Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Hawks	28%	95	109	121.1	90	94.1
	8	Nuggets	72%	103	110	122.2	90	86.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 28	44.8	26	65%	4	8	1	0	3	2	1	3	6-6	100%	7-13	54%	2-5	40%
Flip Murray G · 6'3" 200 · 30	39.7	15	58%	2	4	1	0	4	4	0	2	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 23	39.6	21	58%	11	2	3	1	3	4	3	8	1-2	50%	10-17	59%	0-0	-
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 23	38.7	31	74%	7	0	2	0	1	3	4	3	10-10	100%	9-14	64%	1-3	33%
Zaza Pachulia F · 6'11" 270 · 25	23.9	9	90%	3	3	0	1	3	3	2	1	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30	31.6	5	36%	3	0	2	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Acie Law G · 6'3" 202 · 24	8.1	2	25%	0	2	1	0	0	4	0	0	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Mario West G · 6'5" 210 · 25	7.0	0	0%	4	0	1	1	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Solomon Jones F · 6'10" 235 · 25	6.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Thomas Gardner G · 6'5" 225 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Othello Hunter · 6'8" 225 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Smith #5 · · 6'9" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Speedy Claxton #12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mike Bibby #10 · G · 6'2" 195 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	59%	34	19	11	4	14	0	12	22	24-26	92%	35-63	56%	5-17	29%

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23 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 28	44.8	26	65%	4	8	1	0	3	2	1	3	6-6	100%	7-13	54%	2-5	40%
Flip Murray G · 6'3" 200 · 30	39.7	15	58%	2	4	1	0	4	4	0	2	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 23	39.6	21	58%	11	2	3	1	3	4	3	8	1-2	50%	10-17	59%	0-0	-
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 23	38.7	31	74%	7	0	2	0	1	3	4	3	10-10	100%	9-14	64%	1-3	33%
Zaza Pachulia F · 6'11" 270 · 25	23.9	9	90%	3	3	0	1	3	3	2	1	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30	31.6	5	36%	3	0	2	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Acie Law G · 6'3" 202 · 24	8.1	2	25%	0	2	1	0	0	4	0	0	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Mario West G · 6'5" 210 · 25	7.0	0	0%	4	0	1	1	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Solomon Jones F · 6'10" 235 · 25	6.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Thomas Gardner G · 6'5" 225 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Othello Hunter · 6'8" 225 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Smith #5 · · 6'9" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Speedy Claxton #12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mike Bibby #10 · G · 6'2" 195 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	59%	34	19	11	4	14	0	12	22	24-26	92%	35-63	56%	5-17	29%

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8 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 25	45.4	23	68%	10	5	3	0	1	4	3	7	0-2	0%	7-12	58%	3-4	75%
Chauncey Billups G · 6'3" 210 · 32	38.9	33	63%	3	7	2	0	4	1	1	2	17-19	89%	5-12	42%	2-6	33%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 31	36.6	10	50%	7	4	1	0	1	4	1	6	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G · 6'6" 225 · 28	19.6	10	83%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 23	17.4	8	67%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-

JR Smith G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23	25.8	14	64%	3	2	0	0	0	3	1	2	4-6	67%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31	21.3	7	44%	12	0	0	5	3	1	7	5	1-3	33%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 24	20.7	5	83%	3	0	0	0	4	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 34	14.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	4	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26	\| DND - INJ - Right Knee Bone Bruise
Renaldo Balkman F · 6'8" 225 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Sonny Weems G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Steven Hunter #45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	60%	43	19	7	5	17	0	17	26	22-30	73%	29-59	49%	10-18	56%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.18 59.2%

DEN

1.20 59.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

19

28

68%

DEN

14

25

56%

Midrange

ATL

16

35

46%

DEN

15

34

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

5

7.5

17

29%

44%

DEN

10

15.0

18

56%

83%

Free Throws

ATL

24

26

92%

DEN

22

30

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Williams	31	74%	15.5 / 21
J. Johnson	26	65%	13.0 / 20
A. Horford	21	58%	10.5 / 18
R. Murray	15	58%	7.5 / 13
Z. Pachulia	9	90%	4.5 / 5
M. Evans	5	36%	2.5 / 7
A. Law	2	25%	1.0 / 4
M. West	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Billups	33	63%	16.5 / 26
C. Anthony	23	68%	11.5 / 17
J. Smith	14	64%	7.0 / 11
K. Martin	10	50%	5.0 / 10
D. Jones	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Petro	8	67%	4.0 / 6
C. Andersen	7	44%	3.5 / 8
L. Kleiza	5	83%	2.5 / 3
A. Carter	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 109.2 6 110.2	ATL 121.1 DEN 122.2 +1.1
Pace	24 89.8 6 94.5	ATL 94.1 +7.9 DEN 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time	13 15.9 26 14.7	ATL 15.3 −1.4 DEN 16.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 50.4% 7 51.2%	ATL 53.1% DEN 57.1% +4.0%
TO %	7 13.6% 26 15.8%	ATL 13.3% −2.6% DEN 15.9%
ORB %	19 26.0% 15 27.5%	ATL 31.6% DEN 43.6% +12.0%
FTrt	9 32.3 1 38.2	ATL 32.5 DEN 39.0 +6.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 56.1% 6 59.5%	ATL 47.5% DEN 48.7% +1.2%
STL %	9 8.2% 3 9.1%	ATL 12.2% +4.4% DEN 7.8%
BLK %	21 7.4% 1 9.7%	ATL 6.8% DEN 7.9% +1.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 53.2% 3 54.8%	ATL 59.2% DEN 59.8% +0.6%
Rim FG%	5 60.5% 6 60.5%	ATL 67.9% +11.9% DEN 56.0%
Mid FG%	19 40.2% 27 38.7%	ATL 45.7% +1.6% DEN 44.1%
3P %	16 36.6% 13 37.1%	ATL 29.4% DEN 55.6% +26.2%
FT %	28 73.8% 20 76.0%	ATL 92.3% +19.0% DEN 73.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 32.2% 4 39.7%	ATL 35.0% +2.5% DEN 32.5%
Mid Att. %	14 42.4% 3 37.6%	ATL 43.8% −0.4% DEN 44.2%
3P Att. %	6 25.3% 15 22.7%	ATL 21.3% DEN 23.4% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	DEN
Possessions	90	90
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	109	110
Rebounds	34	43
Assists	19	19
Steals	11	7
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	17 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	22 (2)	26 (0)
Field Goals	40-80	39-77
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	14-25
Midrange FG	16-35	15-34
2-Point FG	35-63	29-59
3-Point FG	5-17	10-18
Free Throws	24-26	22-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg