FinalWin Prob.pScore
2041%92
83
1759%95
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
92.290102.9
ATL logo ATL
100.09182.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL83
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:17)83
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup83
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)83
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 283
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)83
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIABeasley 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)83
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 0:36.0ATLSmith 2' Running Layup (14 PTS)80
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIASmith STEAL (2 STL)80
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 0:41.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)80
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 0:41.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)80
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot80
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)80
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)80
2.8%
85
97.2%
Q4 - 1:16MIABeasley 3' Driving Layup (20 PTS)80
6.6%
84
93.4%
Q4 - 1:27MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q4 - 1:28ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 278
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q4 - 1:28ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)78
3.2%
84
96.8%
Q4 - 1:36MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (21 PTS)78
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q4 - 1:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q4 - 1:48ATLMISS Johnson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot76
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q4 - 2:10ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:16)76
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 2:11MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot76
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q4 - 2:21ATLMurray Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)76
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q4 - 2:43MIABeasley Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)76
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 2:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 2:50ATLMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot74
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 3:12ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Cook 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 3:26ATLJohnson 15' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)74
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 3:51MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)74
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 3:51MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q4 - 3:57ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)72
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q4 - 3:57ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)72
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q4 - 4:13MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T11)72
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q4 - 4:18ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)72
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q4 - 4:18ATLHAWKS Rebound72
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q4 - 4:18ATLMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
6.2%
79
93.8%
Q4 - 4:46MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)72
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q4 - 5:02ATLJohnson Putback Layup (16 PTS)69
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 5:04ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q4 - 5:06ATLMISS Smith Layup69
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q4 - 5:12ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:15)69
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q4 - 5:14ATLMISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper69
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q4 - 5:36MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)69
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q4 - 5:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)67
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS Cook 28' 3PT Jump Shot67
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 5:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)67
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q4 - 5:46ATLMISS Williams 9' Running Jump Shot67
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q4 - 6:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)67
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q4 - 6:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)66
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q4 - 6:11ATLMurray Foul Turnover (P2.T12)65
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q4 - 6:20ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q4 - 6:23MIAMISS Cook 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 6:35ATLSmith 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)65
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q4 - 6:52ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Layup65
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q4 - 7:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q4 - 7:18ATLSmith Putback Layup (10 PTS)65
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q4 - 7:20ATLMISS Horford 6' Jump Shot65
9.1%
73
90.9%
Q4 - 7:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:15)65
7.4%
73
92.6%
Q4 - 7:40MIAMISS O'Neal Layup65
8.1%
73
91.9%
Q4 - 7:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)65
9.8%
73
90.2%
Q4 - 7:44MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
8.1%
73
91.9%
Q4 - 7:57ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T11)65
9.8%
73
90.2%
Q4 - 8:14ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
8.9%
73
91.1%
Q4 - 8:15MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Driving Layup65
9.5%
73
90.5%
Q4 - 8:30MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
11.0%
73
89.0%
Q4 - 8:31ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot65
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q4 - 8:47MIABeasley 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)65
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q4 - 9:03ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)63
8.1%
73
91.9%
Q4 - 9:03ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)63
8.6%
72
91.4%
Q4 - 9:16MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)63
10.2%
71
89.8%
Q4 - 9:25ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)60
6.5%
71
93.5%
Q4 - 9:39MIABeasley 5' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)60
10.1%
68
89.9%
Q4 - 10:01ATLEvans 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)58
9.1%
68
90.9%
Q4 - 10:25MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)58
11.1%
66
88.9%
Q4 - 10:43ATLMurray 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)56
9.0%
66
91.0%
Q4 - 11:07MIACook 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)56
12.2%
64
87.8%
Q4 - 11:17ATLMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)53
8.2%
64
91.8%
Q4 - 11:27ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)53
6.8%
64
93.2%
Q4 - 11:29MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup53
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q4 - 11:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Cook 28' 3PT Jump Shot53
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA53
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound53
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cook 31' 3PT Jump Shot53
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
8.9%
64
91.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Murray 28' 3PT Jump Shot53
8.5%
64
91.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)53
7.5%
64
92.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0ATLPachulia 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)51
6.1%
64
93.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAHaslem Dunk (10 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)51
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 1:10ATLMurray 12' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)49
6.5%
62
93.5%
Q3 - 1:30MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)49
7.9%
60
92.1%
Q3 - 1:34MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q3 - 1:36ATLMISS Horford Tip Shot46
5.1%
60
94.9%
Q3 - 1:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)46
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q3 - 1:40ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot46
5.1%
60
94.9%
Q3 - 1:56ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot46
4.8%
60
95.2%
Q3 - 2:09ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)46
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q3 - 2:09ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)46
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q3 - 2:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q3 - 2:31MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
7.6%
58
92.4%
Q3 - 2:38MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
8.5%
58
91.5%
Q3 - 2:39ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
8.1%
58
91.9%
Q3 - 2:44ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q3 - 2:46ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot46
8.1%
58
91.9%
Q3 - 3:03ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
7.8%
58
92.2%
Q3 - 3:06MIAMISS Beasley 8' Fadeaway Jumper46
8.2%
58
91.8%
Q3 - 3:26ATLJohnson 8' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
9.2%
58
90.8%
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)46
10.7%
56
89.3%
Q3 - 3:58ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)43
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q3 - 4:00MIAPachulia STEAL (1 STL)43
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q3 - 4:11MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
8.4%
56
91.6%
Q3 - 4:15ATLMISS Murray Driving Dunk43
7.9%
56
92.1%
Q3 - 4:24ATLHAWKS Rebound43
6.9%
56
93.1%
Q3 - 4:24ATLMISS Johnson 3' Running Layup43
7.9%
56
92.1%
Q3 - 4:28ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)43
6.9%
56
93.1%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
7.3%
56
92.7%
Q3 - 4:51ATLWilliams 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)43
8.3%
56
91.7%
Q3 - 5:07MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)43
10.1%
54
89.9%
Q3 - 5:21ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
12.0%
54
88.0%
Q3 - 5:21ATLSmith Tip Shot (8 PTS)43
12.0%
54
88.0%
Q3 - 5:27ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot43
15.2%
52
84.8%
Q3 - 5:53MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
13.5%
52
86.5%
Q3 - 6:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)41
12.5%
52
87.5%
Q3 - 6:14ATLHorford Tip Shot (19 PTS)41
12.5%
52
87.5%
Q3 - 6:15ATLMISS Horford 5' Jump Shot41
15.8%
50
84.2%
Q3 - 6:39MIAHaslem Putback Layup (8 PTS)41
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q3 - 6:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)39
12.5%
50
87.5%
Q3 - 6:42MIAMISS Moon 19' Jump Shot39
11.2%
50
88.8%
Q3 - 7:07ATLWilliams 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)39
13.1%
50
86.9%
Q3 - 7:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)39
14.8%
48
85.2%
Q3 - 7:21MIAMISS Moon 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
15.4%
48
84.6%
Q3 - 7:39ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)39
16.9%
48
83.1%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMoon Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)39
21.6%
45
78.4%
Q3 - 8:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)37
19.6%
45
80.4%
Q3 - 8:03ATLMISS Bibby 9' Running Hook Shot37
18.8%
45
81.2%
Q3 - 8:25MIAHaslem 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)37
17.1%
45
82.9%
Q3 - 8:45ATLHorford Dunk (17 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)35
15.2%
45
84.8%
Q3 - 8:55ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
17.1%
43
82.9%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot35
17.8%
43
82.2%
Q3 - 9:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)35
19.8%
43
80.2%
Q3 - 9:06ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot35
19.1%
43
80.9%
Q3 - 9:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)35
17.5%
43
82.5%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Diawara 28' 3PT Jump Shot35
18.2%
43
81.8%
Q3 - 9:44ATLSmith Running Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)35
19.8%
43
80.2%
Q3 - 9:48MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)35
22.2%
41
77.8%
Q3 - 10:05ATLJohnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)35
25.3%
41
74.7%
Q3 - 10:21MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
28.0%
39
72.0%
Q3 - 10:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
25.2%
39
74.8%
Q3 - 10:27ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
24.4%
39
75.6%
Q3 - 10:42ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)33
22.6%
39
77.4%
Q3 - 10:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 233
22.9%
39
77.1%
Q3 - 10:44MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
24.7%
39
75.3%
Q3 - 11:00ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)32
22.6%
39
77.4%
Q3 - 11:11MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T7)32
25.5%
37
74.5%
Q3 - 11:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)32
28.4%
37
71.6%
Q3 - 11:25ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 232
28.0%
37
72.0%
Q3 - 11:25ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)32
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q3 - 11:28ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)32
28.2%
36
71.8%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup32
29.2%
36
70.8%
Q3 - 11:45ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)32
31.3%
36
68.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA32
28.2%
36
71.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound32
31.3%
36
68.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Moon 39' 3PT Jump Shot32
29.1%
36
70.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)32
31.3%
36
68.7%
Q2 - 0:13.0ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
29.1%
36
70.9%
Q2 - 0:16.0ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
30.5%
36
69.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
29.1%
36
70.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Moon 21' Jump Shot32
29.7%
36
70.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0ATLJohnson 10' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
31.2%
36
68.8%
Q2 - 1:05MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)32
35.0%
34
65.0%
Q2 - 1:21ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)30
31.4%
34
68.6%
Q2 - 1:36ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
35.1%
32
64.9%
Q2 - 1:37MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot30
35.7%
32
64.3%
Q2 - 1:51ATLHorford 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)30
37.3%
32
62.7%
Q2 - 1:59ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
41.3%
30
58.7%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper30
41.5%
30
58.5%
Q2 - 2:13MIAHeat Rebound30
43.7%
30
56.3%
Q2 - 2:14ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot30
42.8%
30
57.2%
Q2 - 2:39ATLHAWKS Rebound30
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 2:40MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Bank Shot30
41.5%
30
58.5%
Q2 - 3:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
43.8%
30
56.2%
Q2 - 3:05ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot30
42.7%
30
57.3%
Q2 - 3:10ATLHAWKS Rebound30
40.3%
30
59.7%
Q2 - 3:10ATLMISS Williams 3' Driving Layup30
42.7%
30
57.3%
Q2 - 3:29MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)30
40.3%
30
59.7%
Q2 - 3:29MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 229
39.7%
30
60.3%
Q2 - 3:50ATLSmith Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)29
40.8%
30
59.2%
Q2 - 4:14MIAO'Neal 14' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)29
43.2%
28
56.8%
Q2 - 4:35MIAHeat Rebound27
40.4%
28
59.6%
Q2 - 4:35ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot27
39.5%
28
60.5%
Q2 - 4:53MIAHaslem 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)27
37.3%
28
62.7%
Q2 - 5:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
34.8%
28
65.2%
Q2 - 5:03ATLMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot25
34.0%
28
66.0%
Q2 - 5:26MIAWade Running Dunk (4 PTS)25
32.2%
28
67.8%
Q2 - 5:29ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)23
29.6%
28
70.4%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMoon Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)23
27.3%
28
72.7%
Q2 - 6:04ATLHorford 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)21
25.5%
28
74.5%
Q2 - 6:27MIAHaslem Putback Layup (2 PTS)21
23.0%
28
77.0%
Q2 - 6:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
21.3%
28
78.7%
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot19
19.8%
28
80.2%
Q2 - 6:42ATLHorford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)19
21.3%
28
78.7%
Q2 - 6:53ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)19
19.1%
28
80.9%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot19
19.8%
28
80.2%
Q2 - 7:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)19
21.4%
28
78.6%
Q2 - 7:05ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot19
20.8%
28
79.2%
Q2 - 7:22MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T6)19
19.5%
28
80.5%
Q2 - 7:38ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T3)19
21.4%
28
78.6%
Q2 - 7:45ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
19.5%
28
80.5%
Q2 - 7:46MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot19
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q2 - 7:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)19
21.4%
28
78.6%
Q2 - 7:58ATLMISS Horford 7' Turnaround Jump Shot19
20.8%
28
79.2%
Q2 - 8:20MIAChalmers 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q2 - 8:39MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
18.2%
28
81.8%
Q2 - 8:40ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot17
17.8%
28
82.2%
Q2 - 8:56ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)17
16.7%
28
83.3%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMISS Beasley 2' Driving Layup17
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q2 - 9:19ATLHorford 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)17
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q2 - 9:38ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
20.1%
26
79.9%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMISS Cook 28' 3PT Jump Shot17
20.7%
26
79.3%
Q2 - 9:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
21.9%
26
78.1%
Q2 - 9:48ATLMISS Williams 3' Running Layup17
21.4%
26
78.6%
Q2 - 10:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)17
20.5%
26
79.5%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
21.1%
26
78.9%
Q2 - 10:24ATLMurray 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
22.3%
26
77.7%
Q2 - 10:43ATLHAWKS Rebound17
24.1%
24
75.9%
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot17
24.7%
24
75.3%
Q2 - 11:00ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)17
26.1%
24
73.9%
Q2 - 11:24MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)17
30.6%
21
69.4%
Q2 - 11:43ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
28.5%
21
71.5%
Q2 - 11:43ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)15
29.0%
20
71.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL15
30.6%
19
69.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound15
30.6%
19
69.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Murray 35' 3PT Jump Shot15
32.1%
19
67.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)15
31.0%
19
69.0%
Q1 - 0:08.0ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
32.5%
19
67.5%
Q1 - 0:08.0ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
33.1%
18
66.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)15
35.3%
17
64.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot15
35.8%
17
64.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAHeat Rebound15
37.0%
17
63.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
36.5%
17
63.5%
Q1 - 1:06MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)15
35.5%
17
64.5%
Q1 - 1:18ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
30.7%
17
69.3%
Q1 - 1:18ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 212
31.2%
16
68.8%
Q1 - 1:33MIACook 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)12
31.3%
16
68.7%
Q1 - 1:50ATLEvans 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)10
28.7%
16
71.3%
Q1 - 2:09ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
31.4%
14
68.6%
Q1 - 2:11MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot10
31.9%
14
68.1%
Q1 - 2:19MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
33.1%
14
66.9%
Q1 - 2:23ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
32.6%
14
67.4%
Q1 - 2:39MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)10
31.4%
14
68.6%
Q1 - 2:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
33.1%
14
66.9%
Q1 - 2:49ATLMISS Williams 12' Turnaround Jump Shot10
32.6%
14
67.4%
Q1 - 3:06MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
31.3%
14
68.7%
Q1 - 3:11MIAHeat Rebound8
29.4%
14
70.6%
Q1 - 3:11MIASmith BLOCK (2 BLK)8
28.1%
14
71.9%
Q1 - 3:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
29.4%
14
70.6%
Q1 - 3:21ATLMISS Smith 29' 3PT Jump Shot8
28.8%
14
71.2%
Q1 - 3:24ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
27.5%
14
72.5%
Q1 - 3:26ATLMISS Johnson 6' Running Hook Shot8
28.8%
14
71.2%
Q1 - 3:44ATLHAWKS Rebound8
27.5%
14
72.5%
Q1 - 3:46ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot8
28.8%
14
71.2%
Q1 - 3:53ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)8
27.5%
14
72.5%
Q1 - 3:54MIAMISS Diawara 20' Jump Shot8
28.1%
14
71.9%
Q1 - 4:12ATLHorford 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)8
29.5%
14
70.5%
Q1 - 4:17MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)8
31.2%
12
68.8%
Q1 - 4:29MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
33.3%
12
66.7%
Q1 - 4:31ATLMISS Smith Running Layup8
32.7%
12
67.3%
Q1 - 4:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)8
31.2%
12
68.8%
Q1 - 4:35MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup8
31.9%
12
68.1%
Q1 - 4:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
33.3%
12
66.7%
Q1 - 4:57ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot8
32.7%
12
67.3%
Q1 - 5:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
31.3%
12
68.7%
Q1 - 5:04ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
32.8%
12
67.2%
Q1 - 5:23ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
31.3%
12
68.7%
Q1 - 5:25MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup8
32.0%
12
68.0%
Q1 - 5:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
33.5%
12
66.5%
Q1 - 5:41MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
32.0%
12
68.0%
Q1 - 5:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)8
33.5%
12
66.5%
Q1 - 5:49ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot8
32.8%
12
67.2%
Q1 - 6:07MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
31.4%
12
68.6%
Q1 - 6:27ATLHorford Putback Layup (3 PTS)8
33.3%
12
66.7%
Q1 - 6:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
35.1%
10
64.9%
Q1 - 6:30ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
36.6%
10
63.4%
Q1 - 6:37ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
35.1%
10
64.9%
Q1 - 6:40MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)8
35.8%
10
64.2%
Q1 - 6:50MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
37.2%
10
62.8%
Q1 - 6:51ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot8
36.6%
10
63.4%
Q1 - 7:08MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 7:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)8
37.1%
10
62.9%
Q1 - 7:25ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 18
36.8%
10
63.2%
Q1 - 7:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
38.9%
8
61.1%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS O'Neal Dunk8
39.6%
8
60.4%
Q1 - 7:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
41.1%
8
58.9%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot8
39.6%
8
60.4%
Q1 - 7:37MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
41.1%
8
58.9%
Q1 - 7:39MIABibby BLOCK (1 BLK)8
39.6%
8
60.4%
Q1 - 7:52ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
41.1%
8
58.9%
Q1 - 8:06MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
38.9%
8
61.1%
Q1 - 8:14ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
36.9%
8
63.1%
Q1 - 8:31MIAChalmers 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
35.0%
8
65.0%
Q1 - 8:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
33.1%
8
66.9%
Q1 - 8:41ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 24
32.8%
8
67.2%
Q1 - 8:41ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
31.7%
8
68.3%
Q1 - 8:48ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.1%
7
66.9%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Diawara 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
33.7%
7
66.3%
Q1 - 9:10ATLSmith 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)4
35.3%
7
64.7%
Q1 - 9:28MIAWade 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
37.3%
5
62.7%
Q1 - 9:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.3%
5
64.7%
Q1 - 9:42ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot2
34.8%
5
65.2%
Q1 - 9:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.6%
5
66.4%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot2
34.1%
5
65.9%
Q1 - 10:15ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)2
35.7%
5
64.3%
Q1 - 10:26MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS)2
39.0%
2
61.0%
Q1 - 10:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 10:29MIAHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)0
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 10:55ATLWilliams 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)0
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 11:08ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
38.8%
0
61.2%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot0
39.3%
0
60.7%
Q1 - 11:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 11:19ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
40.0%
0
60.0%
Q1 - 11:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.8%
0
61.2%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Fadeaway Jumper0
39.3%
0
60.7%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. O'Neal: Tip to Chalmers0
40.5%
0
59.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.6%
ATL
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
31
58%
ATL
15
23
65%
Midrange
MIA
12
31
39%
ATL
16
37
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
23
22%
33%
ATL
3
4.5
19
16%
24%
Free Throws
MIA
8
10
80%
ATL
20
26
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley2372%11.5 / 16
D. Wade2158%10.5 / 18
D. Cook1137%5.5 / 15
U. Haslem1050%5.0 / 10
J. O'Neal833%4.0 / 12
M. Chalmers638%3.0 / 8
J. Moon433%2.0 / 6
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2457%12.0 / 21
A. Horford2158%10.5 / 18
J. Smith1454%7.0 / 13
M. Williams1341%6.5 / 16
R. Murray1260%6.0 / 10
M. Evans467%2.0 / 3
Z. Pachulia350%1.5 / 3
M. Bibby0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+12
-12
90
ATL
78
+16
-13
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.6%
ATL
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
109.2
MIA 92.2 +7.8
ATL 100.0
Pace
90.2
89.8
MIA 102.9 +20.9
ATL 82.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.9
MIA 14.0 +3.6
ATL 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.4%
MIA 44.1%
ATL 44.9% +0.8%
TO %
13.1%
13.6%
MIA 11.8% +1.6%
ATL 13.4%
ORB %
24.6%
26.0%
MIA 19.6%
ATL 26.2% +6.6%
FTrt
28.2
32.3
MIA 11.8
ATL 32.9 +21.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
56.1%
MIA 60.0% +10.0%
ATL 50.0%
STL %
8.7%
8.2%
MIA 6.7% +2.3%
ATL 4.4%
BLK %
9.2%
7.4%
MIA 5.0%
ATL 6.5% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
53.2%
MIA 45.6%
ATL 48.4% +2.8%
Rim FG%
59.5%
60.5%
MIA 58.1%
ATL 65.2% +7.1%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.2%
MIA 38.7%
ATL 43.2% +4.5%
3P %
35.7%
36.6%
MIA 21.7% +5.9%
ATL 15.8%
FT %
75.4%
73.8%
MIA 80.0% +3.1%
ATL 76.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
32.2%
MIA 36.5% +7.4%
ATL 29.1%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
42.4%
MIA 36.5% +10.4%
ATL 46.8%
3P Att. %
24.5%
25.3%
MIA 27.1% +3.0%
ATL 24.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes21.026.6
Points8391
Rebounds4048
Assists2117
Steals64
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)37 (2)
Field Goals35-8534-79
At-the-Rim FG18-3115-23
Midrange FG12-3116-37
2-Point FG30-6231-60
3-Point FG5-233-19
Free Throws8-1020-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
37.9
21
58%
2
10
3
1
4
4
0
2
2-2
100%
8-15
53%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
33.2
10
50%
11
0
0
0
2
2
3
8
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
31.8
6
38%
3
6
1
0
5
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
29.9
8
33%
11
1
0
1
0
1
4
7
2-4
50%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 26
14.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
30.3
11
37%
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-12
25%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
24.5
23
72%
5
0
1
0
1
5
0
5
2-2
100%
9-15
60%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 205 · 29
22.3
4
33%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
8.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
46%
40
21
6
3
12
0
9
31
8-10
80%
30-62
48%
5-23
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.