| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 Pistons | 94.0 | 83 | 85.5 |
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Scoring Opportunities
DET
73
+19
-10
92
CLE
78
+10
-5
88
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
DET
0.83 41.5%
CLE
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | DET | CLE |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | CLE | 78 | 99 | |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | DET | Kinsey STEAL (1 STL) | 78 | 99 |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 78 | 99 |
| Q4 - 0:26.0 | DET | MISS Herrmann 10' Running Jump Shot | 78 | 99 |
| Q4 - 0:31.0 | DET | Herrmann REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 78 | 99 |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | CLE | MISS Kinsey 11' Jump Shot | 78 | 99 |
| Q4 - 0:55.0 | CLE | Hickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 78 | 99 |
| Q4 - 0:58.0 | DET | MISS Bynum 1' Layup | 78 | 99 |
| Q4 - 1:06 | CLE | Kinsey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 78 | 99 |
| Q4 - 1:06 | CLE | Kinsey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 78 | 98 |
| Q4 - 1:06 | DET | Afflalo S.FOUL (P1.PN) | 78 | 97 |
| Q4 - 1:27 | DET | Johnson P.FOUL (P2.T3) | 78 | 97 |
| Q4 - 1:28 | CLE | Hickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 78 | 97 |
| Q4 - 1:29 | CLE | MISS D. Jackson 22' Jump Shot | 78 | 97 |
| Q4 - 1:45 | DET | Herrmann 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST) | 78 | 97 |
| Q4 - 2:03 | DET | Herrmann REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 76 | 97 |
| Q4 - 2:04 | CLE | MISS Gibson 18' Jump Shot | 76 | 97 |
| Q4 - 2:25 | DET | Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 76 | 97 |
| Q4 - 2:25 | DET | Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 75 | 97 |
| Q4 - 2:25 | CLE | SUB: Wright FOR Szczerbiak | 74 | 97 |
| Q4 - 2:25 | DET | SUB: Afflalo FOR Hamilton | 74 | 97 |
| Q4 - 2:25 | DET | Pistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0) | 74 | 97 |
| Q4 - 2:25 | CLE | Szczerbiak S.FOUL (P4.T3) | 74 | 97 |
| Q4 - 2:33 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 74 | 97 |
| Q4 - 2:34 | CLE | MISS D. Jackson 2' Layup | 74 | 97 |
| Q4 - 2:50 | CLE | D. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 74 | 97 |
| Q4 - 2:53 | DET | MISS Herrmann 12' Jump Bank Shot | 74 | 97 |
| Q4 - 3:03 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 74 | 97 |
| Q4 - 3:04 | CLE | MISS Szczerbiak 17' Jump Shot | 74 | 97 |
| Q4 - 3:30 | DET | Hamilton 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 74 | 97 |
| Q4 - 3:35 | DET | Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 72 | 97 |
| Q4 - 3:36 | CLE | MISS Gibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 | 97 |
| Q4 - 3:57 | CLE | Szczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 72 | 97 |
| Q4 - 3:58 | DET | MISS Herrmann 3PT Jump Shot | 72 | 97 |
| Q4 - 4:12 | CLE | CAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6) | 72 | 97 |
| Q4 - 4:36 | CLE | CAVALIERS Rebound | 72 | 97 |
| Q4 - 4:38 | DET | MISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 | 97 |
| Q4 - 4:43 | DET | Bynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 72 | 97 |
| Q4 - 4:44 | DET | MISS Herrmann 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 | 97 |
| Q4 - 4:56 | CLE | Szczerbiak 11' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS) | 72 | 97 |
| Q4 - 5:18 | DET | Herrmann 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST) | 72 | 95 |
| Q4 - 5:25 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 69 | 95 |
| Q4 - 5:26 | CLE | MISS Szczerbiak 16' Jump Shot | 69 | 95 |
| Q4 - 5:49 | DET | Herrmann 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST) | 69 | 95 |
| Q4 - 6:04 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 66 | 95 |
| Q4 - 6:04 | CLE | MISS D. Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 66 | 95 |
| Q4 - 6:04 | CLE | CAVALIERS Rebound | 66 | 95 |
| Q4 - 6:04 | CLE | MISS D. Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 66 | 95 |
| Q4 - 6:04 | CLE | CAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0) | 66 | 95 |
| Q4 - 6:04 | DET | Johnson S.FOUL (P1.T2) | 66 | 95 |
| Q4 - 6:08 | DET | Gibson STEAL (2 STL) | 66 | 95 |
| Q4 - 6:34 | CLE | Szczerbiak 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 66 | 95 |
| Q4 - 6:53 | CLE | Kinsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 66 | 93 |
| Q4 - 6:56 | DET | D. Jackson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 66 | 93 |
| Q4 - 6:58 | DET | Herrmann REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 66 | 93 |
| Q4 - 6:59 | DET | MISS Herrmann 1' Layup | 66 | 93 |
| Q4 - 7:03 | DET | Herrmann REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 66 | 93 |
| Q4 - 7:04 | DET | Gibson BLOCK (2 BLK) | 66 | 93 |
| Q4 - 7:10 | DET | Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 66 | 93 |
| Q4 - 7:11 | CLE | MISS Kinsey 3PT Jump Shot | 66 | 93 |
| Q4 - 7:15 | CLE | Gibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 66 | 93 |
| Q4 - 7:19 | DET | MISS Maxiell 1' Alley Oop Layup | 66 | 93 |
| Q4 - 7:25 | DET | Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 66 | 93 |
| Q4 - 7:26 | CLE | MISS Kinsey 7' Jump Shot | 66 | 93 |
| Q4 - 7:45 | DET | Herrmann Layup (5 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST) | 66 | 93 |
| Q4 - 7:48 | DET | Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 64 | 93 |
| Q4 - 7:50 | CLE | MISS Gibson 9' Jump Shot | 64 | 93 |
| Q4 - 8:01 | CLE | D. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 64 | 93 |
| Q4 - 8:02 | DET | MISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 | 64 | 93 |
| Q4 - 8:02 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 64 | 93 |
| Q4 - 8:02 | DET | MISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 | 64 | 93 |
| Q4 - 8:02 | CLE | D. Jackson S.FOUL (P1.T2) | 64 | 93 |
| Q4 - 8:08 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 64 | 93 |
| Q4 - 8:09 | DET | MISS Herrmann 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 64 | 93 |
| Q4 - 8:21 | CLE | SUB: Kinsey FOR West | 64 | 93 |
| Q4 - 8:21 | 64 | 93 | ||
| Q4 - 8:21 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 64 | 93 |
| Q4 - 8:22 | CLE | MISS D. Jackson 21' Jump Shot | 64 | 93 |
| Q4 - 8:45 | DET | Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST) | 64 | 93 |
| Q4 - 8:53 | CLE | Hickson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5) | 61 | 93 |
| Q4 - 9:14 | CLE | Gibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 61 | 93 |
| Q4 - 9:15 | DET | MISS Bynum 7' Running Jump Shot | 61 | 93 |
| Q4 - 9:41 | CLE | Gibson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 4 AST) | 61 | 93 |
| Q4 - 10:05 | DET | Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS) | 61 | 90 |
| Q4 - 10:05 | CLE | SUB: D. Jackson FOR Varejao | 60 | 90 |
| Q4 - 10:05 | CLE | Szczerbiak S.FOUL (P3.T1) | 60 | 90 |
| Q4 - 10:05 | DET | Maxiell 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST) | 60 | 90 |
| Q4 - 10:18 | CLE | Gibson Traveling Turnover (P1.T4) | 58 | 90 |
| Q4 - 10:25 | DET | Bynum P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 58 | 90 |
| Q4 - 10:32 | CLE | West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 58 | 90 |
| Q4 - 10:33 | DET | MISS Bynum 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 | 90 |
| Q4 - 10:40 | DET | Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 58 | 90 |
| Q4 - 10:41 | DET | MISS Bynum 21' Jump Shot | 58 | 90 |
| Q4 - 10:58 | CLE | Szczerbiak 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (West 3 AST) | 58 | 90 |
| Q4 - 11:16 | CLE | Szczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 58 | 88 |
| Q4 - 11:17 | DET | MISS Herrmann 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 | 88 |
| Q4 - 11:32 | DET | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 58 | 88 |
| Q4 - 11:33 | DET | MISS Herrmann 22' Jump Shot | 58 | 88 |
| Q4 - 11:40 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 58 | 88 |
| Q4 - 11:42 | CLE | MISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 | 88 |
| Q4 - 12:00 | 58 | 88 | ||
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DET | 58 | 88 | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 58 | 88 |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DET | MISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 | 88 |
| Q3 - 0:16.0 | CLE | West 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (25 PTS) | 58 | 88 |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 58 | 86 |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | DET | MISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 1 | 58 | 86 |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | CLE | Szczerbiak L.B.FOUL (P2.PN) | 58 | 86 |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | DET | Hamilton 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST) | 58 | 86 |
| Q3 - 0:47.0 | CLE | Szczerbiak 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 9 AST) | 56 | 86 |
| Q3 - 1:06 | CLE | Gibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 56 | 84 |
| Q3 - 1:10 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 56 | 84 |
| Q3 - 1:10 | DET | MISS McDyess 1' Tip Shot | 56 | 84 |
| Q3 - 1:11 | DET | MISS McDyess 2' Layup | 56 | 84 |
| Q3 - 1:30 | CLE | Szczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (West 2 AST) | 56 | 84 |
| Q3 - 1:39 | DET | Gibson STEAL (1 STL) | 56 | 81 |
| Q3 - 1:48 | CLE | SUB: Gibson FOR Williams | 56 | 81 |
| Q3 - 1:48 | DET | SUB: Hamilton FOR Iverson | 56 | 81 |
| Q3 - 1:48 | DET | Pistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0) | 56 | 81 |
| Q3 - 1:48 | CLE | West P.FOUL (P3.T3) | 56 | 81 |
| Q3 - 1:51 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 56 | 81 |
| Q3 - 1:52 | CLE | MISS James 2' Driving Layup | 56 | 81 |
| Q3 - 2:01 | DET | Szczerbiak STEAL (1 STL) | 56 | 81 |
| Q3 - 2:10 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 56 | 81 |
| Q3 - 2:11 | CLE | MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 56 | 81 |
| Q3 - 2:32 | CLE | West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 56 | 81 |
| Q3 - 2:34 | DET | MISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot | 56 | 81 |
| Q3 - 2:45 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 56 | 81 |
| Q3 - 2:47 | CLE | MISS Williams 8' Jump Shot | 56 | 81 |
| Q3 - 3:09 | DET | McDyess 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 1 AST) | 56 | 81 |
| Q3 - 3:28 | CLE | West 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST) | 54 | 81 |
| Q3 - 3:48 | DET | Wallace 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Iverson 5 AST) | 54 | 78 |
| Q3 - 3:54 | DET | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 3:56 | CLE | Varejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 3:56 | CLE | MISS Varejao Tip Shot | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 3:57 | CLE | MISS West 1' Layup | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 4:06 | CLE | SUB: Varejao FOR Ilgauskas | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 4:06 | CLE | SUB: Szczerbiak FOR Wallace | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 4:06 | CLE | CAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0) | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 4:10 | CLE | Wallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 4:12 | DET | MISS Iverson 2' Reverse Layup | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 4:20 | CLE | West Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 4:22 | CLE | West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 4:23 | CLE | MISS James 19' Jump Shot | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 4:41 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 4:43 | DET | Ilgauskas BLOCK (2 BLK) | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 4:51 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 4:52 | CLE | MISS Wallace 5' Turnaround Jump Shot | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 5:17 | DET | Stuckey 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 52 | 78 |
| Q3 - 5:35 | CLE | Ilgauskas 1' Layup (16 PTS) (James 8 AST) | 50 | 78 |
| Q3 - 6:00 | DET | Prince 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 50 | 76 |
| Q3 - 6:07 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 48 | 76 |
| Q3 - 6:07 | CLE | MISS James 18' Jump Shot | 48 | 76 |
| Q3 - 6:15 | CLE | Wallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 48 | 76 |
| Q3 - 6:16 | CLE | MISS Ilgauskas 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 | 76 |
| Q3 - 6:25 | CLE | Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 48 | 76 |
| Q3 - 6:26 | DET | MISS Prince 18' Jump Shot | 48 | 76 |
| Q3 - 6:49 | CLE | Wallace 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 7 AST) | 48 | 76 |
| Q3 - 6:59 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 48 | 74 |
| Q3 - 7:00 | DET | MISS Wallace 7' Jump Shot | 48 | 74 |
| Q3 - 7:19 | CLE | James 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Williams 4 AST) | 48 | 74 |
| Q3 - 7:38 | DET | Iverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS) | 48 | 72 |
| Q3 - 7:38 | CLE | Wallace S.FOUL (P1.T2) | 47 | 72 |
| Q3 - 7:38 | DET | Iverson 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) | 47 | 72 |
| Q3 - 7:45 | CLE | West Violation:Kicked Ball | 45 | 72 |
| Q3 - 7:56 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 45 | 72 |
| Q3 - 7:57 | CLE | MISS Williams 20' Jump Shot | 45 | 72 |
| Q3 - 8:10 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 45 | 72 |
| Q3 - 8:10 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 44 | 72 |
| Q3 - 8:10 | CLE | Ilgauskas S.FOUL (P2.T1) | 43 | 72 |
| Q3 - 8:23 | CLE | Ilgauskas 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 43 | 72 |
| Q3 - 8:42 | DET | Iverson 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST) | 43 | 70 |
| Q3 - 8:52 | DET | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 41 | 70 |
| Q3 - 8:53 | DET | MISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 41 | 70 |
| Q3 - 9:02 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 41 | 70 |
| Q3 - 9:03 | DET | James BLOCK (1 BLK) | 41 | 70 |
| Q3 - 9:05 | DET | Iverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 41 | 70 |
| Q3 - 9:06 | CLE | Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 41 | 70 |
| Q3 - 9:06 | CLE | MISS Wallace 1' Tip Shot | 41 | 70 |
| Q3 - 9:08 | CLE | MISS Wallace 2' Layup | 41 | 70 |
| Q3 - 9:35 | DET | Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST) | 41 | 70 |
| Q3 - 9:51 | CLE | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 38 | 70 |
| Q3 - 9:51 | CLE | CAVALIERS Rebound | 38 | 69 |
| Q3 - 9:51 | CLE | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 38 | 69 |
| Q3 - 9:51 | DET | Prince S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 38 | 69 |
| Q3 - 9:53 | CLE | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 38 | 69 |
| Q3 - 9:54 | DET | MISS Stuckey 7' Jump Shot | 38 | 69 |
| Q3 - 10:03 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 38 | 69 |
| Q3 - 10:04 | CLE | MISS Wallace 5' Running Jump Shot | 38 | 69 |
| Q3 - 10:22 | CLE | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 38 | 69 |
| Q3 - 10:24 | DET | MISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot | 38 | 69 |
| Q3 - 10:39 | CLE | Ilgauskas 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 38 | 69 |
| Q3 - 10:57 | DET | Iverson 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 38 | 67 |
| Q3 - 11:18 | CLE | Ilgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T2) | 36 | 67 |
| Q3 - 11:18 | CLE | Ilgauskas OFF.Foul (P1) | 36 | 67 |
| Q3 - 11:35 | DET | Stuckey 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 36 | 67 |
| Q3 - 12:00 | 34 | 67 | ||
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | CLE | 34 | 67 | |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | DET | Herrmann 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST) | 34 | 67 |
| Q2 - 0:15.0 | CLE | West P.FOUL (P2.T1) | 31 | 67 |
| Q2 - 0:34.0 | CLE | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 31 | 67 |
| Q2 - 0:34.0 | CLE | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 31 | 66 |
| Q2 - 0:34.0 | DET | Hamilton P.FOUL (P1.PN) | 31 | 65 |
| Q2 - 0:39.0 | DET | Pistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7) | 31 | 65 |
| Q2 - 1:05 | CLE | West 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS) | 31 | 65 |
| Q2 - 1:21 | DET | Prince 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 31 | 63 |
| Q2 - 1:26 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 29 | 63 |
| Q2 - 1:27 | DET | MISS Herrmann 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 | 63 |
| Q2 - 1:46 | CLE | West Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 29 | 63 |
| Q2 - 1:46 | CLE | West Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 29 | 62 |
| Q2 - 1:46 | DET | SUB: Stuckey FOR Iverson | 29 | 61 |
| Q2 - 1:46 | DET | Iverson S.FOUL (P3.PN) | 29 | 61 |
| Q2 - 1:58 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 29 | 61 |
| Q2 - 1:59 | DET | MISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot | 29 | 61 |
| Q2 - 2:25 | CLE | Varejao Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 29 | 61 |
| Q2 - 2:25 | DET | SUB: McDyess FOR Wallace | 29 | 60 |
| Q2 - 2:25 | CLE | CAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0) | 29 | 60 |
| Q2 - 2:25 | DET | Iverson S.FOUL (P2.PN) | 29 | 60 |
| Q2 - 2:25 | CLE | Varejao Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST) | 29 | 60 |
| Q2 - 2:33 | CLE | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 | 58 |
| Q2 - 2:34 | DET | MISS Iverson 1' Layup | 29 | 58 |
| Q2 - 2:50 | CLE | James 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS) | 29 | 58 |
| Q2 - 3:01 | CLE | Jump Ball West vs. Hamilton: Tip to James | 29 | 56 |
| Q2 - 3:10 | CLE | CAVALIERS Rebound | 29 | 56 |
| Q2 - 3:13 | DET | Gibson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 29 | 56 |
| Q2 - 3:28 | CLE | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 29 | 56 |
| Q2 - 3:28 | DET | Iverson S.FOUL (P1.T4) | 29 | 55 |
| Q2 - 3:28 | CLE | James Layup (12 PTS) | 29 | 55 |
| Q2 - 3:30 | DET | James STEAL (2 STL) | 29 | 53 |
| Q2 - 3:35 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 29 | 53 |
| Q2 - 3:36 | DET | MISS Iverson 14' Jump Shot | 29 | 53 |
| Q2 - 3:39 | DET | Iverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 29 | 53 |
| Q2 - 3:40 | DET | MISS Iverson 1' Layup | 29 | 53 |
| Q2 - 3:58 | CLE | West 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Varejao 2 AST) | 29 | 53 |
| Q2 - 4:04 | CLE | Varejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 29 | 50 |
| Q2 - 4:05 | CLE | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 | 50 |
| Q2 - 4:16 | DET | Prince 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST) | 29 | 50 |
| Q2 - 4:34 | CLE | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 27 | 50 |
| Q2 - 4:34 | CLE | CAVALIERS Rebound | 27 | 49 |
| Q2 - 4:34 | CLE | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 27 | 49 |
| Q2 - 4:34 | DET | Herrmann S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 27 | 49 |
| Q2 - 4:52 | DET | Iverson 5' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 27 | 49 |
| Q2 - 5:11 | CLE | James 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (West 1 AST) | 25 | 49 |
| Q2 - 5:33 | CLE | SUB: West FOR Szczerbiak | 25 | 47 |
| Q2 - 5:33 | CLE | SUB: Wallace FOR Williams | 25 | 47 |
| Q2 - 5:33 | DET | SUB: Herrmann FOR Afflalo | 25 | 47 |
| Q2 - 5:33 | DET | SUB: Iverson FOR Maxiell | 25 | 47 |
| Q2 - 5:33 | DET | SUB: Prince FOR Stuckey | 25 | 47 |
| Q2 - 5:33 | 25 | 47 | ||
| Q2 - 5:33 | DET | Afflalo Traveling Turnover (P2.T5) | 25 | 47 |
| Q2 - 5:52 | CLE | Williams 23' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 25 | 47 |
| Q2 - 5:58 | DET | Williams STEAL (2 STL) | 25 | 45 |
| Q2 - 6:01 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 25 | 45 |
| Q2 - 6:02 | CLE | MISS Varejao 2' Layup | 25 | 45 |
| Q2 - 6:23 | DET | Afflalo Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST) | 25 | 45 |
| Q2 - 6:34 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 23 | 45 |
| Q2 - 6:34 | CLE | MISS Szczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 | 23 | 45 |
| Q2 - 6:34 | CLE | Szczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 23 | 45 |
| Q2 - 6:34 | CLE | SUB: James FOR Ilgauskas | 23 | 44 |
| Q2 - 6:34 | CLE | Williams Free Throw Technical (9 PTS) | 23 | 44 |
| Q2 - 6:34 | DET | Maxiell T.FOUL (P2.T2) | 23 | 43 |
| Q2 - 6:34 | DET | Maxiell S.FOUL (P2.T2) | 23 | 43 |
| Q2 - 6:55 | DET | Hamilton 11' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 23 | 43 |
| Q2 - 7:05 | DET | Afflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 | 43 |
| Q2 - 7:06 | CLE | MISS Ilgauskas 14' Jump Shot | 21 | 43 |
| Q2 - 7:28 | CLE | CAVALIERS Rebound | 21 | 43 |
| Q2 - 7:29 | DET | MISS Stuckey 2' Layup | 21 | 43 |
| Q2 - 7:37 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 21 | 43 |
| Q2 - 7:38 | CLE | MISS Williams 22' Jump Shot | 21 | 43 |
| Q2 - 8:07 | DET | Maxiell 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST) | 21 | 43 |
| Q2 - 8:20 | DET | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 | 43 |
| Q2 - 8:21 | CLE | MISS Williams 21' Jump Shot | 19 | 43 |
| Q2 - 8:36 | CLE | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 19 | 43 |
| Q2 - 8:37 | DET | MISS Hamilton 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 19 | 43 |
| Q2 - 8:56 | DET | Pistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0) | 19 | 43 |
| Q2 - 9:00 | CLE | Ilgauskas 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST) | 19 | 43 |
| Q2 - 9:14 | CLE | Szczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 19 | 41 |
| Q2 - 9:17 | DET | MISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot | 19 | 41 |
| Q2 - 9:39 | CLE | Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST) | 19 | 41 |
| Q2 - 9:54 | CLE | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 | 38 |
| Q2 - 9:55 | DET | MISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 | 38 |
| Q2 - 9:57 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 19 | 38 |
| Q2 - 9:58 | DET | Ilgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK) | 19 | 38 |
| Q2 - 10:08 | CLE | Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 19 | 38 |
| Q2 - 10:08 | CLE | Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 19 | 37 |
| Q2 - 10:08 | DET | Maxiell S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 19 | 36 |
| Q2 - 10:14 | CLE | Varejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 19 | 36 |
| Q2 - 10:16 | DET | MISS Maxiell 14' Jump Shot | 19 | 36 |
| Q2 - 10:30 | CLE | Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 19 | 36 |
| Q2 - 10:38 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 19 | 33 |
| Q2 - 10:39 | DET | MISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot | 19 | 33 |
| Q2 - 10:59 | CLE | Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST) | 19 | 33 |
| Q2 - 11:08 | CLE | Szczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 | 31 |
| Q2 - 11:09 | DET | MISS Afflalo 20' Jump Shot | 19 | 31 |
| Q2 - 11:24 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 19 | 31 |
| Q2 - 11:25 | CLE | MISS Ilgauskas 17' Turnaround Jump Shot | 19 | 31 |
| Q2 - 11:42 | DET | Maxiell 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST) | 19 | 31 |
| Q2 - 12:00 | 17 | 31 | ||
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DET | 17 | 31 | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 17 | 31 |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DET | MISS Prince 22' Jump Shot | 17 | 31 |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | CLE | West Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) | 17 | 31 |
| Q1 - 0:24.0 | CLE | Varejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 17 | 29 |
| Q1 - 0:25.0 | CLE | MISS Gibson 21' Jump Shot | 17 | 29 |
| Q1 - 0:46.0 | DET | Hamilton 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST) | 17 | 29 |
| Q1 - 0:55.0 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 15 | 29 |
| Q1 - 0:56.0 | CLE | MISS West 15' Jump Shot | 15 | 29 |
| Q1 - 1:21 | DET | Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 15 | 29 |
| Q1 - 1:21 | DET | Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 14 | 29 |
| Q1 - 1:21 | CLE | West S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 13 | 29 |
| Q1 - 1:30 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 | 29 |
| Q1 - 1:31 | CLE | MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 13 | 29 |
| Q1 - 1:39 | DET | West STEAL (1 STL) | 13 | 29 |
| Q1 - 1:41 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 | 29 |
| Q1 - 1:43 | CLE | MISS James 15' Jump Bank Shot | 13 | 29 |
| Q1 - 1:58 | CLE | Gibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 | 29 |
| Q1 - 1:59 | DET | MISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot | 13 | 29 |
| Q1 - 2:15 | CLE | SUB: Gibson FOR Ilgauskas | 13 | 29 |
| Q1 - 2:15 | CLE | SUB: Varejao FOR Wallace | 13 | 29 |
| Q1 - 2:15 | CLE | CAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0) | 13 | 29 |
| Q1 - 2:15 | CLE | Szczerbiak Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 13 | 29 |
| Q1 - 2:15 | CLE | Szczerbiak OFF.Foul (P1) | 13 | 29 |
| Q1 - 2:32 | CLE | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 13 | 29 |
| Q1 - 2:33 | DET | MISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 13 | 29 |
| Q1 - 2:56 | CLE | Szczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST) | 13 | 29 |
| Q1 - 3:18 | DET | McDyess 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST) | 13 | 26 |
| Q1 - 3:33 | CLE | Ilgauskas 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 11 | 26 |
| Q1 - 3:53 | DET | Iverson 15' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 11 | 24 |
| Q1 - 4:04 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 9 | 24 |
| Q1 - 4:05 | DET | MISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 9 | 24 |
| Q1 - 4:05 | CLE | SUB: Szczerbiak FOR Williams | 9 | 24 |
| Q1 - 4:05 | DET | Iverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 9 | 24 |
| Q1 - 4:05 | CLE | Williams S.FOUL (P2.T2) | 8 | 24 |
| Q1 - 4:18 | CLE | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 8 | 24 |
| Q1 - 4:18 | DET | SUB: Hamilton FOR Stuckey | 8 | 23 |
| Q1 - 4:18 | DET | Stuckey S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 8 | 23 |
| Q1 - 4:18 | CLE | James 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 8 | 23 |
| Q1 - 4:20 | DET | James STEAL (1 STL) | 8 | 21 |
| Q1 - 4:44 | CLE | Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST) | 8 | 21 |
| Q1 - 4:59 | CLE | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 8 | 19 |
| Q1 - 5:00 | DET | MISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot | 8 | 19 |
| Q1 - 5:22 | DET | Pistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0) | 8 | 19 |
| Q1 - 5:23 | CLE | James 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST) | 8 | 19 |
| Q1 - 5:29 | DET | Williams STEAL (1 STL) | 8 | 17 |
| Q1 - 5:41 | CLE | West 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 1 AST) | 8 | 17 |
| Q1 - 5:51 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 8 | 14 |
| Q1 - 5:52 | DET | MISS Stuckey 20' Jump Shot | 8 | 14 |
| Q1 - 6:08 | CLE | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 8 | 14 |
| Q1 - 6:08 | DET | SUB: Maxiell FOR Wallace | 8 | 13 |
| Q1 - 6:08 | CLE | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 8 | 13 |
| Q1 - 6:08 | DET | Wallace S.FOUL (P2.T2) | 8 | 12 |
| Q1 - 6:29 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 8 | 12 |
| Q1 - 6:30 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 8 | 12 |
| Q1 - 6:30 | DET | MISS Wallace Tip Shot | 8 | 12 |
| Q1 - 6:31 | DET | MISS Iverson 8' Running Jump Shot | 8 | 12 |
| Q1 - 6:38 | CLE | Williams P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 8 | 12 |
| Q1 - 6:57 | CLE | West 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 8 | 12 |
| Q1 - 7:20 | DET | Iverson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST) | 8 | 9 |
| Q1 - 7:23 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 | 9 |
| Q1 - 7:24 | DET | MISS Prince 12' Jump Shot | 6 | 9 |
| Q1 - 7:41 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 | 9 |
| Q1 - 7:42 | CLE | MISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot | 6 | 9 |
| Q1 - 7:48 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 | 9 |
| Q1 - 7:49 | DET | MISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot | 6 | 9 |
| Q1 - 7:56 | CLE | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 | 9 |
| Q1 - 7:56 | CLE | Wallace Layup (2 PTS) | 6 | 9 |
| Q1 - 8:00 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 6 | 7 |
| Q1 - 8:00 | CLE | MISS Ilgauskas 1' Tip Shot | 6 | 7 |
| Q1 - 8:04 | CLE | MISS Ilgauskas 1' Running Layup | 6 | 7 |
| Q1 - 8:08 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 6 | 7 |
| Q1 - 8:09 | CLE | MISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot | 6 | 7 |
| Q1 - 8:27 | DET | Stuckey 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 6 | 7 |
| Q1 - 8:40 | CLE | West Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 4 | 7 |
| Q1 - 8:40 | CLE | West Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 4 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:40 | DET | Wallace S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 4 | 5 |
| Q1 - 9:04 | DET | Prince 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST) | 4 | 5 |
| Q1 - 9:24 | CLE | West 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 2 | 5 |
