FinalWin Prob.pScore
2328%95
109
872%103
110
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
121.19094.1
DEN logo DEN
122.29086.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL109
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound109
7.5%
110
92.5%
Q4 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Murray 14' Jump Shot109
1.3%
110
98.7%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)109
15.7%
110
84.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Bank Shot109
27.2%
110
72.8%
Q4 - 0:33.0ATLHorford 12' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)109
16.9%
110
83.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0DENAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)107
12.0%
110
88.0%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)107
6.6%
110
93.4%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)106
5.9%
110
94.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)105
3.8%
110
96.2%
Q4 - 1:04DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)105
2.3%
110
97.7%
Q4 - 1:05DENMISS Carter 23' Jump Shot105
3.7%
110
96.3%
Q4 - 1:28ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)105
3.5%
110
96.5%
Q4 - 1:40DENMartin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)102
1.6%
110
98.4%
Q4 - 1:44DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)102
1.0%
110
99.0%
Q4 - 1:45ATLMISS Williams 8' Running Jump Shot102
1.2%
110
98.8%
Q4 - 1:57DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)102
1.8%
110
98.2%
Q4 - 1:57DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)102
1.9%
109
98.1%
Q4 - 2:16ATLMurray 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)102
2.7%
108
97.3%
Q4 - 2:36ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)100
2.0%
108
98.0%
Q4 - 2:37DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot100
1.6%
108
98.4%
Q4 - 2:56ATLWilliams 8' Running Jump Shot (31 PTS)100
1.5%
108
98.5%
Q4 - 3:12DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)98
1.0%
108
99.0%
Q4 - 3:28ATLJohnson 8' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)98
2.1%
105
97.9%
Q4 - 3:44DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)96
2.7%
105
97.3%
Q4 - 3:44DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)96
2.8%
104
97.2%
Q4 - 3:54ATLJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)96
3.7%
103
96.3%
Q4 - 4:16DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)93
1.7%
103
98.3%
Q4 - 4:33ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)93
3.5%
100
96.5%
Q4 - 4:33ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)92
3.2%
100
96.8%
Q4 - 4:36ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
2.5%
100
97.5%
Q4 - 4:37DENMISS Billups 7' Jump Shot91
2.2%
100
97.8%
Q4 - 4:52ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)91
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 4:52ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 290
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 5:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)90
2.7%
100
97.3%
Q4 - 5:05DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 290
2.6%
100
97.4%
Q4 - 5:05DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 290
2.1%
100
97.9%
Q4 - 5:17DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)90
1.9%
100
98.1%
Q4 - 5:18ATLMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
2.1%
100
97.9%
Q4 - 5:30DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)90
2.6%
100
97.4%
Q4 - 5:30DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)90
2.8%
99
97.2%
Q4 - 5:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)90
3.6%
98
96.4%
Q4 - 5:39ATLHorford Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T14)90
3.6%
98
96.4%
Q4 - 5:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)90
5.0%
98
95.0%
Q4 - 5:39ATLMISS Horford Tip Shot90
4.0%
98
96.0%
Q4 - 5:41ATLMISS Horford 5' Jump Hook Shot90
4.0%
98
96.0%
Q4 - 5:58ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)90
5.0%
98
95.0%
Q4 - 5:59DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
4.5%
98
95.5%
Q4 - 6:15DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)90
4.6%
98
95.4%
Q4 - 6:17ATLMISS Williams 6' Running Jump Shot90
5.0%
98
95.0%
Q4 - 6:33DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)90
6.1%
98
93.9%
Q4 - 6:41DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
4.5%
98
95.5%
Q4 - 6:42DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot90
5.6%
98
94.4%
Q4 - 6:48ATLAnthony STEAL (3 STL)90
4.5%
98
95.5%
Q4 - 7:04DENKleiza Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)90
7.0%
98
93.0%
Q4 - 7:17DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
5.2%
98
94.8%
Q4 - 7:19ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
5.7%
98
94.3%
Q4 - 7:38DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)90
6.9%
98
93.1%
Q4 - 7:38DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)90
7.1%
97
92.9%
Q4 - 7:52ATLMurray Dunk (11 PTS)90
8.8%
96
91.2%
Q4 - 7:56DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)88
6.9%
96
93.1%
Q4 - 8:16ATLHorford Dunk (18 PTS) (Murray 4 AST)88
6.1%
96
93.9%
Q4 - 8:44DENSmith 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)86
4.7%
96
95.3%
Q4 - 9:05DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
7.0%
94
93.0%
Q4 - 9:06ATLMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot86
7.5%
94
92.5%
Q4 - 9:28DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS)86
8.6%
94
91.4%
Q4 - 9:49ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS)86
10.8%
92
89.2%
Q4 - 9:51DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)83
6.9%
92
93.1%
Q4 - 10:03ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)83
6.1%
92
93.9%
Q4 - 10:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)83
7.5%
92
92.5%
Q4 - 10:07DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot83
7.1%
92
92.9%
Q4 - 10:07DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)83
6.1%
92
93.9%
Q4 - 10:08DENMISS Smith 10' Fadeaway Jumper83
7.1%
92
92.9%
Q4 - 10:21DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)83
6.1%
92
93.9%
Q4 - 10:23ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
6.5%
92
93.5%
Q4 - 10:38DENKleiza Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)83
7.5%
92
92.5%
Q4 - 10:51ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)83
6.1%
92
93.9%
Q4 - 10:51ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)82
5.9%
92
94.1%
Q4 - 11:05DENAndersen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)81
5.4%
92
94.6%
Q4 - 11:15DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)81
4.5%
92
95.5%
Q4 - 11:16DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)81
4.5%
92
95.5%
Q4 - 11:16DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot81
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 11:17DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)81
4.5%
92
95.5%
Q4 - 11:17DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot81
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 11:18DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 11:29ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)81
4.5%
92
95.5%
Q4 - 11:39DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)78
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL78
2.4%
92
97.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENAnthony 27' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)78
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q3 - 0:12.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)78
5.0%
89
95.0%
Q3 - 0:24.0DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)75
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Law 9' Jump Shot75
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q3 - 1:03DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
3.5%
89
96.5%
Q3 - 1:03DENAndersen Tip Shot (7 PTS)75
3.5%
89
96.5%
Q3 - 1:05DENMISS Smith 14' Fadeaway Jumper75
4.9%
87
95.1%
Q3 - 1:18DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
4.3%
87
95.7%
Q3 - 1:19ATLMISS Williams Tip Shot75
4.6%
87
95.4%
Q3 - 1:19ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)75
5.2%
87
94.8%
Q3 - 1:20ATLMISS Williams 12' Running Jump Shot75
4.6%
87
95.4%
Q3 - 1:42ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)75
5.1%
87
94.9%
Q3 - 1:44DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 175
5.0%
87
95.0%
Q3 - 2:08ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)75
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q3 - 2:08ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)74
6.5%
85
93.5%
Q3 - 2:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q3 - 2:24DENMISS Billups 15' Turnaround Jump Shot73
5.3%
85
94.7%
Q3 - 2:47ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)73
4.7%
85
95.3%
Q3 - 3:00ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q3 - 3:01DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q3 - 3:22ATLHorford 8' Jump Hook Shot (16 PTS)70
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q3 - 3:42DENPetro 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)68
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q3 - 3:58DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q3 - 4:00ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot68
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q3 - 4:08ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
3.8%
83
96.2%
Q3 - 4:10DENMISS Anthony 19' Turnaround Jump Shot68
3.6%
83
96.4%
Q3 - 4:24ATLPetro STEAL (1 STL)68
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q3 - 4:42DENPetro Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)68
3.8%
83
96.2%
Q3 - 4:57ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)68
4.3%
81
95.7%
Q3 - 4:57ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)67
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q3 - 5:03ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q3 - 5:04DENMISS Billups 28' 3PT Jump Shot66
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q3 - 5:16DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q3 - 5:18DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot66
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q3 - 5:30ATLMartin STEAL (1 STL)66
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q3 - 5:44DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)66
4.0%
81
96.0%
Q3 - 5:44DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)66
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 5:57ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)66
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q3 - 6:18DENAnthony 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS)64
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q3 - 6:30DENJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q3 - 6:31DENMISS Jones Driving Layup64
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q3 - 6:38ATLJohnson 21' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)64
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q3 - 6:58ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)62
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q3 - 6:59DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q3 - 6:59DENMartin Tip Shot (10 PTS)61
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q3 - 7:00DENMISS Martin Layup61
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q3 - 7:17ATLPachulia Layup (9 PTS)61
4.5%
75
95.5%
Q3 - 7:19ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 7:20ATLMISS Murray 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 7:48DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)59
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 7:59ATLJohnson Dunk (8 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)59
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q3 - 8:03ATLHawks Rebound57
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q3 - 8:04DENMISS Jones Driving Layup57
3.9%
73
96.1%
Q3 - 8:16DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q3 - 8:18ATLMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot57
3.7%
73
96.3%
Q3 - 8:32DENPetro 10' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)57
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q3 - 8:49ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)57
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 9:15DENBillups 23' Jump Shot (23 PTS)55
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 9:37ATLHorford Dunk (12 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)55
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 10:00DENJones 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)53
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 10:19ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P3.T9)53
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q3 - 10:38DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)53
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q3 - 10:48DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 10:49ATLMISS Horford 15' Jump Shot53
6.9%
65
93.1%
Q3 - 11:06DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 11:14ATLAnthony STEAL (2 STL)53
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q3 - 11:28DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)53
10.2%
63
89.8%
Q3 - 11:40ATLBillups STEAL (2 STL)53
12.9%
60
87.1%
Q3 - 11:45ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)53
14.6%
60
85.4%
Q3 - 11:47ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
13.4%
60
86.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN53
14.6%
60
85.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
13.4%
60
86.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
13.8%
60
86.2%
Q2 - 0:15.0DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)53
14.6%
60
85.4%
Q2 - 0:18.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
18.8%
57
81.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0DENMISS Martin Driving Layup53
19.9%
57
80.1%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)53
18.8%
57
81.2%
Q2 - 1:00DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)53
20.4%
57
79.6%
Q2 - 1:00DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)53
20.6%
56
79.4%
Q2 - 1:00ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T5)53
23.2%
55
76.8%
Q2 - 1:22DENMartin Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)53
25.0%
55
75.0%
Q2 - 1:41ATLMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)53
28.2%
53
71.8%
Q2 - 2:07DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)53
30.1%
53
69.9%
Q2 - 2:32ATLMurray Driving Dunk (9 PTS)53
35.7%
50
64.3%
Q2 - 2:36ATLWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
32.8%
50
67.2%
Q2 - 2:38DENMISS Anthony 11' Jump Shot51
32.0%
50
68.0%
Q2 - 2:59DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
30.1%
50
69.9%
Q2 - 3:01ATLMISS Murray 6' Jump Shot51
30.4%
50
69.6%
Q2 - 3:17DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)51
32.6%
50
67.4%
Q2 - 3:27DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
37.8%
47
62.2%
Q2 - 3:29ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot51
38.9%
47
61.1%
Q2 - 3:47DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
41.3%
47
58.7%
Q2 - 3:47DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)51
41.6%
46
58.4%
Q2 - 3:59ATLMurray 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)51
43.9%
45
56.1%
Q2 - 4:13ATLWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
40.3%
45
59.7%
Q2 - 4:14ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
38.2%
45
61.8%
Q2 - 4:26DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
40.4%
45
59.6%
Q2 - 4:40ATLJohnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)49
46.2%
42
53.8%
Q2 - 5:01ATLHawks Rebound47
42.6%
42
57.4%
Q2 - 5:01ATLAndersen BLOCK (5 BLK)47
40.6%
42
59.4%
Q2 - 5:25ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
42.6%
42
57.4%
Q2 - 5:26DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 147
42.2%
42
57.8%
Q2 - 5:26DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
45.6%
40
54.4%
Q2 - 5:27DENMISS Billups Driving Layup47
47.6%
40
52.4%
Q2 - 5:41ATLPachulia Layup (7 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)47
45.6%
40
54.4%
Q2 - 5:53DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)45
42.6%
40
57.4%
Q2 - 5:53DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 245
43.3%
39
56.7%
Q2 - 6:01DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
41.8%
39
58.2%
Q2 - 6:03ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
45.1%
39
54.9%
Q2 - 6:03ATLMISS West Putback Layup45
42.8%
39
57.2%
Q2 - 6:05ATLMISS Horford 16' Fadeaway Jumper45
42.8%
39
57.2%
Q2 - 6:17ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
45.2%
39
54.8%
Q2 - 6:18DENMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot45
44.1%
39
55.9%
Q2 - 6:36ATLMurray 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)45
41.9%
39
58.1%
Q2 - 6:50DENAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)43
39.5%
39
60.5%
Q2 - 6:52DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
36.4%
39
63.6%
Q2 - 6:54ATLMISS Horford Layup43
37.3%
39
62.7%
Q2 - 6:56ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
39.5%
39
60.5%
Q2 - 6:58ATLAndersen BLOCK (4 BLK)43
37.3%
39
62.7%
Q2 - 7:18DENBillups Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)43
38.7%
39
61.3%
Q2 - 7:18DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)43
38.9%
38
61.1%
Q2 - 7:18DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 343
39.2%
37
60.8%
Q2 - 7:33ATLWilliams Driving Layup (14 PTS)43
41.3%
37
58.7%
Q2 - 7:46DENKleiza Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)41
38.7%
37
61.3%
Q2 - 8:00ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P2.T3)41
35.9%
37
64.1%
Q2 - 8:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
38.0%
37
62.0%
Q2 - 8:07DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
37.2%
37
62.8%
Q2 - 8:15DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
35.5%
37
64.5%
Q2 - 8:16ATLMISS Johnson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot41
36.2%
37
63.8%
Q2 - 8:30DENKleiza 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)41
38.0%
37
62.0%
Q2 - 8:43ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)41
43.4%
34
56.6%
Q2 - 9:03DENKleiza Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)39
39.9%
34
60.1%
Q2 - 9:12ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)39
42.5%
32
57.5%
Q2 - 9:12ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)38
42.1%
32
57.9%
Q2 - 9:18DENSmith Driving Layup (4 PTS)37
39.9%
32
60.1%
Q2 - 9:26DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
42.5%
30
57.5%
Q2 - 9:28ATLMISS Law 20' Jump Shot37
43.3%
30
56.7%
Q2 - 9:46DENKleiza Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)37
45.2%
30
54.8%
Q2 - 9:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
42.6%
30
57.4%
Q2 - 9:52ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot37
43.4%
30
56.6%
Q2 - 9:57ATLHawks Rebound37
45.2%
30
54.8%
Q2 - 9:57ATLAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)37
43.4%
30
56.6%
Q2 - 10:18DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
44.7%
30
55.3%
Q2 - 10:18DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
45.3%
29
54.7%
Q2 - 10:38ATLEvans Dunk (5 PTS) (Law 2 AST)37
47.2%
28
52.8%
Q2 - 10:41ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
44.7%
28
55.3%
Q2 - 10:42DENMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot35
43.9%
28
56.1%
Q2 - 10:54DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
42.1%
28
57.9%
Q2 - 10:55DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
43.9%
28
56.1%
Q2 - 11:10DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
41.6%
28
58.4%
Q2 - 11:11ATLMISS Horford 10' Turnaround Jump Shot35
42.4%
28
57.6%
Q2 - 11:27ATLLaw Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
44.2%
28
55.8%
Q2 - 11:27ATLLaw Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
43.7%
28
56.3%
Q2 - 11:28DENCarter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)33
39.2%
28
60.8%
Q2 - 11:41ATLAnthony STEAL (1 STL)33
