, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers72%106111
25Timberwolves28%99108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.3
41.0
34.5
25
75%
14
3
2
1
0
1
4
10
5-6
83%
10-14
5-10
71%
54%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.6
38.8
39.1
25
72%
5
5
0
1
2
1
0
5
7-10
70%
9-13
7-13
69%
56%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.5
36.7
35.7
28
58%
6
7
1
1
0
6
0
6
6-7
86%
11-19
9-18
58%
51%
0-2
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.9
29.9
25.1
8
50%
4
5
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
2-3
67%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.5
27.1
30.4
9
51%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
2-4
50%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.2
20.9
15.1
6
51%
1
3
6
1
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
18.1
20.8
4
33%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.1
13.1
14.4
6
60%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.0
11.3
12.2
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.1
3.1
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.6
4.9
0
0-1
40%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.2
4.2
0
1-1
47%
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.3
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.5
40.8
33.3
20
55%
7
4
1
1
0
4
1
6
3-3
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
47%
3-9
33%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.4
38.6
34.3
16
50%
3
6
3
1
0
1
0
3
4-7
57%
3-8
5-10
38%
45%
2-5
40%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.0
32.4
36.2
14
70%
4
5
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
53%
2-5
40%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.7
31.7
33.7
20
59%
0
5
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
7-13
3-7
54%
41%
2-4
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.5
22.1
25.5
11
57%
10
0
0
0
0
3
4
6
5-6
83%
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.2
25.9
9.0
1
17%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.3
17.6
13.2
19
91%
3
0
1
0
0
4
0
3
1-1
100%
9-10
2-4
90%
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.2
16.3
14.7
0
0%
3
6
2
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.9
14.6
19.1
7
70%
2
0
1
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.8
16.0
1
1-1
45%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.4
3.5
0
0-1
41%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 33.1
3.3
0
0-0
40%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.1
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.