FinalWin Prob.pScore
1348%89
91
1852%90
103
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
102.28984.7
MIA logo MIA
115.78993.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETPrince 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS)91
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (14 PTS) (Wade 16 AST)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETStuckey Driving Layup (8 PTS)89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (31 PTS)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10DETMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24DETPistons Rebound87
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot87
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 1:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 1:40DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot87
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 2:01MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (28 PTS)87
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 2:21MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 2:22DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot87
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)87
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 2:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)87
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 2:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 2:50DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q4 - 3:12DETPistons Rebound87
5.7%
94
94.3%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot87
4.8%
94
95.2%
Q4 - 3:22DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
3.3%
94
96.7%
Q4 - 3:22DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 286
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 3:24MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)86
3.6%
94
96.4%
Q4 - 3:39DETPrince 9' Hook Shot (15 PTS)86
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 4:06MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 15 AST)84
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q4 - 4:19DETIverson Foul Turnover (P2.T9)84
3.8%
92
96.2%
Q4 - 4:36DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)84
5.6%
92
94.4%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
4.9%
92
95.1%
Q4 - 4:44MIAHEAT Rebound84
3.7%
92
96.3%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot84
4.9%
92
95.1%
Q4 - 4:56MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)84
3.7%
92
96.3%
Q4 - 4:57DETMISS Prince 7' Hook Shot84
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 5:09DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
7.9%
92
92.1%
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot84
7.2%
92
92.8%
Q4 - 5:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
5.7%
92
94.3%
Q4 - 5:22DETMISS Maxiell Layup84
6.3%
92
93.7%
Q4 - 5:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
7.8%
92
92.2%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot84
7.1%
92
92.9%
Q4 - 5:49DETIverson Driving Layup (22 PTS)84
5.6%
92
94.4%
Q4 - 5:53DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
4.1%
92
95.9%
Q4 - 5:55DETMISS Stuckey 16' Jump Shot82
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q4 - 6:14DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
5.8%
92
94.2%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
5.2%
92
94.8%
Q4 - 6:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 6:24DETBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)82
4.6%
92
95.4%
Q4 - 6:45MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 14 AST)82
5.7%
92
94.3%
Q4 - 7:01DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)82
9.0%
90
91.0%
Q4 - 7:01DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)81
8.6%
90
91.4%
Q4 - 7:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
7.1%
90
92.9%
Q4 - 7:11MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot80
6.5%
90
93.5%
Q4 - 7:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)80
5.3%
90
94.7%
Q4 - 7:26DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
5.8%
90
94.2%
Q4 - 7:43MIABeasley 6' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Wade 13 AST)80
7.0%
90
93.0%
Q4 - 7:57DETMaxiell Tip Shot (11 PTS)80
8.9%
88
91.1%
Q4 - 7:58DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
7.0%
88
93.0%
Q4 - 7:59DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot78
5.7%
88
94.3%
Q4 - 8:28MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)78
8.3%
88
91.7%
Q4 - 8:53DETMaxiell Dunk (9 PTS) (Prince 8 AST)78
13.3%
85
86.7%
Q4 - 9:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
12.2%
85
87.8%
Q4 - 9:10MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 276
11.8%
85
88.2%
Q4 - 9:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)76
10.3%
85
89.7%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
12.2%
84
87.8%
Q4 - 9:27DETMISS Herrmann 18' Jump Shot76
13.0%
84
87.0%
Q4 - 9:47MIAWade Driving Layup (23 PTS)76
14.9%
84
85.1%
Q4 - 10:00DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)76
18.3%
82
81.7%
Q4 - 10:01DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
13.5%
82
86.5%
Q4 - 10:02DETMISS Herrmann 21' Jump Shot73
11.8%
82
88.2%
Q4 - 10:07DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
13.4%
82
86.6%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot73
12.7%
82
87.3%
Q4 - 10:21DETHerrmann Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T8)73
11.0%
82
89.0%
Q4 - 10:30DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
13.4%
82
