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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers54%9097
5Spurs46%8986
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.2
33
31
9
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-6
4-9
67%
49%
0-3
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.2
32
32
30
14
4
2
1
0
1
4
10
3-3
100%
9-17
7-13
53%
51%
3-6
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
29
25
6
5
0
1
1
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.7
28
25
10
10
1
1
0
1
2
4
6
2-2
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
47%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
27
27
17
7
5
2
1
1
5
3
4
5-7
71%
6-7
2-5
86%
47%
0-2
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.0
32
29
10
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
42%
2-7
29%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.0
25
26
6
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-6
2-4
0%
46%
2-3
67%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.5
14
13
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.3
14
5
2
3
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 24.9
4
13
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.5
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.3
2
0
0-0
45%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.3
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.8
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.8
30
33
11
5
6
1
1
0
3
2
3
5-6
83%
3-15
8-16
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.0
27
33
11
7
1
0
0
3
0
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
27
29
9
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-9
2-4
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
22
28
10
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
2-4
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.4
21
26
6
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.8
21
17
8
1
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
43%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
20
4
11
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
1-1
100%
5-8
0-1
63%
45%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.9
18
21
4
4
1
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.6
18
12
1
6
1
0
0
1
0
1
5
1-2
50%
0-5
1-2
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.7
17
19
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
12
4
11
6
0
1
0
1
1
4
2
5-7
71%
3-3
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.0
9
3
4
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.6
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.3
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.