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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Thunder25%93108
10Mavericks75%102110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.3
46.9
31.8
33
45%
8
5
2
1
0
4
5
3
9-10
90%
9-26
5-12
35%
44%
2-6
33%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
45.8
38.9
28
58%
12
1
1
1
0
2
1
11
7-9
78%
6-15
6-12
40%
46%
3-5
60%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.6
33.9
26.0
10
45%
9
3
0
0
0
2
5
4
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
47%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.8
30.3
21.2
12
67%
8
1
1
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.4
7.7
40.0
6
77%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
8-16
67%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.7
32.8
19.8
5
40%
4
11
2
1
1
3
1
3
3-3
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.0
28.2
26.6
4
34%
2
0
2
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.3
25.7
24.1
6
38%
5
2
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
53%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.3
13.8
2.0
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
36%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.5
5.0
0
0-1
44%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.6
5.0
0
1-2
46%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.2
3.7
0
0-1
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.1
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.5
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.7
46.0
35.8
41
60%
9
2
0
1
0
3
1
8
8-10
80%
15-27
8-16
56%
51%
1-3
33%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.9
42.0
32.1
10
51%
5
13
4
2
1
1
0
5
4-4
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
2-6
33%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.8
30.4
34.0
13
37%
3
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
1-1
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
50%
0-4
0%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
27.3
27.6
5
43%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.6
20.2
12.8
4
100%
8
0
0
0
2
0
2
6
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
62%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.7
27.3
24.7
7
35%
6
7
0
1
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
3-8
3-7
38%
49%
0-1
0%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
25.4
21.1
12
87%
9
1
1
1
3
2
3
6
2-2
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
19.4
12.2
3
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.8
14.3
21.9
9
58%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
3-4
75%
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.1
12.8
3.5
6
34%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-6
1-1
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.5
5.7
0
0-1
45%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
4.1
0
0-1
54%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.