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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 24, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Grizzlies
79
3Cavaliers
94
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
35
33
13
4
2
2
1
1
2
1
3
1-1
100%
6-12
5-11
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.4
35
35
12
2
7
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
3-8
20%
43%
3-5
60%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
31
25
9
9
2
1
1
2
1
3
6
1-4
25%
4-10
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.3
30
39
7
2
6
1
1
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
5-11
40%
44%
1-6
17%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.6
18
20
13
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
1-1
100%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.4
19
20
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
17
17
12
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
6-8
2-5
75%
42%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.2
15
9
0
1
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-2
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.8
14
9
2
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
40%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
12
6
7
4
0
2
0
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
3-6
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.7
11
19
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.8
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.6
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.2
34
30
18
3
6
2
1
0
4
1
2
3-3
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
53%
3-5
60%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.2
30
33
15
5
8
0
2
1
2
0
5
6-8
75%
3-8
8-14
38%
55%
1-2
50%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 24.9
27
14
11
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.7
19
25
9
8
1
0
0
3
1
4
4
5-6
83%
2-7
5-10
29%
52%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
19
20
2
5
0
2
1
2
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.5
28
13
10
9
1
0
0
1
1
3
6
4-4
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
56%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.0
28
24
2
1
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.0
27
28
19
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
45%
3-7
43%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
23
23
6
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-4
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
54%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.3
4
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.5
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.3
3
0
0-0
48%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.3
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.8
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.