| Q1 - 9:43 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 9:44 | DET | MISS Prince 3' Layup | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:03 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:04 | CLE | MISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:12 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:14 | DET | MISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:32 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:33 | CLE | MISS West 18' Jump Shot | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:43 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:46 | DET | MISS Stuckey 7' Running Jump Shot | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 11:11 | CLE | Williams 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 11:25 | DET | Prince 1' Layup (2 PTS) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:44 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:46 | CLE | MISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | CLE | Jump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Wallace: Tip to Wallace | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Clock | Team | Event | DET | CLE |
Score / WinProb | ||||
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SHOOTING
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Scoring Efficiency
DET
0.83 41.5%
CLE
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
13
29
45%
CLE
11
22
50%
Midrange
DET
14
41
34%
CLE
14
37
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
CLE
10
15.0
18
56%
83%
Free Throws
DET
9
13
69%
CLE
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Pistons| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Iverson | 14 | 41% | 7.0 / 17 | |
| W. Herrmann | 13 | 43% | 6.5 / 15 | |
| R. Hamilton | 11 | 55% | 5.5 / 10 | |
| J. Maxiell | 11 | 69% | 5.5 / 8 | |
| T. Prince | 10 | 50% | 5.0 / 10 | |
| R. Stuckey | 8 | 40% | 4.0 / 10 | |
| R. Wallace | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| A. McDyess | 4 | 22% | 2.0 / 9 | |
| A. Afflalo | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| W. Bynum | 0 | - | 0.0 / 5 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Cavaliers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. West | 25 | 96% | 12.5 / 13 | |
| L. James | 20 | 59% | 10.0 / 17 | |
| Z. Ilgauskas | 16 | 53% | 8.0 / 15 | |
| W. Szczerbiak | 15 | 83% | 7.5 / 9 | |
| M. Williams | 11 | 61% | 5.5 / 9 | |
| B. Wallace | 4 | 29% | 2.0 / 7 | |
| D. Gibson | 3 | 25% | 1.5 / 6 | |
| A. Varejao | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 | |
| T. Kinsey | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 | |
| D. Jackson | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
DET
73
+19
-10
92
CLE
78
+10
-5
88
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
DET
0.83 41.5%
CLE
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 106.8 112.0 | DET 94.0 CLE 119.3 +25.3 |
| Pace | 87.3 89.1 | DET 85.5 +4.8 CLE 80.6 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 17.1 17.2 | DET 16.8 −1.0 CLE 17.9 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 48.3% 51.9% | DET 40.1% CLE 51.9% +11.8% |
| TO % | 12.7% 13.4% | DET 10.7% CLE 6.4% −4.3% |
| ORB % | 27.9% 27.8% | DET 31.4% +7.0% CLE 24.4% |
| FTrt | 28.2 31.2 | DET 15.1 CLE 31.2 +16.1 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 56.7% 55.0% | DET 65.6% CLE 68.6% +3.0% |
| STL % | 6.8% 8.1% | DET 2.4% CLE 10.8% +8.4% |
| BLK % | 7.3% 8.7% | DET 3.4% CLE 8.6% +5.2% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 51.0% 54.3% | DET 41.5% CLE 55.0% +13.5% |
| Rim FG% | 58.7% 62.0% | DET 44.8% CLE 50.0% +5.2% |
| Mid FG% | 41.2% 40.8% | DET 34.1% CLE 37.8% +3.7% |
| 3P % | 34.9% 39.3% | DET 31.3% CLE 55.6% +24.3% |
| FT % | 75.1% 75.7% | DET 69.2% CLE 79.2% +10.0% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 30.0% 30.3% | DET 33.7% +5.1% CLE 28.6% |
| Mid Att. % | 53.5% 43.8% | DET 47.7% −0.4% CLE 48.1% |
| 3P Att. % | 16.5% 25.9% | DET 18.6% CLE 23.4% +4.8% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.
| Game Totals | DET | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 83 | 83 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.3 | 24.7 |
| Points | 78 | 99 |
| Rebounds | 47 | 45 |
| Assists | 21 | 24 |
| Steals | 2 | 9 |
| Blocks | 2 | 6 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 10 (1) | 5 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 16 (3) | 10 (0) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 31 (3) | 35 (3) |
| Field Goals | 32-86 | 35-77 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 13-29 | 11-22 |
| Midrange FG | 14-41 | 14-37 |
| 2-Point FG | 27-70 | 25-59 |
| 3-Point FG | 5-16 | 10-18 |
| Free Throws | 9-13 | 19-24 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.