36.8%
28
63.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN33
39.3%
28
60.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound33
36.8%
28
63.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Anthony 50' 3PT Running Jump Shot33
37.4%
28
62.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
36.2%
28
63.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)33
36.7%
28
63.3%
Q1 - 0:21.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
38.0%
28
62.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0DENAnthony Slam Dunk (4 PTS)33
38.0%
28
62.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0DENMISS Anthony 12' Jump Shot33
42.2%
26
57.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLHorford 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Law 1 AST)33
40.9%
26
59.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0DENAndersen Dunk (2 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)31
38.1%
26
61.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)31
41.0%
24
59.0%
Q1 - 0:49.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)30
40.6%
24
59.4%
Q1 - 1:00ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
38.1%
24
61.9%
Q1 - 1:02DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 229
37.1%
24
62.9%
Q1 - 1:02DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 229
35.5%
24
64.5%
Q1 - 1:09DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
35.8%
24
64.2%
Q1 - 1:10DENMISS Martin Driving Layup29
36.8%
24
63.2%
Q1 - 1:28ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)29
35.8%
24
64.2%
Q1 - 1:28ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)28
35.3%
24
64.7%
Q1 - 1:28ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
33.0%
24
67.0%
Q1 - 1:29ATLAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)27
32.0%
24
68.0%
Q1 - 1:39ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
33.0%
24
67.0%
Q1 - 1:40DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot27
32.6%
24
67.4%
Q1 - 1:59ATLEvans 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)27
31.6%
24
68.4%
Q1 - 2:18ATLHawks Rebound24
27.1%
24
72.9%
Q1 - 2:18DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
26.6%
24
73.4%
Q1 - 2:38ATLJohnson Layup (4 PTS)24
25.6%
24
74.4%
Q1 - 2:39ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
23.6%
24
76.4%
Q1 - 2:40ATLMISS Murray 16' Jump Shot22
22.7%
24
77.3%
Q1 - 2:54ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
23.6%
24
76.4%
Q1 - 2:55DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
22.3%
24
77.7%
Q1 - 2:55DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot22
23.2%
24
76.8%
Q1 - 2:57DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot22
23.2%
24
76.8%
Q1 - 3:02ATLBillups STEAL (1 STL)22
22.0%
24
78.0%
Q1 - 3:31DENMartin Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)22
23.6%
24
76.4%
Q1 - 3:40DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
25.3%
22
74.7%
Q1 - 3:41ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
25.8%
22
74.2%
Q1 - 4:01DENMartin 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)22
26.6%
22
73.4%
Q1 - 4:24ATLWilliams Layup (8 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)22
28.3%
20
71.7%
Q1 - 4:41DENJones 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
26.7%
20
73.3%
Q1 - 4:58ATLWilliams Layup (6 PTS)20
28.4%
18
71.6%
Q1 - 5:00ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
26.7%
18
73.3%
Q1 - 5:01ATLMISS Johnson 11' Fadeaway Bank Shot18
25.5%
18
74.5%
Q1 - 5:18DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)18
26.8%
18
73.2%
Q1 - 5:36ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)18
28.3%
16
71.7%
Q1 - 5:53DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
26.8%
16
73.2%
Q1 - 5:53DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
26.9%
15
73.1%
Q1 - 6:08ATLMurray 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)16
27.9%
14
72.1%
Q1 - 6:21DENBillups Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)13
24.7%
14
75.3%
Q1 - 6:35ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)13
26.3%
12
73.7%
Q1 - 6:54DENPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
24.7%
12
75.3%
Q1 - 6:54DENPetro Dunk (2 PTS)11
24.7%
12
75.3%
Q1 - 6:55DENMISS Petro 9' Running Jump Shot11
27.5%
10
72.5%
Q1 - 7:06DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
25.9%
10
74.1%
Q1 - 7:07ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot11
26.4%
10
73.6%
Q1 - 7:27DENMartin 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)11
27.7%
10
72.3%
Q1 - 7:40DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
29.3%
8
70.7%
Q1 - 7:41ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 211
29.5%
8
70.5%
Q1 - 7:41ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
30.7%
8
69.3%
Q1 - 7:51ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
29.5%
8
70.5%
Q1 - 7:52DENMISS Petro 9' Jump Hook Shot10
28.9%
8
71.1%
Q1 - 8:09ATLWilliams Layup (4 PTS)10
27.4%
8
72.6%
Q1 - 8:11ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
25.7%
8
74.3%
Q1 - 8:12ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
24.6%
8
75.4%
Q1 - 8:18DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
25.7%
8
74.3%
Q1 - 8:19DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
24.2%
8
75.8%
Q1 - 8:20ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot8
24.6%
8
75.4%
Q1 - 8:39DENJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)8
25.7%
8
74.3%
Q1 - 8:54ATLPachulia Layup (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)8
29.1%
5
70.9%
Q1 - 9:06DENBillups 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
27.1%
5
72.9%
Q1 - 9:22ATLHorford Dunk (4 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)6
28.9%
3
71.1%
Q1 - 9:42ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.1%
3
72.9%
Q1 - 9:43DENMISS Martin Driving Layup4
26.7%
3
73.3%
Q1 - 10:05ATLHorford Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
25.3%
3
74.7%
Q1 - 10:23DENJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)2
24.1%
3
75.9%
Q1 - 10:47ATLWilliams 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 11:03ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.9%
0
75.1%
Q1 - 11:04DENMISS Billups 8' Fadeaway Jumper0
24.5%
0
75.5%
Q1 - 11:21DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 11:22ATLMISS Murray 3PT Jump Shot0
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 11:45DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
24.9%
0
75.1%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Petro vs. Horford: Tip to Billups0
23.7%
0
76.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.18 59.2%
DEN
1.20 59.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
19
28
68%
DEN
14
25
56%
Midrange
ATL
16
35
46%
DEN
15
34
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
DEN
10
15.0
18
56%
83%
Free Throws
ATL
24
26
92%
DEN
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams3174%15.5 / 21
J. Johnson2665%13.0 / 20
A. Horford2158%10.5 / 18
R. Murray1558%7.5 / 13
Z. Pachulia990%4.5 / 5
M. Evans536%2.5 / 7
A. Law225%1.0 / 4
M. West0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups3363%16.5 / 26
C. Anthony2368%11.5 / 17
J. Smith1464%7.0 / 11
K. Martin1050%5.0 / 10
D. Jones1083%5.0 / 6
J. Petro867%4.0 / 6
C. Andersen744%3.5 / 8
L. Kleiza583%2.5 / 3
A. Carter0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
76
+15
-14
91
DEN
73
+18
-17
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.18 59.2%
DEN
1.20 59.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
110.2
ATL 121.1
DEN 122.2 +1.1
Pace
89.8
94.5
ATL 94.1 +7.9
DEN 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
14.7
ATL 15.3 +1.4
DEN 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
51.2%
ATL 53.1%
DEN 57.1% +4.0%
TO %
13.6%
15.8%
ATL 13.3% +2.6%
DEN 15.9%
ORB %
26.0%
27.5%
ATL 31.6%
DEN 43.6% +12.0%
FTrt
32.3
38.2
ATL 32.5
DEN 39.0 +6.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.1%
59.5%
ATL 47.5%
DEN 48.7% +1.2%
STL %
8.2%
9.1%
ATL 12.2% +4.4%
DEN 7.8%
BLK %
7.4%
9.7%
ATL 6.8%
DEN 7.9% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
54.8%
ATL 59.2%
DEN 59.8% +0.6%
Rim FG%
60.5%
60.5%
ATL 67.9% +11.9%
DEN 56.0%
Mid FG%
40.2%
38.7%
ATL 45.7% +1.6%
DEN 44.1%
3P %
36.6%
37.1%
ATL 29.4%
DEN 55.6% +26.2%
FT %
73.8%
76.0%
ATL 92.3% +19.0%
DEN 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
39.7%
ATL 35.0% +2.5%
DEN 32.5%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
37.6%
ATL 43.8% +0.4%
DEN 44.2%
3P Att. %
25.3%
22.7%
ATL 21.3%
DEN 23.4% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLDEN
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points109110
Rebounds3443
Assists1919
Steals117
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)17 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (2)26 (0)
Field Goals40-8039-77
At-the-Rim FG19-2814-25
Midrange FG16-3515-34
2-Point FG35-6329-59
3-Point FG5-1710-18
Free Throws24-2622-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 28
44.8
26
65%
4
8
1
0
3
2
1
3
6-6
100%
7-13
54%
2-5
40%
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
39.7
15
58%
2
4
1
0
4
4
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
1-4
25%
C · 6'10" 245 · 23
39.6
21
58%
11
2
3
1
3
4
3
8
1-2
50%
10-17
59%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 23
38.7
31
74%
7
0
2
0
1
3
4
3
10-10
100%
9-14
64%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 270 · 25
23.9
9
90%
3
3
0
1
3
3
2
1
3-4
75%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30
31.6
5
36%
3
0
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 202 · 24
8.1
2
25%
0
2
1
0
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
7.0
0
0%
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 25
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 225 · 24
C · 6'11" 275 · 23
· 6'8" 225 · 23
#5 · · 6'9" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'2" 195 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
59%
34
19
11
4
14
0
12
22
24-26
92%
35-63
56%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.