Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Mavericks	41%	91	76	87.4	87	89.8
	10	Spurs	59%	94	93	105.7	88	85.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dirk Nowitzki F · 7'0" 245 · 31	40.4	14	44%	10	1	0	1	2	3	0	10	4-4	100%	5-15	33%	0-0	-
Josh Howard F · 6'7" 210 · 29	37.0	19	43%	6	1	0	0	1	2	1	5	8-10	80%	4-11	36%	1-6	17%
Jason Kidd G · 6'4" 210 · 36	34.8	2	20%	6	4	2	1	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Antoine Wright G · 6'7" 215 · 25	30.5	8	36%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Erick Dampier C · 6'11" 265 · 34	9.0	2	50%	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

James Singleton F · 6'8" 230 · 28	34.0	14	64%	14	0	0	0	3	3	7	7	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	2-3	67%
J.J. Barea G · 6'0" 185 · 25	26.4	16	47%	1	3	0	0	1	4	0	1	2-5	40%	7-13	54%	0-2	0%
Brandon Bass F · 6'8" 250 · 24	12.6	1	17%	4	0	0	1	1	1	1	3	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Devean George F · 6'8" 235 · 31	10.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Matt Carroll G · 6'6" 212 · 28	5.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ryan Hollins C · 7'0" 240 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jason Terry #31 · G · 6'2" 185 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Shawne Williams #4 · F · 6'10" 230 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jerry Stackhouse #42 · F · 6'6" 218 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	76	41%	46	10	2	3	12	0	13	33	19-25	76%	24-60	40%	3-19	16%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

11 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dirk Nowitzki F · 7'0" 245 · 31	40.4	14	44%	10	1	0	1	2	3	0	10	4-4	100%	5-15	33%	0-0	-
Josh Howard F · 6'7" 210 · 29	37.0	19	43%	6	1	0	0	1	2	1	5	8-10	80%	4-11	36%	1-6	17%
Jason Kidd G · 6'4" 210 · 36	34.8	2	20%	6	4	2	1	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Antoine Wright G · 6'7" 215 · 25	30.5	8	36%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Erick Dampier C · 6'11" 265 · 34	9.0	2	50%	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

James Singleton F · 6'8" 230 · 28	34.0	14	64%	14	0	0	0	3	3	7	7	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	2-3	67%
J.J. Barea G · 6'0" 185 · 25	26.4	16	47%	1	3	0	0	1	4	0	1	2-5	40%	7-13	54%	0-2	0%
Brandon Bass F · 6'8" 250 · 24	12.6	1	17%	4	0	0	1	1	1	1	3	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Devean George F · 6'8" 235 · 31	10.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Matt Carroll G · 6'6" 212 · 28	5.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ryan Hollins C · 7'0" 240 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jason Terry #31 · G · 6'2" 185 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Shawne Williams #4 · F · 6'10" 230 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jerry Stackhouse #42 · F · 6'6" 218 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	76	41%	46	10	2	3	12	0	13	33	19-25	76%	24-60	40%	3-19	16%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

10 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Finley F · 6'7" 225 · 36	37.5	16	89%	5	0	1	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	4-4	100%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 27	37.0	37	51%	5	12	0	0	2	2	0	5	7-8	88%	15-30	50%	0-2	0%
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 29	32.4	11	46%	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	30.1	10	71%	15	1	0	3	0	3	4	11	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 28	29.8	7	32%	5	3	0	0	2	4	1	4	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-5	0%

Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 34	25.5	6	75%	5	0	0	1	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32	16.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 23	15.1	6	43%	2	2	1	1	3	3	0	2	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 38	11.9	0	0%	2	0	2	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malik Hairston G · 6'6" 220 · 22	4.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tim Duncan C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33	\| DND - Sore Right Knee
Jacque Vaughn G · 6'1" 190 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	52%	47	18	4	6	9	0	8	39	13-16	81%	31-60	52%	6-20	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

0.83 41.3%

SAS

1.03 51.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

10

27

37%

SAS

13

26

50%

Midrange

DAL

14

33

42%

SAS

18

34

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

3

4.5

19

16%

24%

SAS

6

9.0

20

30%

45%

Free Throws

DAL

19

25

76%

SAS

13

16

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Howard	19	43%	9.5 / 22
J. Barea	16	47%	8.0 / 17
D. Nowitzki	14	44%	7.0 / 16
J. Singleton	14	64%	7.0 / 11
A. Wright	8	36%	4.0 / 11
J. Kidd	2	20%	1.0 / 5
E. Dampier	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. Bass	1	17%	0.5 / 3
D. George	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Carroll	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	37	51%	18.5 / 36
M. Finley	16	89%	8.0 / 9
M. Bonner	11	46%	5.5 / 12
K. Thomas	10	71%	5.0 / 7
R. Mason Jr.	7	32%	3.5 / 11
F. Oberto	6	75%	3.0 / 4
G. Hill	6	43%	3.0 / 7
I. Udoka	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 110.3 14 108.3	DAL 87.4 SAS 105.7 +18.3
Pace	16 91.7 26 88.7	DAL 89.8 +4.5 SAS 85.3
Avg. Poss. Time	11 16.0 5 16.5	DAL 16.0 −0.8 SAS 16.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 50.4% 5 51.3%	DAL 36.1% SAS 50.0% +13.9%
TO %	4 13.2% 1 12.4%	DAL 11.8% SAS 9.4% −2.4%
ORB %	16 26.6% 30 22.1%	DAL 25.0% +5.5% SAS 19.5%
FTrt	27 27.4 30 25.1	DAL 31.6 +11.6 SAS 20.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 56.9% 9 57.1%	DAL 37.0% SAS 48.6% +11.6%
STL %	16 7.8% 30 6.5%	DAL 2.3% SAS 4.5% +2.2%
BLK %	14 8.0% 29 6.1%	DAL 5.0% SAS 10.0% +5.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 53.6% 11 53.4%	DAL 41.3% SAS 51.7% +10.4%
Rim FG%	18 57.7% 11 58.8%	DAL 37.0% SAS 50.0% +13.0%
Mid FG%	1 44.9% 3 42.7%	DAL 42.4% SAS 52.9% +10.5%
3P %	25 35.0% 3 38.6%	DAL 15.8% SAS 30.0% +14.2%
FT %	2 81.9% 19 76.2%	DAL 76.0% SAS 81.3% +5.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 28.9% 26 30.3%	DAL 34.2% +1.7% SAS 32.5%
Mid Att. %	26 47.0% 21 44.9%	DAL 41.8% −0.7% SAS 42.5%
3P Att. %	10 24.1% 7 24.8%	DAL 24.1% SAS 25.0% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.

Game Totals	DAL	SAS
Possessions	87	88
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.8
Points	76	93
Rebounds	46	47
Assists	10	18
Steals	2	4
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	39 (1)
Field Goals	27-79	37-80
At-the-Rim FG	10-27	13-26
Midrange FG	14-33	18-34
2-Point FG	24-60	31-60
3-Point FG	3-19	6-20
Free Throws	19-25	13-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg