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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Bulls63%10090
29Wizards37%96113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.4
34.2
30.2
10
41%
0
3
0
1
0
5
0
0
2-5
40%
4-10
6-12
40%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.9
31.3
34.2
11
33%
5
2
2
1
0
1
1
4
5-6
83%
3-10
6-11
30%
49%
0-4
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
31.1
30.2
4
25%
3
3
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
5-10
25%
50%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
30.3
26.2
9
92%
9
2
1
1
1
1
4
5
1-2
50%
4-4
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
20.3
27.1
7
37%
4
0
0
1
1
0
3
1
5-8
63%
1-6
4-9
17%
48%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.2
31.0
24.9
25
76%
3
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
7-8
88%
6-9
3-5
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.9
23.4
18.3
9
70%
11
2
1
0
0
0
1
10
1-1
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.2
15.6
25.5
7
60%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
47%
2-5
40%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.0
12.1
17.3
5
37%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.2
4.5
1.8
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.2
3.4
6.1
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.0
2.9
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
39.1
33.0
10
78%
11
4
1
1
3
3
4
7
0-1
0%
5-6
2-5
83%
45%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.0
36.1
36.5
14
57%
7
6
1
2
0
2
1
6
3-3
100%
4-8
6-13
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.7
35.6
26.3
14
47%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
4-7
2-5
57%
43%
1-6
17%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.7
29.4
36.7
27
63%
11
2
1
1
0
1
5
6
7-8
88%
7-12
7-13
58%
49%
2-6
33%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.0
21.5
25.7
12
100%
4
3
3
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
6-6
4-7
100%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.7
26.3
19.5
12
48%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.5
23.4
19.3
12
52%
3
2
0
1
2
1
1
2
4-6
67%
4-9
4-7
44%
49%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.2
12.4
24.0
0
0%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.1
10.1
8.9
10
54%
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
1
4-5
80%
3-7
2-3
43%
51%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.2
6.2
3.7
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.9
6.5
0
0-1
43%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.4
5.4
0
1-1
44%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.9
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.3
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.