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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Trail Blazers47%9184
17Spurs53%9299
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
40.0
34.8
13
58%
7
1
0
1
0
0
2
5
5-5
100%
4-9
7-15
44%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.6
39.3
36.6
14
35%
5
3
1
1
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
5-16
7-14
31%
48%
0-2
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.0
23.8
31.6
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-7
2-5
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.4
22.2
25.3
8
59%
10
0
1
0
1
1
4
6
2-4
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
56%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.2
15.6
22.7
8
57%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
2-3
67%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.4
30.8
26.8
13
72%
5
0
1
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-8
3-8
63%
45%
1-1
100%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.8
24.6
14.0
15
50%
7
0
0
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
6-13
2-4
46%
44%
1-2
50%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.9
24.1
18.7
5
31%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.7
19.8
11.7
8
59%
4
7
1
0
0
1
3
1
4-4
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.5
8.3
0
1-2
43%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.3
4.8
0
1-1
46%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.1
2.1
0
0-0
45%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.1
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.0
36.8
31.9
13
59%
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
47%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.8
35.0
33.1
39
67%
5
9
0
1
0
1
0
5
4-5
80%
16-26
8-15
62%
52%
1-1
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.4
31.9
23.7
8
67%
10
1
0
1
1
2
4
6
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
29.6
28.8
15
83%
9
0
2
1
0
0
1
8
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
3-5
60%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
27.1
30.0
6
32%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
46%
1-5
20%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.9
25.6
19.2
2
50%
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
58%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.7
23.6
16.6
6
100%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
2-3
67%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.8
15.9
17.7
4
33%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.5
13.3
10.8
6
51%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
0.6
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
0.6
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.0
3.5
0
0-1
42%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.3
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.6
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.