86.6%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Cook Reverse Layup73
12.6%
82
87.4%
Q4 - 10:54DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)73
11.0%
82
89.0%
Q4 - 11:02DETPistons Rebound70
8.3%
82
91.7%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Beasley Reverse Layup70
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q4 - 11:25DETIverson 8' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)70
6.8%
82
93.2%
Q4 - 11:44MIABeasley 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS)68
5.5%
82
94.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET68
6.8%
80
93.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound68
8.2%
80
91.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Prince 5' Running Hook Shot68
8.1%
80
91.9%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAMoon Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)68
9.0%
80
91.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)68
11.1%
78
88.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)67
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T13)66
9.0%
78
91.0%
Q3 - 0:57.0DETMoon STEAL (2 STL)66
7.6%
78
92.4%
Q3 - 1:10DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
9.6%
78
90.4%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS Diawara Free Throw 2 of 266
9.4%
78
90.6%
Q3 - 1:11MIADiawara Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
8.5%
78
91.5%
Q3 - 1:12DETDiawara STEAL (1 STL)66
9.8%
77
90.2%
Q3 - 1:21DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
11.5%
77
88.5%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
10.9%
77
89.1%
Q3 - 1:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)66
9.8%
77
90.2%
Q3 - 1:40DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 266
10.0%
77
90.0%
Q3 - 1:40DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)66
11.3%
77
88.7%
Q3 - 1:58MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS)65
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q3 - 2:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
12.6%
75
87.4%
Q3 - 2:08DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot65
13.2%
75
86.8%
Q3 - 2:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T12)65
14.7%
75
85.3%
Q3 - 2:35MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
12.5%
75
87.5%
Q3 - 2:36DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot65
13.1%
75
86.9%
Q3 - 3:00MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)65
14.6%
75
85.4%
Q3 - 3:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
21.0%
72
79.0%
Q3 - 3:19DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot65
22.0%
72
78.0%
Q3 - 3:28DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
24.3%
72
75.7%
Q3 - 3:29MIAMISS Haslem Layup65
23.2%
72
76.8%
Q3 - 3:36MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
20.9%
72
79.1%
Q3 - 3:37DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
21.9%
72
78.1%
Q3 - 3:46DETPistons Rebound65
24.3%
72
75.7%
Q3 - 3:47DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot65
21.9%
72
78.1%
Q3 - 4:04MIADiawara 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)65
25.0%
72
75.0%
Q3 - 4:22DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Prince 7 AST)65
31.4%
69
68.6%
Q3 - 4:44DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
28.4%
69
71.6%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot63
27.1%
69
72.9%
Q3 - 5:03DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
25.1%
69
74.9%
Q3 - 5:03DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 262
24.5%
69
75.5%
Q3 - 5:20MIAO'Neal Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)62
25.5%
69
74.5%
Q3 - 5:32MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
28.4%
67
71.6%
Q3 - 5:33DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot62
29.5%
67
70.5%
Q3 - 5:51MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
32.3%
67
67.7%
Q3 - 5:51MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
33.1%
66
66.9%
Q3 - 5:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)62
35.6%
65
64.4%
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot62
38.7%
65
61.3%
Q3 - 6:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
36.2%
65
63.8%
Q3 - 6:15DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot62
37.4%
65
62.6%
Q3 - 6:44MIAMoon 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)62
40.3%
65
59.7%
Q3 - 7:00DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
47.9%
62
52.1%
Q3 - 7:00DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
47.1%
62
52.9%
Q3 - 7:23MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (10 PTS)60
44.0%
62
56.0%
Q3 - 7:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
47.7%
60
52.3%
Q3 - 7:26MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
50.5%
60
49.5%
Q3 - 7:39MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
47.7%
60
52.3%
Q3 - 7:41DETO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)60
49.0%
60
51.0%
Q3 - 7:46DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
51.8%
60
48.2%
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot60
50.5%
60
49.5%
Q3 - 7:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
47.7%
60
52.3%
Q3 - 8:00DETMISS Iverson Reverse Layup60
49.0%
60
51.0%
Q3 - 8:09DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
51.6%
60
48.4%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot60
50.3%
60
49.7%
Q3 - 8:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
47.5%
60
52.5%
Q3 - 8:26DETMISS Iverson 13' Jump Shot60
48.7%
60
51.3%
