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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pistons27%8787
5Hornets73%9590
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.5
37.6
27.6
15
66%
9
1
0
1
0
1
1
8
1-1
100%
7-11
3-7
64%
49%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.0
37.4
35.9
11
51%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.9
33.0
29.1
6
34%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-8
4-9
25%
45%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.4
28.1
32.0
16
70%
7
0
0
1
0
0
0
7
1-1
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
3-6
50%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.7
8.3
33.7
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
6-13
25%
45%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.0
36.1
28.1
24
47%
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
7-18
5-10
39%
47%
2-6
33%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.0
30.2
21.7
6
61%
9
1
0
0
0
0
4
5
0-2
0%
3-4
3-5
75%
54%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.1
15.0
4.8
4
33%
2
6
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.7
14.4
10.0
3
38%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-4
25%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.8
7.5
0
1-1
55%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.0
6.6
0
1-1
51%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
5.4
0
0-1
45%
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.5
43.4
40.1
30
52%
11
3
0
1
2
1
7
4
10-13
77%
10-23
7-15
43%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.8
41.6
36.7
20
50%
5
13
3
2
0
2
1
4
7-7
100%
5-15
7-13
33%
53%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.4
36.6
27.8
10
46%
17
1
0
0
0
0
7
10
0-4
0%
5-9
3-5
56%
61%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.7
36.3
33.6
17
65%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
3-6
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
31.3
31.3
7
34%
2
0
0
1
2
2
0
2
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
0-3
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.1
28.4
27.5
4
40%
7
0
0
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
51%
0-3
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.5
11.3
19.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.9
6.3
10.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.8
4.6
3.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.3
9.7
0
1-2
53%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
6.8
0
1-2
45%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.3
4.8
0
0-1
48%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.5
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.