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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bobcats55%9798
28Kings45%9691
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
38.6
30.4
27
69%
6
2
0
2
0
2
1
5
6-6
100%
9-16
4-8
56%
52%
1-1
100%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.4
38.3
27.3
13
46%
11
0
0
1
2
1
3
8
3-7
43%
5-11
5-9
45%
56%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.9
37.9
36.5
23
80%
5
5
1
1
0
2
2
3
3-3
100%
7-9
5-10
78%
53%
2-4
50%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.4
37.1
34.0
5
31%
3
1
2
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
48%
1-2
50%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.7
32.6
35.8
4
33%
5
9
1
1
1
5
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
5-11
50%
46%
0-2
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.3
21.4
20.8
12
120%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
4-4
100%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.3
16.6
24.5
10
51%
5
1
0
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
1-4
25%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.1
9.7
12.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
6.8
10.0
4
52%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.8
1.0
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.0
5.6
0
1-2
47%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
2.0
0
0-1
50%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.9
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.1
41.7
35.5
27
70%
3
1
3
1
3
5
1
2
10-12
83%
4-9
4-9
44%
48%
3-5
60%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.2
38.7
36.4
15
66%
4
4
2
1
1
3
0
4
2-3
67%
5-7
4-8
71%
50%
1-3
33%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.8
28.3
35.5
8
44%
5
3
1
1
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.6
25.1
21.1
7
29%
5
0
0
0
1
1
5
0
3-5
60%
2-10
3-6
20%
52%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
1.3
32.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-7
0%
50%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 36.0
33.6
23.5
5
36%
6
4
3
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.4
26.3
6.5
12
61%
13
2
0
0
0
3
3
10
2-2
100%
5-9
1-2
56%
46%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.2
24.4
27.2
11
56%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.6
10.1
4.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-2
0%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.4
6.2
8.5
6
43%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
0-3
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.0
4.3
10.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
1.0
0
0-0
48%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.8
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.6
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.