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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 24, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Trail Blazers35%9094
7Rockets65%9598
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.6
40.8
34.5
24
48%
5
5
0
1
0
3
2
3
4-4
100%
10-19
6-13
53%
49%
0-4
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.0
39.8
26.8
9
57%
7
5
1
1
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
1-2
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
35.2
35.3
21
45%
8
2
1
1
2
3
2
6
7-10
70%
7-19
7-15
37%
49%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.4
30.4
21.5
4
50%
8
0
1
0
1
2
2
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.2
27.0
19.9
14
109%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
3-3
100%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.4
27.3
26.5
15
54%
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
6-13
3-7
46%
45%
1-1
100%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.9
15.7
20.7
4
33%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.8
9.3
17.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.5
5.6
9.4
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.7
4.7
16.4
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.3
4.2
4.7
1
57%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.1
3.1
0
0-0
45%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.1
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.3
40.0
33.4
21
60%
5
5
3
2
0
1
1
4
9-10
90%
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.5
38.6
35.2
8
67%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.8
36.5
30.8
15
64%
11
2
1
1
1
1
4
7
5-6
83%
5-9
5-9
56%
53%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.1
32.7
27.0
20
48%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
6-15
3-6
40%
47%
2-5
40%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.5
29.9
35.2
15
46%
8
1
0
0
3
5
1
7
3-3
100%
6-15
7-14
40%
54%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.6
20.8
19.7
9
53%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.7
19.6
7.9
6
75%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.9
15.3
14.9
4
50%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.2
6.5
15.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
54%
0-2
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.2
3.7
0
0-1
47%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
3.0
0
0-1
45%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.7
2.8
0
0-0
53%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.2
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.4
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.