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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 26, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers49%9074
7Rockets51%9193
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
33.9
31.6
21
44%
1
0
1
1
2
3
0
1
5-6
83%
5-16
7-12
31%
52%
2-5
40%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.2
32.6
31.0
21
56%
4
4
2
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
50%
3-7
43%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.7
29.2
22.7
11
43%
13
0
0
0
2
1
6
7
1-2
50%
5-12
4-9
42%
48%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
28.8
25.9
4
25%
3
1
0
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
48%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
16.9
19.5
0
0%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.0
31.3
27.3
4
34%
6
2
0
1
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
28.5
22.9
0
0%
5
2
2
1
2
1
3
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.0
27.3
25.1
11
56%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 24.9
4.1
19.0
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.5
4.0
19.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
52%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.3
3.3
5.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.3
2.1
0
0-0
46%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.3
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.5
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.5
40.0
32.4
28
84%
8
0
0
0
1
5
1
7
2-4
50%
13-15
7-13
87%
52%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.5
38.9
35.9
3
39%
5
3
0
1
4
1
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.3
36.6
35.4
15
46%
4
3
1
2
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
3-11
4-8
27%
45%
2-4
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.8
34.9
32.6
14
80%
9
2
0
1
0
1
2
7
4-4
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.1
30.4
29.0
3
21%
4
7
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
3-8
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.6
20.5
19.9
19
78%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
4-6
67%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 196 · 22.9
19.7
14.9
6
50%
3
7
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.7
8.7
13.2
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.2
8.1
11.0
3
38%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
53%
1-3
33%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
2.1
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-1
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.3
3.6
0
0-1
45%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.7
2.1
0
0-0
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.8
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.4
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.