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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Grizzlies28%9399
24Pacers72%101104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
36.8
28.0
22
77%
15
0
1
1
0
3
3
12
4-5
80%
9-12
4-7
75%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.4
36.4
34.2
13
51%
1
8
3
1
0
2
0
1
2-4
50%
4-9
3-8
44%
45%
1-2
50%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.3
36.0
33.4
21
51%
3
4
3
1
1
5
1
2
7-8
88%
7-15
4-10
47%
46%
0-2
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
28.6
33.8
8
36%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-10
6-12
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
11.2
17.1
4
67%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.8
25.1
12.4
9
92%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
1-1
100%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.6
20.2
19.5
7
39%
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
3-8
4-7
38%
50%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.4
12.1
19.0
3
150%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-1
100%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.2
11.6
12.4
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.7
11.2
15.1
4
52%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
10.8
9.6
8
80%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
2-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.0
2.8
0
0-1
47%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.8
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.6
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
41.2
37.2
20
64%
3
6
2
1
0
4
0
3
4-6
67%
5-8
4-8
63%
50%
2-5
40%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.1
39.4
34.9
14
59%
6
3
2
1
3
5
1
5
2-2
100%
6-10
6-12
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.8
38.6
34.1
13
47%
12
3
0
1
2
3
3
9
4-4
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
51%
1-6
17%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
22.7
24.8
14
59%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
2-4
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.2
16.1
16.7
4
67%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
55%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.9
28.4
22.8
20
57%
4
2
0
1
1
5
1
3
5-6
83%
3-12
4-8
25%
49%
3-3
100%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.7
20.8
10.7
4
29%
5
0
1
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
55%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.1
20.1
20.8
6
75%
5
1
1
1
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
7.8
6.3
6
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
2-3
67%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.0
4.9
17.3
3
150%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-1
100%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.7
8.6
0
1-2
59%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.0
1.8
0
0-1
53%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.0
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.4
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.