Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Celtics	45%	96	114	126.7	90	84.4
	4	Nuggets	55%	97	76	83.5	91	97.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 34	33.1	26	87%	6	1	0	1	1	2	0	6	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	6-11	55%
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 31	33.0	22	58%	6	4	0	1	1	2	3	3	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	4-7	57%
Rajon Rondo G · 6'1" 186 · 23	31.1	14	78%	8	8	1	1	2	2	3	5	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Kendrick Perkins C · 6'10" 270 · 24	26.3	2	25%	7	5	1	1	3	5	0	7	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Brian Scalabrine F · 6'9" 235 · 31	11.5	5	50%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%

Leon Powe F · 6'8" 240 · 25	29.3	16	47%	5	2	1	0	0	1	2	3	6-8	75%	5-13	38%	0-0	-
Glen Davis F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23	28.0	8	50%	5	2	1	0	0	5	1	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Gabe Pruitt G · 6'4" 170 · 23	17.3	5	63%	2	3	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Eddie House G · 6'1" 190 · 31	15.9	8	100%	3	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Henry Walker F · 6'6" 235 · 21	9.9	4	67%	0	1	1	1	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
J.R. Giddens G · 6'5" 215 · 24	4.5	4	67%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kevin Garnett F · 6'11" 240 · 33	\| NWT - INJ - Muscle Strain - Right Knee
Tony Allen #42 · · 6'4" 213 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	62%	46	28	8	5	10	0	11	35	18-21	86%	27-60	45%	14-23	61%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 34	33.1	26	87%	6	1	0	1	1	2	0	6	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	6-11	55%
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 31	33.0	22	58%	6	4	0	1	1	2	3	3	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	4-7	57%
Rajon Rondo G · 6'1" 186 · 23	31.1	14	78%	8	8	1	1	2	2	3	5	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Kendrick Perkins C · 6'10" 270 · 24	26.3	2	25%	7	5	1	1	3	5	0	7	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Brian Scalabrine F · 6'9" 235 · 31	11.5	5	50%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%

Leon Powe F · 6'8" 240 · 25	29.3	16	47%	5	2	1	0	0	1	2	3	6-8	75%	5-13	38%	0-0	-
Glen Davis F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23	28.0	8	50%	5	2	1	0	0	5	1	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Gabe Pruitt G · 6'4" 170 · 23	17.3	5	63%	2	3	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Eddie House G · 6'1" 190 · 31	15.9	8	100%	3	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Henry Walker F · 6'6" 235 · 21	9.9	4	67%	0	1	1	1	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
J.R. Giddens G · 6'5" 215 · 24	4.5	4	67%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kevin Garnett F · 6'11" 240 · 33	\| NWT - INJ - Muscle Strain - Right Knee
Tony Allen #42 · · 6'4" 213 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	62%	46	28	8	5	10	0	11	35	18-21	86%	27-60	45%	14-23	61%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chauncey Billups G · 6'3" 210 · 32	33.9	3	19%	0	5	0	0	4	4	0	0	1-1	100%	1-5	20%	0-3	0%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 25	32.2	18	53%	6	1	0	0	1	3	1	5	8-10	80%	5-11	45%	0-2	0%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 31	27.9	5	36%	4	2	1	1	3	3	0	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 23	20.7	9	50%	10	1	0	2	0	4	2	8	1-4	25%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G · 6'6" 225 · 28	18.4	3	21%	3	0	1	0	2	0	1	2	3-4	75%	0-5	0%	0-0	-

JR Smith G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23	39.1	19	50%	5	5	0	0	4	2	2	3	6-8	75%	5-7	71%	1-8	13%
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 24	26.9	10	56%	5	1	0	0	2	1	2	3	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31	20.1	5	50%	4	1	0	3	1	0	2	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 34	16.2	4	40%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Sonny Weems G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26	\| DND - INJ - Bone Bruise - Right Knee
Renaldo Balkman F · 6'8" 225 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Steven Hunter #45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	76	42%	38	16	2	6	17	0	11	27	23-34	68%	22-51	43%	3-21	14%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.24 62.0%

DEN

0.84 42.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

15

23

65%

DEN

11

22

50%

Midrange

BOS

12

37

32%

DEN

11

29

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

14

21.0

23

61%

91%

DEN

3

4.5

21

14%

21%

Free Throws

BOS

18

21

86%

DEN

23

34

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Allen	26	87%	13.0 / 15
P. Pierce	22	58%	11.0 / 19
L. Powe	16	47%	8.0 / 17
R. Rondo	14	78%	7.0 / 9
G. Davis	8	50%	4.0 / 8
E. House	8	100%	4.0 / 4
B. Scalabrine	5	50%	2.5 / 5
G. Pruitt	5	63%	2.5 / 4
H. Walker	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Giddens	4	67%	2.0 / 3
K. Perkins	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Smith	19	50%	9.5 / 19
C. Anthony	18	53%	9.0 / 17
L. Kleiza	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Petro	9	50%	4.5 / 9
K. Martin	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Andersen	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Carter	4	40%	2.0 / 5
C. Billups	3	19%	1.5 / 8
D. Jones	3	21%	1.5 / 7
S. Weems	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 110.1 6 110.2	BOS 126.7 +43.2 DEN 83.5
Pace	18 90.9 6 94.5	BOS 84.4 DEN 97.5 +13.1
Avg. Poss. Time	14 15.8 26 14.7	BOS 17.1 DEN 14.8 −2.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 52.8% 7 51.2%	BOS 57.8% +21.0% DEN 36.8%
TO %	28 16.4% 26 15.8%	BOS 9.8% −6.6% DEN 16.4%
ORB %	8 27.9% 15 27.5%	BOS 28.9% +5.0% DEN 23.9%
FTrt	8 32.8 1 38.2	BOS 25.3 DEN 47.2 +21.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 60.6% 6 59.5%	BOS 68.3% +4.3% DEN 64.0%
STL %	6 8.3% 3 9.1%	BOS 8.9% +6.7% DEN 2.2%
BLK %	16 7.8% 1 9.7%	BOS 9.8% DEN 10.0% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 55.6% 3 54.8%	BOS 62.0% +19.8% DEN 42.2%
Rim FG%	7 60.2% 6 60.5%	BOS 65.2% +15.2% DEN 50.0%
Mid FG%	5 42.4% 27 38.7%	BOS 32.4% DEN 37.9% +5.5%
3P %	1 39.7% 13 37.1%	BOS 60.9% +46.6% DEN 14.3%
FT %	17 76.7% 20 76.0%	BOS 85.7% +18.1% DEN 67.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 37.8% 4 39.7%	BOS 27.7% DEN 30.6% +2.8%
Mid Att. %	11 40.8% 3 37.6%	BOS 44.6% DEN 40.3% −4.3%
3P Att. %	19 21.4% 15 22.7%	BOS 27.7% DEN 29.2% +1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	BOS	DEN
Possessions	90	91
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	114	76
Rebounds	46	38
Assists	28	16
Steals	8	2
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (1)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	27 (4)
Field Goals	41-83	25-72
At-the-Rim FG	15-23	11-22
Midrange FG	12-37	11-29
2-Point FG	27-60	22-51
3-Point FG	14-23	3-21
Free Throws	18-21	23-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg