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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 24, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Magic56%98102
14Bulls44%96120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.9
36.7
34.0
16
51%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-4
50%
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
34.2
34.0
10
40%
5
5
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
3-9
33%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.2
34.1
34.1
26
60%
12
1
2
1
0
3
6
6
6-8
75%
10-18
7-12
56%
58%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.4
34.1
27.1
14
71%
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.6
28.9
28.1
10
38%
3
5
2
1
1
4
1
2
2-3
67%
4-9
2-5
44%
40%
0-3
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.7
25.7
23.3
10
71%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
2-5
40%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.4
16.3
18.3
10
56%
3
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
2-4
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.0
13.9
11.9
2
50%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
10.5
12.0
4
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.8
2.8
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25.0
2.8
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
13.1
0
1-2
52%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.4
35.0
28.6
22
55%
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
11-20
5-11
55%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.9
34.6
37.0
20
67%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
9-13
6-12
69%
46%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
24.7
31.0
14
99%
8
1
0
1
1
2
3
5
6-7
86%
4-4
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
24.0
33.0
11
58%
3
1
2
1
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
5-8
4-10
63%
45%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
23.5
35.8
10
42%
6
2
2
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
5-11
6-12
45%
48%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.2
27.2
18.1
11
60%
6
4
0
1
2
1
1
5
5-5
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.1
26.4
26.3
6
75%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.0
24.1
12.7
17
87%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
4-6
67%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.9
20.4
13.7
9
54%
7
5
1
0
0
2
1
6
3-3
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.2
10.0
0
1-2
50%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.0
2.2
0
0-0
42%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.2
1.8
0
0-0
36%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.