Q3 - 8:51MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)60
51.6%
60
48.4%
Q3 - 9:05DETIverson Driving Layup (13 PTS)60
55.0%
58
45.0%
Q3 - 9:22MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)58
51.4%
58
48.6%
Q3 - 9:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
55.0%
56
45.0%
Q3 - 9:32DETMISS Iverson 19' Jump Shot58
56.2%
56
43.8%
Q3 - 9:38DETIverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
58.8%
56
41.2%
Q3 - 9:39DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
56.2%
56
43.8%
Q3 - 10:07MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)58
58.3%
56
41.7%
Q3 - 10:24DETStuckey Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)58
61.7%
54
38.3%
Q3 - 10:44MIAHaslem Driving Layup (6 PTS)56
58.4%
54
41.6%
Q3 - 10:59DETMcDyess 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Prince 6 AST)56
61.8%
52
38.2%
Q3 - 11:14DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
58.3%
52
41.7%
Q3 - 11:15MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot54
57.2%
52
42.8%
Q3 - 11:33DETPrince 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS)54
54.6%
52
45.4%
Q3 - 11:44DETWallace Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)52
51.4%
52
48.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA51
47.9%
52
52.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound51
44.3%
52
55.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cook 67' 3PT Jump Shot51
46.8%
52
53.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETIverson Driving Layup (11 PTS)51
45.1%
52
54.9%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
41.0%
52
59.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
45.1%
50
54.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot49
45.8%
50
54.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
47.6%
50
52.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)49
51.7%
48
48.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
47.6%
48
52.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 147
45.4%
48
54.6%
Q2 - 1:13MIAWade 11' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)45
41.2%
48
58.8%
Q2 - 1:25MIAHEAT Rebound45
45.3%
46
54.7%
Q2 - 1:26DETMISS Iverson Driving Layup45
46.0%
46
54.0%
Q2 - 1:37MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)45
47.6%
46
52.4%
Q2 - 1:52MIAHEAT Rebound45
45.3%
46
54.7%
Q2 - 1:52MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot45
46.9%
46
53.1%
Q2 - 1:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
45.3%
46
54.7%
Q2 - 2:00DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot45
46.0%
46
54.0%
Q2 - 2:19MIACook 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)45
48.1%
46
51.9%
Q2 - 2:32DETMcDyess 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)45
51.2%
44
48.8%
Q2 - 2:52MIAMoon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)43
48.0%
44
52.0%
Q2 - 3:08DETMcDyess Layup (8 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)43
54.1%
41
45.9%
Q2 - 3:21MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)41
51.5%
41
48.5%
Q2 - 3:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
47.8%
41
52.2%
Q2 - 3:29MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper41
50.3%
41
49.7%
Q2 - 3:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
47.8%
41
52.2%
Q2 - 3:34MIAMISS Moon 16' Jump Shot41
50.3%
41
49.7%
Q2 - 3:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
47.8%
41
52.2%
Q2 - 3:41MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup41
50.3%
41
49.7%
Q2 - 3:55DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
47.8%
41
52.2%
Q2 - 3:55DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
47.2%
41
52.8%
Q2 - 4:05MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
45.1%
41
54.9%
Q2 - 4:05MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
45.7%
40
54.3%
Q2 - 4:19MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
47.9%
39
52.1%
Q2 - 4:20DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 139
48.3%
39
51.7%
Q2 - 4:35MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)37
45.1%
39
54.9%
Q2 - 4:42MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
41.9%
39
58.1%
Q2 - 4:44DETMISS Prince 13' Jump Shot37
42.8%
39
57.2%
Q2 - 5:01MIAMoon Layup (4 PTS)37
45.2%
39
54.8%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
48.3%
37
51.7%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS Moon Layup37
50.3%
37
49.7%
Q2 - 5:16DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)37
48.3%
37
51.7%
Q2 - 5:37MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)35
45.2%
37
54.8%
Q2 - 5:59DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)35
51.2%
34
48.8%
Q2 - 6:03DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
45.5%
34
54.5%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot32
44.5%
34
55.5%
Q2 - 6:15MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
42.1%
34
57.9%
Q2 - 6:16DETMISS Hamilton 6' Running Jump Shot32
43.1%
34
56.9%
Q2 - 6:31MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)32
45.5%
34
54.5%
Q2 - 6:35MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
42.2%
34
57.8%
Q2 - 6:37DETMISS Maxiell 17' Jump Shot32
43.2%
34
56.8%
Q2 - 6:51DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
45.5%
34
54.5%
Q2 - 6:52MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
44.5%
34
55.5%
Q2 - 7:04DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)32
42.5%
34
57.5%
Q2 - 7:34MIAMoon Slam Dunk (2 PTS)32
45.4%
34
54.6%
Q2 - 7:38DETMoon STEAL (1 STL)32
48.1%
32
51.9%
Q2 - 7:43MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)32
51.0%
32
49.0%
Q2 - 7:55MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
48.1%
32
51.9%
Q2 - 7:56DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot32
49.0%
32
51.0%
Q2 - 8:13MIABeasley Dunk (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)32
50.8%
32
49.2%
Q2 - 8:17MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
53.6%
30
46.4%
Q2 - 8:18MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
55.5%
30
44.5%
Q2 - 8:45DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)32
53.7%
30
46.3%
Q2 - 8:47DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
50.8%
30
49.2%
Q2 - 8:49DETMISS Iverson 6' Running Jump Shot30
49.0%
30
51.0%
Q2 - 8:58DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
50.8%
30
49.2%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot30
50.0%
30
50.0%
Q2 - 9:14DETMaxiell 11' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)30
47.9%
30
52.1%
Q2 - 9:32MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T6)28
45.2%
30
54.8%
Q2 - 9:46MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
42.6%
30
57.4%
Q2 - 9:47DETMISS Herrmann 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
43.4%
30
56.6%
Q2 - 9:57DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
45.2%
30
54.8%
Q2 - 9:58MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot28
44.4%
30
55.6%
Q2 - 10:10DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
42.7%
30
57.3%
Q2 - 10:10DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)27
42.2%
30
57.8%
Q2 - 10:18DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
40.2%
30
59.8%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 226
39.9%
30
60.1%
Q2 - 10:19MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
38.2%
30
61.8%
Q2 - 10:28MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
40.1%
29
59.9%
Q2 - 10:30DETMISS Maxiell 18' Jump Shot26
40.9%
29
59.1%
Q2 - 10:51MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
42.8%
29
57.2%
Q2 - 10:51MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
43.3%
28
56.7%
Q2 - 11:10MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
45.3%
27
54.7%
Q2 - 11:11DETMISS Iverson 19' Jump Shot26
46.1%
27
53.9%
Q2 - 11:32MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)26
47.9%
27
52.1%
Q2 - 11:47DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
52.9%
24
47.1%
Q2 - 11:47DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 225
52.0%
24
48.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET25
53.0%
24
47.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAChalmers Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)25
52.2%
24
47.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0DETIverson Layup (7 PTS)25
50.4%
24
49.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
47.4%
24
52.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0DETIverson Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)23
45.5%
24
54.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
42.5%
24
57.5%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Diawara 21' Jump Shot21
42.0%
24
58.0%
Q1 - 1:15DETHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)21
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q1 - 1:46MIACook 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)18
35.9%
24
64.1%
Q1 - 1:57DETIverson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)18
38.8%
22
61.2%
Q1 - 2:14MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)18
40.8%
22
59.2%
Q1 - 2:38DETPrince 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)18
45.8%
19
54.2%
Q1 - 2:40DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
43.1%
19
56.9%
Q1 - 2:41DETMISS Prince 15' Jump Shot16
41.8%
19
58.2%
Q1 - 3:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
43.4%
19
56.6%
Q1 - 3:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
43.9%
18
56.1%
Q1 - 3:11MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
45.7%
17
54.3%
Q1 - 3:12DETMISS Iverson 20' Jump Shot16
46.4%
17
53.6%
Q1 - 3:30MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
47.9%
17
52.1%
Q1 - 3:30MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
48.4%
16
51.6%
Q1 - 3:38DETWallace 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)16
50.2%
15
49.8%
Q1 - 3:46DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
47.9%
15
52.1%
Q1 - 3:48DETMISS Wallace 10' Jump Shot14
46.4%
15
53.6%
Q1 - 4:06MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)14
47.8%
15
52.2%
Q1 - 4:25DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)14
45.5%
15
54.5%
Q1 - 4:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
43.4%
15
56.6%
Q1 - 4:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
43.9%
14
56.1%
Q1 - 4:44MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
45.5%
13
54.5%
Q1 - 4:45DETMISS Iverson 4' Running Jump Shot12
46.2%
13
53.8%
Q1 - 4:50DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
47.9%
13
52.1%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
47.1%
13
52.9%
Q1 - 5:11DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
45.3%
13
54.7%
Q1 - 5:11DETMISS Iverson Free Throw 1 of 211
45.0%
13
55.0%
Q1 - 5:28MIAChalmers 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)11
45.6%
13
54.4%
Q1 - 5:46DETIverson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)11
47.5%
11
52.5%
Q1 - 5:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
45.6%
11
54.4%
Q1 - 5:59DETMISS Iverson 22' Jump Shot9
43.9%
11
56.1%
Q1 - 6:23MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
45.5%
11
54.5%
Q1 - 6:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
47.5%
9
52.5%
Q1 - 6:33DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
48.2%
9
51.8%
Q1 - 6:51MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS)9
49.8%
9
50.2%
Q1 - 7:06DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P1.T2)9
51.6%
7
48.4%
Q1 - 7:27MIADiawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)9
54.0%
7
46.0%
Q1 - 7:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
57.9%
4
42.1%
Q1 - 7:41DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot9
58.6%
4
41.4%
Q1 - 8:05MIAO'Neal Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
60.0%
4
40.0%
Q1 - 8:11MIAHEAT Rebound9
58.0%
4
42.0%
Q1 - 8:12MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot9
59.4%
4
40.6%
Q1 - 8:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
58.0%
4
42.0%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot9
59.4%
4
40.6%
Q1 - 8:31DETWallace 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)9
58.0%
4
42.0%
Q1 - 8:50MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)7
55.9%
4
44.1%
Q1 - 9:13DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)7
57.9%
2
42.1%
Q1 - 9:34MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
55.8%
2
44.2%
Q1 - 9:49DETPrince 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
57.9%
0
42.1%
Q1 - 10:03MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)3
55.3%
0
44.7%
Q1 - 10:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
53.3%
0
46.7%
Q1 - 10:09DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 23
53.6%
0
46.4%
Q1 - 10:09DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
54.8%
0
45.2%
Q1 - 10:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot2
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 10:31DETO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)2
51.5%
0
48.5%
Q1 - 10:52DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 10:53MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 10:57MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
51.6%
0
48.4%
Q1 - 10:58MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot2
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 11:18DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)2
51.1%
0
48.9%
Q1 - 11:40DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
49.5%
0
50.5%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot0
49.0%
0
51.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Wallace: Tip to Chalmers0
47.8%
0
52.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
17
24
71%
MIA
12
20
60%
Midrange
DET
17
46
37%
MIA
17
37
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
MIA
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
Free Throws
DET
20
28
71%
MIA
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Iverson2252%11.0 / 21
T. Prince1845%9.0 / 20
A. McDyess1785%8.5 / 10
J. Maxiell1161%5.5 / 9
R. Hamilton941%4.5 / 11
R. Stuckey857%4.0 / 7
R. Wallace638%3.0 / 8
W. Herrmann0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3165%15.5 / 24
D. Cook1673%8.0 / 11
J. O'Neal1458%7.0 / 12
J. Moon1286%6.0 / 7
M. Beasley1146%5.5 / 12
U. Haslem1042%5.0 / 12
Y. Diawara758%3.5 / 6
M. Chalmers250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
80
+11
-9
91
MIA
75
+13
-14
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.8
107.6
DET 102.2
MIA 115.7 +13.5
Pace
87.3
90.2
DET 84.7
MIA 93.8 +9.2
Avg. Poss. Time
17.1
16.3
DET 17.0
MIA 15.3 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
50.0%
DET 45.5%
MIA 55.9% +10.4%
TO %
12.7%
13.1%
DET 9.1% +5.0%
MIA 14.1%
ORB %
27.9%
24.6%
DET 20.5%
MIA 26.5% +6.0%
FTrt
28.2
28.2
DET 35.9 +8.3
MIA 27.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.7%
55.1%
DET 48.6%
MIA 63.2% +14.6%
STL %
6.8%
8.7%
DET 6.7% +2.2%
MIA 4.5%
BLK %
7.3%
9.2%
DET 5.3% +2.4%
MIA 2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
52.6%
DET 50.0%
MIA 58.5% +8.5%
Rim FG%
58.7%
59.5%
DET 70.8% +10.8%
MIA 60.0%
Mid FG%
41.2%
41.8%
DET 37.0%
MIA 45.9% +8.9%
3P %
34.9%
35.7%
DET 12.5%
MIA 47.4% +34.9%
FT %
75.1%
75.4%
DET 71.4%
MIA 85.7% +14.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.0%
30.3%
DET 30.8% +4.5%
MIA 26.3%
Mid Att. %
53.5%
45.2%
DET 59.0%
MIA 48.7% +10.3%
3P Att. %
16.5%
24.5%
DET 10.3%
MIA 25.0% +14.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points91103
Rebounds3444
Assists1724
Steals64
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)35 (1)
Field Goals35-7838-76
At-the-Rim FG17-2412-20
Midrange FG17-4617-37
2-Point FG34-7029-57
3-Point FG1-89-19
Free Throws20-2818-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 29
42.0
18
45%
9
8
0
2
2
2
2
7
6-9
67%
6-15
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 165 · 34
36.9
22
52%
1
2
2
0
2
2
1
0
6-7
86%
8-18
44%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 34
35.5
6
38%
6
1
2
1
0
1
2
4
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 23
30.5
8
57%
0
0
0
0
2
3
0
0
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 34
25.0
17
85%
6
1
0
0
0
5
2
4
1-1
100%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 193 · 31
26.5
9
41%
1
3
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 260 · 26
22.8
11
61%
6
0
1
0
0
1
1
5
3-5
60%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
10.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 290 · 27
8.4
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
#42 · F · 6'9" 245 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
50%
34
17
6
3
9
0
9
25
20-28
71%
34-70
49%
1-8
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.