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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 26, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Suns27%101106
2Lakers73%109132
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.0
31.7
4.4
16
73%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
5-8
1-1
63%
45%
2-3
67%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.2
30.6
34.8
18
47%
6
7
1
1
0
4
2
4
2-3
67%
5-11
5-11
45%
51%
2-7
29%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.1
26.6
31.1
13
46%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
47%
1-5
20%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 36.4
25.4
26.6
8
43%
6
5
3
1
1
1
2
4
2-3
67%
3-7
4-7
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 37.0
21.3
27.3
12
60%
7
0
0
0
2
2
2
5
6-7
86%
3-7
6-10
43%
56%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.6
26.4
18.0
13
67%
8
2
2
1
1
2
1
7
4-6
67%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
1-3
33%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 20.9
23.9
4.0
6
43%
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
0
0-0
-
3-7
0-1
43%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.0
19.9
26.4
4
23%
2
4
3
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-3
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
17.4
14.1
14
72%
0
3
0
0
0
4
0
0
4-4
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
2-3
67%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.2
16.8
14.2
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.1
28.8
1
3-7
50%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.3
31.7
37.3
23
89%
9
4
0
1
3
4
2
7
1-2
50%
11-12
5-10
92%
55%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.5
26.8
34.5
22
79%
4
8
3
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
9-11
9-17
82%
51%
1-2
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.6
23.7
38.7
16
55%
9
4
0
1
1
0
2
7
4-6
67%
6-12
7-13
50%
56%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.6
21.2
28.5
7
90%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.9
19.1
27.2
6
50%
1
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
24.4
19.7
10
48%
5
4
5
1
0
0
0
5
2-3
67%
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
2-5
40%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.2
23.8
18.4
12
60%
6
5
2
1
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
51%
2-2
100%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.1
20.7
13.9
6
77%
6
1
0
0
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.0
18.5
13.4
14
47%
3
2
1
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
46%
2-7
29%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.2
14.8
2.0
8
57%
1
3
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
0-1
57%
53%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.6
9.7
4.1
5
63%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.2
5.7
2.9
3
104%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.3
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.