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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 23, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Warriors60%105105
26Clippers40%102118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.9
39.0
38.9
28
62%
5
4
1
1
2
5
3
2
5-6
83%
10-16
5-11
63%
46%
1-4
25%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.9
33.9
35.6
15
41%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
6-8
75%
3-10
3-7
30%
47%
1-5
20%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
23.6
21.5
10
71%
5
2
2
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.1
22.9
29.9
7
54%
7
1
0
1
2
2
0
7
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.9
17.8
15.9
2
33%
2
5
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.3
29.8
28.2
10
34%
7
3
2
1
0
2
1
6
2-4
50%
4-12
6-11
33%
51%
0-1
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
26.8
15.7
16
78%
4
4
2
1
0
2
0
4
5-5
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
16.6
22.4
4
40%
4
0
0
1
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
4-6
40%
60%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
16.0
2.9
5
42%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.6
13.6
18.7
8
68%
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
50%
0-0
-
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 24.0
2.3
0
0-0
50%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
1.1
0
0-0
49%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.2
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.2
40.3
35.1
27
72%
7
5
2
1
1
5
3
4
3-4
75%
3-10
4-9
30%
50%
6-7
86%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.9
40.1
26.9
25
57%
9
10
4
1
0
5
1
8
3-4
75%
5-14
4-8
36%
46%
4-6
67%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 30.0
37.0
26.7
11
62%
6
4
1
1
1
0
1
5
1-2
50%
5-7
2-4
71%
45%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
35.3
9.5
27
52%
11
1
2
0
2
1
4
7
5-7
71%
11-21
2-4
52%
49%
0-2
0%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
34.6
21.5
8
80%
6
4
0
1
1
4
2
4
0-0
-
4-5
2-6
80%
43%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 34.9
23.4
20.0
9
65%
6
4
0
1
2
3
0
6
0-2
0%
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
1-1
100%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.4
19.5
23.0
10
73%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.7
9.5
31.8
1
15%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
0-0
2-4
-
55%
0-3
0%
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.1
0.3
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.6
32.0
1
3-5
59%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.1
9.0
0
1-3
48%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.8
2.6
0
0-1
40%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.8
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.2
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.